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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion


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14 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

I enjoyed hearing the thunder and seeing a few flashes of lightning last night since it is most likely the last we will see for a while. 

We had a massive lightning show and thunder last New Year's Eve. Plenty of time...

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Most of the area received some beneficial rains with between 0.30" and 0.50" falling since last night. Here in East Nantmeal we have already recorded our high for today at midnight at 53.1 degrees. Temperatures have fallen off to the low 40's across the area and will only rise a degree or two this morning before we see temperatures slowly fall this afternoon. We should reach the 30's by late afternoon and fall below freezing early this evening. Tomorrow will be the coldest day with highs not too far from 40 degrees. We should see well below normal temperatures continuing for the rest of the week with highs mainly in the upper 40's to low 50's.

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My early winter take for Chester County is a cold start to December. Slightly below normal December and near to below temperature January with near to above normal February. Well above normal March temperatures.

Snowfall not too far from average seasonal snowfall. 1 storm over 12" and 2 over 6"

Chester County - higher elevations 40" of snow. Valley locations 35" of snow.

 

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I think it'll be similar to last winter... no big events, we nickle and dime to 10-15". I don't like that all these coastal's this fall have mostly been messes, nothing really organized because of how fast the flow is. I think we'll get cold, especially early, but seasons where we are banking on a stellar first half just almost always disappoint. All the forecasts of february being a torch are a downer considering that's our snowiest climo month. Plus in the last decade we've had good track storms early in the season, it just hasn't been cold enough. I like that the blocking signal is there late month and looks to hold strong. If we can score a 6+" in December then nickle and dime the rest of the season, I'll be happy. The pattern this fall hasn't screamed MECS to me at least imo 

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