October 2025 Discussion and Obs

[LibertyBell]

On 10/4/2025 at 11:13 AM, anthonymm said:

This 100%. Sustained temps above 85 are not normal outside of the core june-sept months and it's really bad to pretend they are.

we don't have sustained temperatures above 85 degrees.

it's just a few days

and not even 85,  more like 80

[LibertyBell]

On 10/4/2025 at 3:05 PM, bluewave said:

Highs easily beating guidance today especially with the very dry conditions.

Newark Liberty MOSUNNY   86  50  28 

we should have had more 100 degree temperatures during the summer than the 2 we got in June.

July should have hit 100+ a few times here too.

 

[LibertyBell]

14 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

1941 records seem intact today by a good 5 - 7 degrees.

1940s-1950s were extremely hot

[LibertyBell]

23 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

Highs:
 

EWR: 87
TEB: 86
New Brnswck: 86
LGA: 83
ISP: 83
TTN: 83
BLM: 82
PHL: 82
NYC: 82
ACY: 81
JFK: 78

wow JFK temperatures are really off, we've been at least in the low 80s both days of the weekend.

 

[Wxoutlooksblog]

With regards to this next weekend's storm, sure the 00Z 10/6 operational model runs seem to have come to a consensus of hooking the storm n-nw or north up the east coast. There is considerable blocking to the east of the storm making it hard for it to exit out to the east. And while the trough over the Northern Rockies may not be quite as amped as earlier, it still seems that it's a tight squeeze for the coast hugger being depicted. I need to see at least a couple of more days of consistency with this solution to be totally convinced. I'm still just a tiny bit skeptical.

WX/PT

[GaWx]

32 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

With regards to this next weekend's storm, sure the 00Z 10/6 operational model runs seem to have come to a consensus of hooking the storm n-nw or north up the east coast. There is considerable blocking to the east of the storm making it hard for it to exit out to the east. And while the trough over the Northern Rockies may not be quite as amped as earlier, it still seems that it's a tight squeeze for the coast hugger being depicted. I need to see at least a couple of more days of consistency with this solution to be totally convinced. I'm still just a tiny bit skeptical.

WX/PT

Euro (0Z) has it again with it right on the coast Sunday morning. Aren’t hybrid nor’easters not an uncommon occurrence in late October/early Nov in that region? This would be a bit earlier than that:

[Wxoutlooksblog]

57 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Euro (0Z) has it again with it right on the coast Sunday morning. Aren’t hybrid nor’easters not an uncommon occurrence in late October/early Nov in that region? This would be a bit earlier than that:

They're not uncommon but notice how much further south the storm is as it's wrapped around kind of a double barreled upper low over Ohio and North Carolina. That's what's drawing it in towards the coast. I think the hope here for me (traveling up the Hudson Valley on Sunday) is that this storm does a bit of a loop di loop and gets trapped under the pool of cool air down there maybe never making it all the way up the coast before it finally either fills in or turns east. And that's pretty much what happened at 192 hours. To bed I go.

WX/PT