Ralph Wiggum Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Why is there that amount of disparity amongst models in the year 2026 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago ^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: ^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here. LOL. Where have you been? That forum was shut down many month ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 26 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: ^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here. Easy fix…every balloon sold at Party City should include radiosonde. Kids lose balloons all the time. Imagine all the additional data. As mentioned, we need some enthusiasm from the mesos today. Otherwise, I’ll be in the spring thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Someone might get NAMed here depending on temps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Philly is literally right on the edge R/S line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago This is what’s possible if the shortwave comes in sharper and farther S, such an interesting event, could go all wrong or be a big positive bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Heisy said: This is what’s possible if the shortwave comes in sharper and farther S, such an interesting event, could go all wrong or be a big positive bust Well maybe we need the NAM vs GFS Warmer wetter vs Colder dryer Card here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago NAM is widespread 3-5", lolis of 6" across SE PA. I do think this is one of those overamped NAM runs, especially with how stark the difference in that NS wave is from last run. Really want to see Euro jump on board with a sharper NS wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, wkd said: LOL. Where have you been? That forum was shut down many month ago. I never visited so yeah.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pl0k00n111 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: ^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here. Isn't the political part shut down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Welp the NAM, HRW-FV3 suite, and RRFS are all showing real solid hits now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Gotta like that globals and now at least the nam have modeled a sharper NS dive and interaction with the southern energy with a well-timed 50/50ish low. Today will be quite interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Monmouth/ocean jack. This year is a throwback and hopefully indicative our stretch of ratters and disappointments is changing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gfs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This still has all the makings of a rug pull, I think we have all said that since early week, but damn if I’m not getting sucked in… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yes, intriguing but have to remain skeptic. Models have been all over the place with this one. @Heisy never gave up and also highlighted the small but important details that will make or break this event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah, it’s hard to get fully onboard with this one. Early call for my backyard: 0-3.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Is there a way to infer/determine ratios from soundings? Trying to “self” teach reading these info-laden graphs gotta imagine itll be pretty pasty stuff if it does snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Newman said: Welp the NAM, HRW-FV3 suite, and RRFS are all showing real solid hits now Another vote from the WRF-ARW2 as well, fwiw: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Should have a thread for this . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Well, the model trends have become interesting. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 59 minutes ago, Physicsteve said: Is there a way to infer/determine ratios from soundings? Trying to “self” teach reading these info-laden graphs gotta imagine itll be pretty pasty stuff if it does snow 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago Euro is a general 1-2" for most, maybe an isolated 3" in Jersey. That's what my forecast would be right now. Most accumulations on grassy surfaces, slushy inch or so on paved surfaces when rates are heavy enough. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 26 minutes ago Share Posted 26 minutes ago 22 minutes ago, Newman said: Euro is a general 1-2" for most, maybe an isolated 3" in Jersey. That's what my forecast would be right now. Most accumulations on grassy surfaces, slushy inch or so on paved surfaces when rates are heavy enough. A inch would do. Freshen stuff and jive things up. 45F/Sunny, really kicking out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago Just another wrinkle like Newman said is that accumulations are going to be rate dependent. It’s cooking out there today, temp here is 48F. A long duration light event won’t do, we will really need rates for it to accumulate. Timing is on our side being overnight. I think 1-3” is a safe forecast for now, bust potential high on both ends though. It won’t surprise me if I have 6” Monday morning or it’s raining lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago Couple inches of mashed potatoes to break the terrible .20" run Not into this one because it's snowing as the warm up arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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