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December 2025 OBS and Discussion


wdrag
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4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

And Upton and Mt. Holly are dismissing the storm all together with Sunny Skies......as of this evenings updates - NY NJ PA Weather  agrees with this snow map........Who is a Weenie to believe ?

 

Well, given our recent track record, betting against snow isn't the dumbest thing in the world, lol.  

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3 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Bad track for most of us, but at least there's a storm on the Euro...

 

Probably - I still think when the advertised SOI starts to crash towards the end of December that's when the southern jet will begin to produce more wound up systems along with another Strat Warming Event the cold enough air will be available producing more frozen percip...........

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3 hours ago, RU848789 said:

Looks like the Euro Op is likely on the NW side of the ensemble envelope, given the Ens mean...

sn10_024h-mean-imp.us_ma.png

AI gfs is a good hit for NYC while the regular gfs is very weak . Eps is also further south than the op.

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First time since 2006 and 2008 that NYC dropped below 20° this early in the season.

Central Park   CLEAR     19  -1  41 CALM
First low < 20° Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2025 02-20 (2025) 18 12-09(2025) 19 -
2024 01-20 (2024) 18 12-21 (2024) 19 335
2023 02-04 (2023) 3 01-17 (2024) 17 346
2022 02-15 (2022) 16 12-23 (2022) 8 310
2021 02-08 (2021) 17 01-04 (2022) 19 329
2020 02-15 (2020) 14 01-29 (2021) 14 348
2019 03-07 (2019) 18 12-19 (2019) 16 286
2018 02-03 (2018) 16 11-22 (2018) 17 291
2017 03-12 (2017) 19 12-27 (2017) 17 289
2016 02-15 (2016) 13 12-15 (2016) 19 303
2015 03-07 (2015) 18 01-04 (2016) 14 302
2014 03-13 (2014) 18 01-06 (2015) 19 298
2013 02-18 (2013) 17 12-25 (2013) 19 309
2012 01-22 (2012) 18 01-22 (2013) 13 365
2011 02-22 (2011) 16 01-03 (2012) 15 314
2010 02-07 (2010) 17 12-14 (2010) 19 309
2009 03-04 (2009) 18 12-18 (2009) 16 288
2008 02-29 (2008) 17 12-08 (2008) 19 282
2007 03-09 (2007) 13 01-02 (2008) 17 298
2006 02-27 (2006) 18 12-08 (2006) 18 283
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4 minutes ago, lee59 said:

My low teens this morning not so bad compared to Saranac Lake NY, -22 degrees.

They also got down to -22° on the 5th. It was there 2nd earliest behind 2019 for going under -20°. That station was only there since 1998.

First <-20° Summary for SARANAC LAKE ADIRONDACK REGIONAL AP, NY
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2018 03-18 (2018) -22 11-23 (2018) -21 249
2025 03-03 (2025) -24 12-05 (2025) -22 276

 

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