December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Some flop worse than LeBron James.

Which is fine...whatever...just didn't see why I got called essentially a hype-artist...don't feel that is the case.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Which is fine...whatever...just didn't see why I got called essentially a hype-artist...don't feel that is the case.

Who called you a hype artist?

[CoastalWx]

Ideally we get a little finger fronto well ahead of this as this tries to round the bend in the OV. Of course that means initially only a narrow area has fun, but good way to maximize snowfall. Can see some signs of it.

[HoarfrostHubb]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Please work out 

In this darkest time of year, let the Euro be your guiding light 

[dendrite]

Yeah this is roughly where the developing SPV and shortwave trough, that eventually slides under it, are right now. There’s lots of little tweaks in the flow that could help this or hurt this in the coming days. As others have said, the end result is we want more “curl” of the vortmax so we can punch that dPVA further north.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Which is fine...whatever...just didn't see why I got called essentially a hype-artist...don't feel that is the case.

I applaud that you are very even keeled and stick your guns even though your thoughts might differ from the consensus. 

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

People need to calm down. We’re all having fun and joking about the ridging shown on Christmas. No one is calling for it…yet.

With that said, I disagree to some extent. The 12z gefs gained a handful of members with strong SE ridges. Obviously you can’t expect 591dm to verify or be matched on a d16 ens lol.

12z eps is pretty warm looking for the holiday too. Hopefully it pans out cooler. I’d like to have pack for the holiday.

Let's lock it in and get the golf courses open. I'll pick up Tblizz's canceled ski week reservations for a song.

[brooklynwx99]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ideally we get a little finger fronto well ahead of this as this tries to round the bend in the OV. Of course that means initially only a narrow area has fun, but good way to maximize snowfall. Can see some signs of it.

same general premise as 1/6/22 if you recall. that was a nice little Arctic wave

[brooklynwx99]

EPS and AIFS-EPS both perked up

[kdxken]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah this is roughly where the developing SPV and shortwave trough, that eventually slides under it, are right now. There’s lots of little tweaks in the flow that could help this or hurt this in the coming days. As others have said, the end result is we want more “curl” of the vortmax so we can punch that dPVA further north.

If ifs and buts were candy and snow, we'd all have a merry Christmas.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Let's lock it in and get the golf courses open. I'll pick up Tblizz's canceled ski week reservations for a song.

Let’s get some snow first so we can torch it away. 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Who called you a hype artist?

No one . Made up 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

same general premise as 1/6/22 if you recall. that was a nice little Arctic wave

Yeah exactly. I felt bad for Tblizz as I pounded and Tblizz was watching an ocnl flake fall from the street lights. 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

In this darkest time of year, let the Euro be your guiding light 

I need this like you wouldn’t believe. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Who called you a hype artist?

I said I thought a storm was coming mid month, he replied that I always say that...do the math. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I need this like you wouldn’t believe. 

Boston has gone without anything measurable in 295 (296?) days... probably similar for you

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I need this like you wouldn’t believe. 

If I’m thinking of the right one, That 1/6/22 system did decent here..between 7-8”.  You did even better I recall. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I applaud that you are very even keeled and stick your guns even though your thoughts might differ from the consensus. 

I mean, sometimes I ultimately need to bail...happens, but we aren't there yet IMHO.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

If I’m thinking of the right one, That 1/6/22 system did decent here..between 7-8”.  You did even better I recall. 

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7th-2022

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7th-2022

That's a nice archive.  I always enjoyed your maps, but I love the added info

[ORH_wxman]

Def quite a good change on the 18z eps

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah exactly. I felt bad for Tblizz as I pounded and Tblizz was watching an ocnl flake fall from the street lights. 

I don’t even remember that one, so it must have sucked.

 

Hell, I’m numb now,  nothing can break me weather wise at this point 

[Damage In Tolland]

20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah exactly. I felt bad for Tblizz as I pounded and Tblizz was watching an ocnl flake fall from the street lights. 

I don’t ever feel bad for him. Dude is a constant downer. Never a fun or positive post about anything . Literally 

[CoastalWx]

4-5” of ice at the little hockey pond at the end of my street. That’s unheard of. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t ever feel bad for him. Dude is a constant downer. Never a fun or positive post about anything . Literally 

See about a half page above, my post about euro 

[powderfreak]

Only 6 other years (out of 140) since 1884 have had 3 days with below 0F temps in Burlington, VT by 12/9.

The last time was 36 years ago in 1989.

That seems moderately impressive.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Only 6 other years (out of 140) since 1884 have had 3 days with below 0F temps in Burlington, VT by 12/9.

That seems moderately impressive.

Quite possible the first half of December is way colder than second half. Just hope we are on the better side.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

See about a half page above, my post about euro 

I’ll be honest .. I rarely read your posts the last year or two . No offense , but I can’t handle people that are downers and complainers that are incessant . I’m sure you’re a good dude .. but man your posts generally are brutal and hard to continue reading 

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Overnight low is suppose to be 12°F, Already there.

Nice.  Warmer down here with a 17*.  

[WinterWolf]

23 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7th-2022

Hmm did even better than I thought…thanks for posting pal.