12/2 Cold Rain and High Elevation Snow

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z GFS

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

What part of Hanover are you? 

Not too far from the giant off Baltimore blvd 

[WxUSAF]

Dare I say GFS looks reasonable?

[Eskimo Joe]

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Dare I say GFS looks reasonable?

I'll sign. Would like to see the 1" line close to I-95, but this is decent for 12/1, IMO.

[Wxdavis5784]

30 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Not too far from the giant off Baltimore blvd 

Nice. I live south of you on Grandview. 

[87storms]

56 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

If you're also trying to just sit down and relax a bit instead of hiking the whole time then that trail isn't super great as theres no campsites or anything off it. Instead I would recommend https://www.alltrails.com/explore/recording/afternoon-hike-at-black-rock-via-the-appalachian-trail-7f8dfc1 (Black Rock Via Appalachian trail) as its both right off route 70 which is nice and the Annapolis rock outlook has picnic tables nearby (additionally Black rock outlook has a overhang you can stay under which is sheltered). 

The overlook at Black Rock is one of the finer ones I've seen around here.  It's a bit of a slog to go that extra distance from the base past Annapolis Rock, but kinda worth it, if time isn't a thing.

[TSSN+]

17 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said:

Nice. I live south of you on Grandview. 

Nice Hanover weather crew 

[87storms]

2 hours ago, MillvilleWx said:

Actually, this is still considered early for the region for appreciable snowfall. FDK average in December is still only like 3-4" with peak snow climo opening end of the month. 

We have 1-2" forecast for your area right now, so it should look pretty in those parts come Tuesday morning. I'll be out and about up towards the PA line enjoying the snowfall. Thinking of where to post up. Want to get a nice breakfast at a diner and watch the snow fall  

I think 1-2" is reasonable here...I'm a mile west of rt 15 which, given how this area is, means I'm basically east of rt 15 lol.  The top of Catoctin might be a winter wonderland, though.  That area just absolutely dominates in these marginal events.

[DDweatherman]

Nice run for the Carroll valley backyard on the GFS. Too bad I’ll be in Denver 

[clskinsfan]

Models starting to lock into a sleet bomb for my area. Will take that over zr any day though.

[osfan24]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

Dare I say GFS looks reasonable?

We need a 20ish mile shift south. I also hate being on the southern edge. I feel like I’ve seen this movie before and it’s a dusting at best before a flip.

[Chris78]

36 minutes ago, 87storms said:

I think 1-2" is reasonable here...I'm a mile west of rt 15 which, given how this area is, means I'm basically east of rt 15 lol.  The top of Catoctin might be a winter wonderland, though.  That area just absolutely dominates in these marginal events.

I can vouch for this. Coming over the Catoctins from Smithsburg to Thurmont daily for work it's a different world above 1500. There's been rain on both sides of the mountain with several inches of accumulating snow in the Catoctins on many occasions over the years. 

[mappy]

2 hours ago, MillvilleWx said:

Actually, this is still considered early for the region for appreciable snowfall. FDK average in December is still only like 3-4" with peak snow climo opening end of the month. 

We have 1-2" forecast for your area right now, so it should look pretty in those parts come Tuesday morning. I'll be out and about up towards the PA line enjoying the snowfall. Thinking of where to post up. Want to get a nice breakfast at a diner and watch the snow fall  

If you make your way towards me there’s a great diner called New Freedom Family Diner just up into PA 

[Eskimo Joe]

13 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

We need a 20ish mile shift south. I also hate being on the southern edge. I feel like I’ve seen this movie before and it’s a dusting at best before a flip.

A 40 mile shift south would be sweet for many.

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z EURO

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z EURO

I like my map better lol

 

[osfan24]

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z EURO

Ouch, definitely a slight northwest trend lately that is gradually eating away at what little snow 95 might get. Latest Euro is basically just a few flakes for many of us.

[winter_warlock]

 I gotta move , lol  my sister in Rayville,Md (northern Baltimore county)always gets a little  more snow then me here in eastern Baltimore county .  My jealousy will get me to move up there lol.. of course with my luck if I move up there then southern parts will get more lol

[WxUSAF]

2 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

Ouch, definitely a slight northwest trend lately that is gradually eating away at what little snow 95 might get. Latest Euro is basically just a few flakes for many of us.

Yeah that’s a repeat of today verbatim 

[Imgoinhungry]

WB 18Z EURO

Precipitation cut back or warmer temps? Or both?


.

[wxmeddler]

15 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said:

Precipitation cut back or warmer temps? Or both?

Looks like both 

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z HRRR: precip starts moving in by 6 am.

[primetime]

2 hours ago, mappy said:

If you make your way towards me there’s a great diner called New Freedom Family Diner just up into PA 

I like Fill 'Er Up. Best gas station food ever.

[bncho]

7 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z HRRR: precip starts moving in by 6 am.

 

[Jebman]

12 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z HRRR: precip starts moving in by 6 am.

This would have been a great time for a Charles Town trip. Win big and score big!

[Ji]

WB 0Z HRRR: precip starts moving in by 6 am.

That’s like 4 hours later than euro had it last night

[TSSN+]

Collapsing up to game time. Hope I hang on for my little accumulation. 

[rjvanals]

Both NAMs continue to hate this system and insist we torch at 850

[Chris78]

6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Collapsing up to game time. Hope I hang on for my little accumulation. 

Yeah. We've been bleeding the wrong way all day. Going to be close all the way to the M/D line it seems.

[Weather Will]

WB 3K NAM is cooler this run, but still just rain east of the mountains.  Comparing 925 and 850 to 18Z.