NorthArlington101 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Not sure how this gets weenied as it’s just a fact per models they don’t show nothing in the extended period precipitation wise but keep it chilly. The number of vorts flying around gives me some hope that we can get something in the right spot over the next two weeks. Does suck to exit a period of tracking with nothing obvious on the horizon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Yeah sounds accurate to me. Something could definitely pop up but looks northern stream driven for the next 10 days atleast. Hoping to get a clipper get underneath of us. Yup 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago We need the cold air first to win (at least in UHI-world). So i'll take the cold and hope for the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago Euro is interesting at 162... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Euro says wait 7 days and we’re back baby 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Northern crew avert your eyes. Would be amazing to be back to tracking again. Was briefly mourning having nothing to look at. 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Northern crew avert your eyes. Would be amazing to be back to tracking again. Was briefly mourning having nothing to look at. This is the one that’s going to screw all you greedy southerners. 3 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, ravensrule said: This is the one that’s going to screw all you greedy southerners. You’re joking but it’s true. Clipper type systems are likely going to trend north with time. So far north that AI and gfs already have it too far north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Northern crew avert your eyes. Would be amazing to be back to tracking again. Was briefly mourning having nothing to look at. I might be reaped if that happens.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 10 minutes ago, ravensrule said: This is the one that’s going to screw all you greedy southerners. Eh atmospheric memory. They will win again lol. We cooked 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro ai for that storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Euro ai for that storm Lol. Let’s do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Lol. Let’s do it. Clippers have been so rare, be nice to get one 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Good thing storms a week away always happen as they are shown now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Not a ton of support in EPS to the Euro op’s solution of a storm passing well south of us. But looks like a good handful or two. Just eyeballing Pivotal maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Don't look now, but the extended 00z EPS cancels out any major warm up through New Year's. While the pattern does not appear favorable for a HECS, it sure as heck beat Pacific Puke for Christmas. I'm not writing off Pac Puke just yet. The solstice warm-up seems to be the most unstoppable atmospheric force on earth for 15+ years. It hasn't mattered whether we're in Nino, Nina or Nada. It hasn't mattered whether the first half of the month was good, bad or meh. It hasn't always meant a warm Christmas day per se as we've had a couple of powerful yet ultimately transient cold shots. And several times we've had normalish surface temps but with torched mid and upper levels. 2017 - 2018 is probably the biggest exception to this rule that I can remember off the top of my head. It was warm right before Christmas but then turned chilly on Christmas day and then brutally cold around New Years and the first 10 days or so of January. Even then it was a dry cold with no big storms. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 42 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Clippers have been so rare, be nice to get one What's great about the 12z euro is 2 clippers are north and 1 clipper south. M/D area in the screw zone for all. Dought it goes down like that but it's comically sad for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 38 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Not a ton of support in EPS to the Euro op’s solution of a storm passing well south of us. But looks like a good handful or two. Just eyeballing Pivotal maps. Very true, and I'm okay with that. It shows a decent signal for DC north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 hours ago, TSSN+ said: Long range right now looks dry but chilly. hopefully this gives us something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 25 minutes ago, Ji said: hopefully this gives us something Do you always have to be so negative? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 39 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Do you always have to be so negative? No that's just an add on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: You’re joking but it’s true. Clipper type systems are likely going to trend north with time. So far north that AI and gfs already have it too far north I just did an h5 analysis of that Euro run and the intricate interplay between multiple pieces of energy(vorticity) that allows the one that induces 'our' storm to sharpen and dig that far southward and it is pretty insane how it worked out. What would really help get a NS vort to track underneath is a sharper/more amped PNA ridge, but its being kept a bit 'flat' by the positively tilted WPO ridge and downstream trough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 26 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: No that's just an add on. Actually,it was intended to be a bit facetious, but accurate, joke. He actually pointed out good numbers on the SOI showing the Niña fading, but the SOI numbers themselves were "negative." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 23 minutes ago Share Posted 23 minutes ago Happy hour for @Bob Chill for Monday-Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 21 minutes ago Share Posted 21 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Happy hour for @Bob Chill for Monday-Tuesday Was just about to say...a Baltimore screwjob part 2. Ohhh they hurt me so bad... ICON too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Happy hour for @Bob Chill for Monday-Tuesday Maybe I’m just feeling a little saucy since we did well today but part of me really wants to try and will this one back. Need to try and decipher the h500 to see what it would take but it can’t be impossible thanks @CAPE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Happy hour for @Bob Chill for Monday-Tuesday This could easily trend north- probably too far north lol. Pretty nice h5 look in general. That vorticity lobe over the Canadian Maritimes is a bit problematic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 16 minutes ago Share Posted 16 minutes ago Yeah I don't know if we can get that north enough for us. That's a big ol' shredder to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah I don't know if we can get that north enough for us. That's a big ol' shredder to our north. I know a guy in Canada who can handle the energy in the maritimes. Gonna make some calls and we’ll check in again at 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago 4 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: Northern crew avert your eyes. Would be amazing to be back to tracking again. Was briefly mourning having nothing to look at. The 13th is Wreaths Across America. Would be an amazing event in the snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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