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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs


MAG5035
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how is the transfer going and low placement about the same? I posted earlier a surface map that showed a L off the south east by sc ga and a low inm the gulf that I dont think was forecasted haha Just saw the post above me 
The mid-level never really transfers that is why we deal with the sleet and don't have a ccb that forms.

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13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

What are your thoughts on the coastal getting going now? Could it help to delay the mixing later on?

Thats been my hopes from days ago.  While we could fight dryslotting, thermally its the better option.  
Will be interesting to see how the next few hours play out, as this is boom time snow right now.  Eyeball 6-7" on my table outside.  Will take a measurement in next hour.

Sunday funday in full effect.  Enjoy all.

 

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What are your thoughts on the coastal getting going now? Could it help to delay the mixing later on?
I think it slows down approach from south but increases from the east. You look at sleet line now it's basically flat. This starts tilting it some. Depends on how fast it takes over and starts pulling down cold at mid levels. We still fully changed over but for next few hours we have prime forcing. If we can hold out 3 hours that's another 3-6" on top of what we have now. The better the forcing that longer we can hold of. Happy that forcing setup right over us. I think I have good chance at 10-12" before hint of Sleet. Sleet will still accumulate some

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7 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

Absolute nukeage. Man, if we can hold onto this for just 2 more hours. 

Yeah man.

FWIW, NAM had me at 3" for 10:00 am 

I'm at 6-7" and rippin. 

Nooner also gives me an extra hour till pingers take over.  Looks like 1pm verbatim, but I'm hoping thats off as well.  While I'm fine w/ the sleet (hate zr), I'm pulling for 10" snow prior.  Here's to hopin

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Here in Carlisle at 10:00am...it is snowing moderately to heavily with flake size fluctuating as well.  The temperature is 10.0 degrees with a dew point of 6.8 degrees.  During the past hour I received an additional 0.5" of snow, bringing the storm total thus far to 5.00"

The facebook post from the NWS was really good.  They created a video showing the sleet progression.  For me it showed all snow through at least 6:00pm.  He also said that noon time around the LSV will be a particularly heavy period.

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Next official measurement at Noon but wanted to provide an interim update.  KMJS sitting at 11/9 with heavy snow and what looks to be close to 2.5" additional inches having fallen in the last two hours.  I've always kind of had in my head the O/U for sleet arrival time at ~1pm so anything beyond that and I'll be happy although it will likely be earlier.  Here's to the next couple hours of boom!

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Good morning all! Beautiful rippage here in Lingletown with 1 inch/hr plus rates currently! This is what we all wait for!! On the downside, the 3km NAM is once again winning the ground truth war on advance of the sleet line and even running behind. Heading out with the pup to maximize the enjoyment and hoping for the best. Good luck all!


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