December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

See more snow…than anything I’ve seen observationally or guidance wise. Everything indicating negligible chance of a white christmas near you. Plan for brown, sey-mour.

1” snow chance on 12/14 followed by a week’s worth of cutter threats. As if that wasn’t enough, the 24th/25th continue to look the warmest on the ensemble guidance…

Which Ens is that. Better look under the hood

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I really am trying. Yeah as a Met and adult you’re supposed to just let the emotions bounce off you right?  Just hoping things change.

I truly don’t believe anyone here is fully able to shrug it off . Everyone is here because they love at least some facet of weather. Some it’s only snow.. others like me are extreme wx nuts that love every extreme there is . Whatever brings us here is weather related and folks are not being honest if they say they shrug it off and move on.  I will never buy that 

[UnitedWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I truly don’t believe anyone here is fully able to shrug it off . Everyone is here because they love at least some facet of weather. Some it’s only snow.. others like me are extreme wx nuts that love every extreme there is . Whatever brings us here is weather rated and folks are not being honest of they just say they shrug it off and move on.  I will never buy that 

I guess. I mean, nothing is ever 100 percent. I have plenty of other hobbies and duties, so if it doesn't snow I can distract myself. Also it's a double edge sword having a career where you have to work out in said weather. A break can be nice

[jbenedet]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Which Ens is that. Better look under the hood

It’s worth recognizing…

You’re a fool..

Even with the coldest Ensemble runs of the EPS for that date, it’s still warm.

A loser taking a losing bet. Shocker.

That incredible warmth is 250 miles away; the deep cold is 2500 miles away…Take your bet…

Some critical thinking is worth something.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I truly don’t believe anyone here is fully able to shrug it off . Everyone is here because they love at least some facet of weather. Some it’s only snow.. others like me are extreme wx nuts that love every extreme there is . Whatever brings us here is weather rated and folks are not being honest of they just say they shrug it off and move on.  I will never buy that 

With age comes extreme wisdom. The knowledge that we can only control our individual lives and the realization that all that  surrounds it is uncontrollable. There is no sense in getting upset over things we cannot control. 

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

It’s worth recognizing…

You’re a fool..

Even with the coldest Ensemble runs of the EPS for that date, it’s still warm.

A loser taking a losing bet. Shocker.

Some Met .Doesn't understand CAD.Thinks we live at 850 and 500. As far as calling me a loser. Come to our GTG Sat and we can talk bout it.

[CoastalWx]

It’s definitely a mild look overall, but with the ridge  crest in the Midwest, it does open up the door to some cold air damning events, especially in your typical favored  areas.

[jbenedet]

The -NAO look some are desperately banking on is also completely absent cold air in southeast Canada. It’s all in the west. And easterly flow is off >45F SST’s. It’s a complete losers bet to expect N to BN during that window. 
 

You’ll avoid a torch but still yield +5

 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s definitely a mild look overall, but with the ridge  crest in the Midwest, it does open up the door to some cold air damning events, especially in your typical favored  areas.

I mean anyone who understands NE weather in winter knows that setup is conducive to CAD . With Eastern Canada in an icebox and NNE buried in snow odds favor a colder scenario by Christmas. Aspeta santus una Padre Santus.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Fight!

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s definitely a mild look overall, but with the ridge  crest in the Midwest, it does open up the door to some cold air damning events, especially in your typical favored  areas.

It is kind of a gamble, but that’s better than being totally out of the game, which a lot of eastern US weenies will be if the look holds. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The -NAO look some are desperately banking on is also completely absent cold air in southeast Canada. It’s all in the west. And easterly flow is off >45F SST’s. It’s a complete losers bet to expect N to BN during that window. 
 

You’ll avoid a torch but still yield +5

 

Except for a few days next week, SE Canada is BN the entire time.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Fight!

Come to the GTG Lukey. I know the pope wont.

[ORH_wxman]

It’s def possible we are cold around Cmas. That H5 look really needs to be further east for us to furnace. 

[jbenedet]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

I mean anyone who understands NE weather in winter knows that setup is conducive to CAD . With Eastern Canada in an icebox and NNE buried in snow odds favor a colder scenario by Christmas. Aspeta santus una Padre Santus.

CAD without a cold airmass is….

Relatively warm northeast flow.

Welcome to life away from your computer.

 

[jbenedet]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Except for a few days next week, SE Canada is BN the entire time.

Good luck.

[CoastalWx]

Seems like someone put the wine chalice in Pope’s bum?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, jbenedet said:

Good luck.

I’m not calling for one way or the other, just noting what it has.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

25 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

See more snow…than anything I’ve seen observationally or guidance wise. Everything indicating negligible chance of a white christmas near you. Plan for brown, sey-mour.

1” snow chance on 12/14 followed by a week’s worth of cutter threats. As if that wasn’t enough, the 24th/25th continue to look the warmest on the ensemble guidance…

Sorry you are hurting so much  I’ll post pics for you when you are wrong 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

CAD without a cold airmass is….

Relatively warm northeast flow.

Welcome to life away from your computer.

 

NE flow where? From Quebec into Maine over snowpack?

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

CAD without a cold airmass is….

Relatively warm northeast flow.

Welcome to life away from your computer.

 

Some know some don't. Dont you have a clogged drain to unplug? I mean get a dog call him life and you will have one. Pretending to be a Meteorologist is very sad. Why would anyone do that.

[Damage In Tolland]

24 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

I guess. I mean, nothing is ever 100 percent. I have plenty of other hobbies and duties, so if it doesn't snow I can distract myself. Also it's a double edge sword having a career where you have to work out in said weather. A break can be nice

But at times it’s got to get to you . And you’ve also had a nice snowstorm already. 

[Damage In Tolland]

24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

With age comes extreme wisdom. The knowledge that we can only control our individual lives and the realization that all that  surrounds it is uncontrollable. There is no sense in getting upset over things we cannot control. 

That is the biggest crock of BS and you know it. The king of ACATT and winter Poetry . It has bothered you immensely 

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

White Christmas?

Well, he did just get a coaching job again

[UnitedWx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

But at times it’s got to get to you . And you’ve also had a nice snowstorm already. 

It does,  but I find the older I get the easier (far easier) it is to dismiss. And we were lucky on the Dec 2nd storm. Hopefully your area can wring something out of this weekend whatever it is system 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

That is the biggest crock of BS and you know it. The king of ACATT and winter Poetry . It has bothered you immensely 

Kev please please remember my 2015 posts.  I am totally satiated and whatever came after that is just a bonus. Snow is cool but seen enough in this life to be happy.  If 2015 never happened I would be seeking the holy grail. But alas I also know my climo and winter has a long long way to go.

[UnitedWx]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Seems like someone put the wine chalice in Pope’s bum?

What else is new!?

[Great Snow 1717]

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I truly don’t believe anyone here is fully able to shrug it off . Everyone is here because they love at least some facet of weather. Some it’s only snow.. others like me are extreme wx nuts that love every extreme there is . Whatever brings us here is weather related and folks are not being honest if they say they shrug it off and move on.  I will never buy that 

Oh I can shrug it off because I will never allow weather to impact my life in the way it does to some other people here..

[mahk_webstah]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, first of all, you don't know me...so really not sure how you are positioned to make such a declaration. Married with 4 young children and 2 jobs, I can assure you that isn't the case. But if this is your warped, deranged, and rather circuitous way of implying that I greatly value seeking out avenues of personal enrichment in other facets of life, then you would be correct.

And he just hops into threads when he can pretend that he knows more than everybody else and point out bad outcomes. He’s just projecting his own sense of being less than onto other people.  Which is a shame because he clearly has a lot of knowledge which he could choose to use differently.

no change.

[Ginx snewx]

Patriots snow game?