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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential


Chicago Storm
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I'm off through the weekend so will get to experience this one from the weather enthusiast side. In all honestly, haven't looked at model data since my shift ended this morning lol. How are trends for Chicagoland?

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4 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

I'm off through the weekend so will get to experience this one from the weather enthusiast side. In all honestly, haven't looked at model data since my shift ended this morning lol. How are trends for Chicagoland?

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12z Euro had us all drooling.  Only to have 18z back to reality.  Everything else in middle 

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9 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

I'm off through the weekend so will get to experience this one from the weather enthusiast side. In all honestly, haven't looked at model data since my shift ended this morning lol. How are trends for Chicagoland?

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Looking pretty solid for you. I80 north definitely has highest chance of seeing warning criteria. Slightly lower temperatures and higher ratios. A bit further from warm nose pushing north. As low passes by could get some wraparound and lake effect with n to ne flow off Lake Michigan. South of I80 could see warning criteria as well but more south you get there could be more issues with temps/snow ratios and lesser totals. But this looks like a decent spread the wealth event. 

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7 minutes ago, nvck said:

new gfs maybe seems slightly south w/ the surface low?

0z gfs seems to be wanting to speed up the system imo. Definitely moving out quicker than 18z and definitely faster than other models

4 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said:

And weaker/drier 

It wasn't too drastically different but definitely nervous on that trend starting

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1 minute ago, cyclone77 said:

Feeling pretty confident about 5-7" here and the QC.  Seems like higher totals are drifting back toward reality as we get closer.

Yeah I think lower ratios and temps may keep snow totals in check. If we had colder air would be different story

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