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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs


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Just now, paweather said:

Friday for Lebanon county:

A chance of snow before 1pm, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet. High near 33. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

For Friday, the Latest GFS & Euro both have a little snow for the Susquehanna Valley changing to an icy mix potential.

The GFS brings more sleet & the Euro brings more freezing rain at this time. 

Still time, but for more snow instead of mix, we need that -NAO to flex a bit more to lock in that High in Quebec.

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2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

For Friday, the Latest GFS & Euro both have a little snow for the Susquehanna Valley changing to an icy mix potential.

The GFS brings more sleet & the Euro brings more freezing rain at this time. 

Still time, but for more snow instead of mix, we need that -NAO to flex a bit more to lock in that High in Quebec.

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Thanks Blizz yeah just stating what NWS is calling for a little early yet in the game. 

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PA Weather Plus, LLC: While I do not want to take the attention from the current winter event, considering post-Christmas travel, I want to bring attention to our next winter storm potential. No matter at which scenario you look at, it is becoming increasingly likely for significant impacts to the region on Friday, December 26th, across Pennsylvania in the form of snow and ice. A low-pressure system will be ramming against a strong Arctic high, allowing for heavy snow and ice. I am currently working on scenarios for this potential storm. The blog post will be out around 9 AM, if not sooner!

May be a graphic of text that says 'PA WEATHER PLUS COVERING PENNSYLVANIA'S COVERING-PENINSYLYANIA'SMEATHER WEATHER EARLY LOOK AT MODEL GUIDANCE FRIDAY, DECEMBER 26th ECMWF DMC*SNOW DMC SNOW Commercial Snow CommercialSnowManagement Management GFS CMC RAIN HEAVYSNOW ICE STORM RAIN RAIN ICE HEAWSNOW HEAVYSNOW STORM RAIN SLEET ICE STORM STORM MIDDLE SOLUTION SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS RAIN SOUTHERN SOLUTION SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS NORTHERN SOLUTION SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS'

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1 hour ago, Jns2183 said:

It's 32 and slippery in Camp Hill

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I slid across a bridge and almost through the turn i was tryin to make.  I saved it tho. 

Wouldve been icing on the shit cake of a week I'm havin.  haha....sorta

 

 

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17 minutes ago, paweather said:

Snowing in Palmyra (festive!)

yeah I'm callin this a win for me as its Christmas week and it sure helps to get me in a better mood seein snow.  Friday still up in the air, but would be awesome to see snow 2x this week.  

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yeah I'm callin this a win for me as its Christmas week and it sure helps to get me in a better mood seein snow.  Friday still up in the air, but would be awesome to see snow 2x this week.  
I'll take a beautiful ice storm from my childhood. Back in the 90s and early 2000s it seemed like we would get at least two per winter, if not more. I remember some real bad ones too. I also remember some sleet bombs that produced pure cement, and if you waited an hour to long to shovel at storms end you would be out there with a chisel due to cold in Washington behind the system turning everything into an iceberg.

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We ended up with 1.0" of snow here in East Nantmeal this morning. This was our 5th winter event of the young winter season. The 10.4" of snow recorded this month here in EN is the snowiest December since the 11.7" of snow back in 2017. This is the 6th snowiest December in the 23 years I have been at this location. We get a brief reprieve from the winter weather through Christmas Day with afternoon temperatures just a few degrees below normal for the big day. Our next winter event looks like it could be our most impactful so far this season. Snow should arrive around noon on Friday we should then see a change to first sleet and finally freezing rain as we move through the afternoon. Temperatures during the storm on Boxing Day are likely to only warm into the upper 20's to near 30 degrees so what falls will likely be frozen in some form. We warm to near normal on Sunday before we turn much colder again on Monday and look to see below normal temperatures through the remainder of 2025 and into the first week of 2026.

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