winter_warlock Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 5 minutes ago, bncho said: 0z GFS is basically the same as 18z GFS but slightly warmer and less precip Umm. I must be seeing something else cause I didn't see the same thing Unless I'm looking at it wrong lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 CMC is a carbon copy of Tuesday We’ve become the Carolinas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 7 minutes ago, bncho said: CMC is a carbon copy of Tuesday Well it's a week away and it's the cmc lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO for Tuesday. Other thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO for Tuesday. its almost a perfect balance. it was a touch more amped but the extra boost in precipitation really gave those snow bands a boost, helping the metros overcome the marginal temps for a longer time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Euro looks to be getting ready for next weekend too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Not this run. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Euro looks to be getting ready for next weekend too. I do not know with the way the Highs are sitting. Looks like maybe a little ice could be possible, but that is a poor look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 6z brings it back similar to Tuesday but a few degrees colder. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 EPS median looks nice end of week. Love having two events to track in the MR 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: EPS median looks nice end of week. Love having two events to track in the MR Looks like I need to re-up my WxBell subscription today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: EPS median looks nice end of week. Love having two events to track in the MR i just realized that was median and not mean. LFG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Here is the ext 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 55 minutes ago, frd said: Mjo stuck in phase 8 is tasty. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 15 minutes ago, frd said: Here is the ext At some point my weenie brain made a mental note that Phase 8 is secretly all that matters. I’m sure that’s wrong, but I hope some part of that is right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Mjo stuck in phase 8 is tasty. Yes get stuck in Phase 7, 8, 1 for a few weeks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 And the SPV will weaken again in mid late dec - might be helpful for early mid Jan too 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: And the SPV will weaken again in mid late dec - might be helpful for early mid Jan too you said that you would release another winter outlook in november if your idea about winter changed. maybe it's time? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 10 minutes ago, Terpeast said: And the SPV will weaken again in mid late dec - might be helpful for early mid Jan too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, bncho said: you said that you would release another winter outlook in november if your idea about winter changed. maybe it's time? Overall idea hasn’t changed much, but we may get “luckier” with snowfall amounts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: And the SPV will weaken again in mid late dec - might be helpful for early mid Jan too I see that in the modeling. Interesting I read the event was more of a reflective manner, and did not couple the SPV and the TPV. Of note is the current AO which despite Canada, and basically a large portion of North America cold, the AO has not dropped. Wonder if that changes going forward. I looked a couple days ago and believe long range modeling has the AO going negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 11 hours ago, Ji said: We’ve become the Carolinas. That’s way more snow than the Carolinas get these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Will not show the whacky GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, frd said: Will not show the whacky GFS Interesting it shows an AK vortex but still ridging over the west coast. Probably because it is pos tilted. Orientation matters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Close up on the 10 th. Wonder, and hoping, we get a better + PNA spike as we get closer to this time period. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 12z GFS is close to something better on the 6th but I’d still take an easy 0.5-1” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z GFS is close to something better on the 6th but I’d still take an easy 0.5-1” CMC looks decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 30 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: CMC looks decent always a low in the great lakes. Its like a permeants feature now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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