November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[dendrite]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

To me a freeze is upper 20’s for a few hours 

Traditionally 32° was a light freeze, 28° moderate, and 24° hard.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s real and somewhat spectacular 

Gotta enjoy the cold it's the only winter we've got

[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

96% of town was in 20’s

You should upload to wunderground again. I was surprised how many are in my area. You can do it right through your weatherlink.com account. You just need to log into your WU to get your station ID and key.

[dendrite]

Nevermind I see you on there.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

You should upload to wunderground again. I was surprised how many are in my area. You can do it right through your weatherlink.com account. You just need to log into your WU to get your station ID and key.

My station is still there. That’s how Scooter gets my rainfall and temps. It’s like TOLLA5 or something like that 

[jbenedet]

Wind and clouds saved us from a hard freeze with duration. When I saw the clear night sky around midnight last night really thought a hard freeze was in order. 
 

The min obs for below freezing temps across the seacoast happened for an hour or less…

[jbenedet]

Every day so far this week has registered +1/+2 AN.

Today will be another one of those. Maybe a shot of +3.

The short term operational guidance cold bias seems to subtly worsen.

Tomorrow we +10. 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

My station is still there. That’s how Scooter gets my rainfall and temps. It’s like TOLLA5 or something like that 

Yep. We creep.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Every day so far this week has registered +1/+2 AN.

Today will be another one of those. Maybe a shot of +3.

The short term operational guidance cold bias seems to subtly worsen.

Tomorrow we +10. 

For Logan, 2/4 BN (albeit not by much) and today probably BN too. Certainly not a torch week. 

[BrianW]

Looks like BDR for 5 mins put up  their first 32. 

[CoastalWx]

32 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

22-23 sucked here. 23-24 we doubled what we had in 22-23…due to the Feb miracle that dumped 12+”..that saved this area.  Last year was close to 23-24 of low 20’s for accumulation.   Average would be great for this year. 

You had that one good storm on 1/7 no? We did well in that. That and the blizzard was mostly our snow lol. 
 

But you are correct about regression. Even in those winters, we got banded back on the SB storm in 2021, that Jan storm in 2022 and the blizzard. So yeah we and especially I was due for regression. 

[CoastalWx]

Semi intriguing op runs last night.

[jbenedet]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

For Logan, 2/4 BN (albeit not by much) and today probably BN too. Certainly not a torch week. 

For Logan only days BN were 2nd and yesterday. Overall very close to average for the week so far.

Today and tomorrow will take it to firmly above average week. 

[HimoorWx]

Finally below freezing for the first time. 29.8 for the low. 

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

For Logan only days BN were 2nd and yesterday. Overall very close to average for the week so far.

Today and tomorrow will take it to firmly above average week. 

2nd,3rd, and yesterday. Today will avg BN I think. Logan was 33 this morning.

[CoastalWx]

Tomorrow AN for sure. Should be a nice day. 

[dendrite]

CON is -2.2 mtd. MHT -2.7.

[dendrite]

46 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Every day so far this week has registered +1/+2 AN.

Today will be another one of those. Maybe a shot of +3.

The short term operational guidance cold bias seems to subtly worsen.

Tomorrow we +10. 

What

[mahk_webstah]

I’m not looking at the data but compared to many recent past years it seemed to cool off more quickly here this year and we’ve had a number of frost and freeze starting in October instead of November like it has been in some years. Seems to be setting up for some good early winter actually Over the next 4 to 6 weeks. I’m looking forward to it. 

[dendrite]

10 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I’m not looking at the data but compared to many recent past years it seemed to cool off more quickly here this year and we’ve had a number of frost and freeze starting in October instead of November like it has been in some years. Seems to be setting up for some good early winter actually Over the next 4 to 6 weeks. I’m looking forward to it. 

You got me curious so I had to look it up. 2023 was pathetic, but this year was a little under last year for hours of 32° or colder at CON. But man...look how much we’ve fallen since the early 2000s.

[dendrite]

lol at Oct 1974. 50 years go and it may as well be yore now.

[WinterWolf]

Pope hitting the wine at the Vatican….. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

You had that one good storm on 1/7 no? We did well in that. That and the blizzard was mostly our snow lol. 
 

But you are correct about regression. Even in those winters, we got banded back on the SB storm in 2021, that Jan storm in 2022 and the blizzard. So yeah we and especially I was due for regression. 

Ya 1/7/22 was decent…about 7-8” I think. You guys did better though.  And then 22 blizzard sucked here…8-9” or so of sand. 

[Ginx snewx]

Taunton I totally get what Brett is saying.  Look at the 6 inch days

[CoastalWx]

39 minutes ago, dendrite said:

What

Too much wine?

[SouthCoastMA]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I saw mid 20s near you. 

My locale is a bit too close to the water I think, but ya not suprised.  

[CoastalWx]

20 minutes ago, dendrite said:

You got me curious so I had to look it up. 2023 was pathetic, but this year was a little under last year for hours of 32° or colder at CON. But man...look how much we’ve fallen since the early 2000s.

We know why

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We know why

Uhoh he’s posting

[Typhoon Tip]

So if this Climate tainted version of the GFS model known as the CFS is going to be right ... one would think these 12z runs are going to have to at least start to represent. It's only 84 f'um hours away.   There's a bit of an implication there in the 'climate' part - where in the past, this kind of trough/synoptic evolution ended up producing an NJ model quick deepener/ with cold rain over to snows scenario. Why else is this model keep insisting this set up like below. It isn't the first run (0z) that was selling this. 

But of course we know now that CC's proooobably ruined that from ever happening going forward  .   It's okay - because CC doesn't exist anyway, right

 

[ineedsnow]

8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

So if this Climate tainted version of the GFS model known as the CFS is going to be right ... one would think these 12z runs are going to have to at least start to represent. It's only 84 f'um hour away.   There's a bit of an implication there in the 'climate' part - where in the past, this kind of trough/synoptic evolution ended up producing an NJ model quick deepener/ with cold rain over to snows scenario. Why else is this model keep insisting this set up like below. It isn't the first run (0z) that selling this. 

But of course we know now that CC's proooobably ruined that from ever happening forward  .   It's okay - because CC doesn't exist anyway, right

 

That would be great!