E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[Ralph Wiggum]

15 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Why is there that amount of disparity amongst models in the year 2026 lol

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. 

If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here.

[wkd]

12 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. 

If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here.

LOL. Where have you been?  That forum was shut down many month ago.

[JTA66]

26 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. 

If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here.

Easy fix…every balloon sold at Party City should include radiosonde. Kids lose balloons all the time. Imagine all the additional data.

As mentioned, we need some enthusiasm from the mesos today. Otherwise, I’ll be in the spring thread.

[Heisy]

Someone might get NAMed here depending on temps

[Heisy]

[Heisy]

Wow

[Heisy]

Philly is literally right on the edge R/S line

[Heisy]

This is what’s possible if the shortwave comes in sharper and farther S, such an interesting event, could go all wrong or be a big positive bust

[Kevin Reilly]

4 minutes ago, Heisy said:

This is what’s possible if the shortwave comes in sharper and farther S, such an interesting event, could go all wrong or be a big positive bust

Well maybe we need the NAM vs GFS Warmer wetter  vs Colder dryer Card here. 

[Newman]

NAM is widespread 3-5", lolis of 6" across SE PA. I do think this is one of those overamped NAM runs, especially with how stark the difference in that NS wave is from last run. Really want to see Euro jump on board with a sharper NS wave.

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 hour ago, wkd said:

LOL. Where have you been?  That forum was shut down many month ago.

I never visited so yeah....

[pl0k00n111]

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

^^^ wrt to this, I am just giving my $.02. Lack of data in = lack of data out. 

If anyone wants to delve into the why's and who's I strongly suggest taking that discussion to the political/o.t. subforum to avoid unnecessary banter here.

Isn't the political part shut down? 

[Newman]

Welp the NAM, HRW-FV3 suite, and RRFS are all showing real solid hits now

[Physicsteve]

Gotta like that globals and now at least the nam have modeled a sharper NS dive and interaction with the southern energy with a well-timed 50/50ish low. Today will be quite interesting.