Itstrainingtime Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 14 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Even if we pull off all snow in LSV, gut says 12-13:1 for us. 15:1 likely hills north of the burg and towards waterboy up in da Skook. MU is wayyy more bullish than even you!!! He's thinking 20:1 ratios at the high end and 15:1 at worst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 10 below expected. * WHERE...Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry, Schuylkill, and York Counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It’s windier than forecast today, shocking. 40 mph gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The GFs gives my parents 1” zr We had an ice storm over the turn of the millennium and were without power for 12 days. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: 79/71 here in Miami. 71 dewpoint! @mahantango#1 let's trade places. Nice summer like weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago https://www.weather.gov/ctp/winter 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 24 minutes ago, canderson said: ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 10 below expected. * WHERE...Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry, Schuylkill, and York Counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. So was just outside prepping for the weekend and was roasting in my standard winter coat. It's gorgeous out there. South facing lawn is about 50/50 green/white. And come in to see this. Crazy times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 27 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU is wayyy more bullish than even you!!! He's thinking 20:1 ratios at the high end and 15:1 at worst. Im a realist so I’m sticking with my gut down in our hoods and will be pleasantly surprised if wrong. If primary dies a quicker death mitigating waa I’ll tip my hat to his “bullish” call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12z EURO Sun 7am it begins the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1pm we are pummeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, 2001kx said: https://www.weather.gov/ctp/winter Mother of god 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7pm Sunday still coming down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago What time does this start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looks like 1am Monday it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, WmsptWx said: What time does this start? around 7am Sunday maybe earlier depends on Virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago Stopping by to say good luck to all and hope you’re all digging out for days! Former Wmsptwx lol 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 36 minutes ago Share Posted 36 minutes ago Mother of god Rarely have I ever seen them start with snowfall amounts about 75% percentile from 1300NBM guidance Ratio ratios ratiosSent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago 28 minutes ago, boo radley said: Stopping by to say good luck to all and hope you’re all digging out for days! Former Wmsptwx lol Thanks again for changing your username to Santa Claus so I could take your stupid username and get stuck with it forever lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted 27 minutes ago Share Posted 27 minutes ago Bit of a discrepancy between these two models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 23 minutes ago Share Posted 23 minutes ago Good to see so many reputable sources so bullish with their opening predictions. I was shocked to see CTP's initial map. Just wow. I love where we sit and see no way we can't win big with what we have diving into this airmass. With that said, there's one small thing I can't totally discount, and that is how many times over the years I've seen occasions where the globals, even in their wheelhouse range, aren't able to pick up on the extent of the intrusion of sneaky warm layers aloft. Then we get inside of like 36-48 hours and the NAM, HRRR, and the gang start to show sleet in places you'd never expect it. Next thing you know, during the height of the storm we're "tainting" as @pasnownut would say, and what was thought to be an epic storm turns into just a nice storm. I just can't shake that thought given some of the globals are already showing it nearby, which is crazy to have to worry about when we're talking about temps in the teens for most of the duration of the event. I know we're still looking at a beautiful front-end thump but I'll be keeping a close eye on the Mesos as they come into range. Let's keep that primary Low at bay, shall we. Despite all that, let's pile it up boys! Next stop, 18z NAM. Onward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago 17.5" on the 1.45" qpf from NBM IS 12:1 RatioIf we hit 15:1 it's 22"To make top 10 we have to break 15" 7 is 17.5"5 is 20"3 is 22.2 (blizzard of 96)Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago HahaSent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 12 minutes ago Share Posted 12 minutes ago 8 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: 17.5" on the 1.45" qpf from NBM IS 12:1 Ratio If we hit 15:1 it's 22" To make top 10 we have to break 15" 7 is 17.5" 5 is 20" 3 is 22.2 (blizzard of 96) Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Well at least I’m in the qpf bullseye. What it falls as, find out in 36ish hrs. Hoping for 80/20 snow/pingers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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