December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[stormtracker]

28 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Oh and off-topic...but @stormtracker, you changed your Beethoven icon look I see??

Indeed

[stormtracker]

22 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Ohhh you'd better believe it!! Which reminds me I'm gonna start the listening binge early and make it a multi-day thing! Oh hey @stormtracker you never watched "The Genius of Beethoven" did you? Lol Both of ya if you haven't seen it, go on YouTube and watch, I'm telling ya. Best docudrama on Beethoven and a brilliant portrayal by Paul Ries.

imma check it out!

[stormtracker]

GFS looks about the same...scoots just south of us

[Ji]

00z HRR/NAM would get DCA and IAD to ~100% of December snowfall climo.

What Nam?

[pazzo83]

2 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Just now realizing how delusional it is to truly be trying to extrap the hour 15 of the HRRR its like this

curry would make this tho

[SnowenOutThere]

13 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

curry would make this tho

So what I'm hearing is that I'm the Curry of HRRR extrapolations? Should put that on the wall and in my signature tbh

[stormtracker]

GFS has a little something sliding through on the 12th.  Weird accum distribution..but like an inch or two

[stormtracker]

H5 for the follow up got worse unfortunately.  Flatter out west

[SnowenOutThere]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

H5 for the follow up got worse unfortunately.  Flatter out west

While the ridge is a bit diminished I think its more so the NS is just completely different around hours 105 which I don't think helps us out. 

[SnowenOutThere]

I tried analyzing how those like 15 NS interactions would impact a downstream storm and all I could gleam was this:

[Ji]

H5 for the follow up got worse unfortunately.  Flatter out west

Hard to believe the GFS is not exactly the same eight days out as it was the last run

[stormtracker]

59 minutes ago, Ji said:

Hard to believe the GFS is not exactly the same eight days out as it was the last run

It’s much like your mood when you post. Lots of wild swings every 6 hours. 

[Steve25]

Tonight’s Euro is probably the worst case scenario in terms of cashing in on our December cold. There’s the mid-week clipper well to the north and then just a whole lot of nothing before a warm up leading into Christmas.