FPizz Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Light rain, .02" haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 81/67/82 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 81. .03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago What a blowtorch. We cool off maybe 1-2 days next week and then 80s well into October. Probably another top 3-5 warmest month likely 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 7 hours ago, FPizz said: Light rain, .02" haha While in theory rain sounded like a good idea, in reality when you get light rain like this at night it really sucks. It just makes the air more uncomfortable and much more humid and I've been up all night with a stuffy nose and sneezing. I'm about to turn on my air conditioning. A dry cool night with temperatures in the 50s is FAR superior to this. I hope the next time it rains it's when we get a noreaster. Either that or a strong frontal passage with cool dry weather behind it. Not this nonsense of a nonstorm. This is nothing but a godawful humidity pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 33 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: What a blowtorch. We cool off maybe 1-2 days next week and then 80s well into October. Probably another top 3-5 warmest month likely I don't think it's going to be that extreme. Temperatures in the 70s are fine. There is no hot air around to make it that hot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 hours ago, Roger Smith said: Not quite 2017 but this will be a top five September for increase in mean temperature from 1st half to 2nd half ... I know we had some posts about this back before the increase began, and seems to me only two or three increased more than this one will. The odd thing is, 2017 was among the warmest Octobers, but so was 1947 which followed the exact opposite sequence of largest decrease from Sep 1-15 to Sep 16-30. 1891 was another September with a large increase from first half to second half. I don't think 2025 can catch it for second place but it may finish third (for increase, not for average). I thought we weren't going to use 1891 because of its very limited dataset? The limited data at EWR in 1891 makes September look erroneously warm and makes October look erroneously cool lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 hours ago, winterwarlock said: 81/67/82 This is probably why I'm so uncomfortable tonight, this socalled storm is nothing more than a humidity pump that triggered my allergies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: This is probably why I'm so uncomfortable tonight, this socalled storm is nothing more than a humidity pump that triggered my allergies. Mid 60's leaving my house but it felt like a brick wall i was walking through with the humidity. Disgusting out and sun isn't even up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 hours ago, Roger Smith said: Not quite 2017 but this will be a top five September for increase in mean temperature from 1st half to 2nd half ... I know we had some posts about this back before the increase began, and seems to me only two or three increased more than this one will. This was the point that I made back in late August. Anytime we have had a cooldown like in August from June and July, the rebound warmer from the cooldown is of a greater magnitude than the cooldown was. Several areas had top 10 warmth from June into July. But the August average temperatures did reach top 10 coolest. Now much of the area will finish September in the top 10 or top 20 warmest. The long range models underestimated this warm up. But understanding this temperature pattern over the last decade can see where the model bias lies and forecast accordingly. The warm spots reached 90° earlier in the month and several stations had record highs and low maxes over the last 10 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I got almost as much rain from a system models were giving me ZERO precip as I did a few days ago when they were showing 1 to 2 inches. 0.13 last night compared to 0.19 a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: I don't think it's going to be that extreme. Temperatures in the 70s are fine. There is no hot air around to make it that hot. There's a big ridge in the east. There's near 90F temps well into Canada forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 0.07" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: I thought we weren't going to use 1891 because of its very limited dataset? The limited data at EWR in 1891 makes September look erroneously warm and makes October look erroneously cool lol. The 1891 data is largely missing for Newark not NYC. September 1–15, 1891: 70.1° September 16–30, 1891: 74.0° October 1891: 54.9° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago My station has reported rain 6 days in a row Total: .42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0.19” in Syosset & 0.14” in Muttontown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago .12 here. This has been some stretch of non eventful weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Despite the wet start during the first week of September, consistent with most cases where there was no rainfall during the last 10 days of August, September 2025 will wind up drier than normal in New York City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago .05" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonymm Posted 50 minutes ago Share Posted 50 minutes ago 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: What a blowtorch. We cool off maybe 1-2 days next week and then 80s well into October. Probably another top 3-5 warmest month likely Average high temp for central park for oct will likely be in the mid 70s. It will be like a typical September temperature wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonymm Posted 42 minutes ago Share Posted 42 minutes ago 2 hours ago, bluewave said: This was the point that I made back in late August. Anytime we have had a cooldown like in August from June and July, the rebound warmer from the cooldown is of a greater magnitude than the cooldown was. Several areas had top 10 warmth from June into July. But the August average temperatures did reach top 10 coolest. Now much of the area will finish September in the top 10 or top 20 warmest. The long range models underestimated this warm up. But understanding this temperature pattern over the last decade can see where the model bias lies and forecast accordingly. The warm spots reached 90° earlier in the month and several stations had record highs and low maxes over the last 10 days. Yep we always pay heavily for those rare cooldowns. It's so biased towards warmth now its not even funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago 8 minutes ago, anthonymm said: Average high temp for central park for oct will likely be in the mid 70s. It will be like a typical September temperature wise. Were that to happen, that would set a new record. The record is 72.5° in 1947. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonymm Posted 39 minutes ago Share Posted 39 minutes ago 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: Were that to happen, that would set a new record. The record is 72.5° in 1947. It's trivial for us to break high temp records now, as long as they're taken over a long enough period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 26 minutes ago Share Posted 26 minutes ago 22 minutes ago, anthonymm said: Average high temp for central park for oct will likely be in the mid 70s. It will be like a typical September temperature wise. Dude you need to chill, do you realize what you're typing? Mid 70s for the whole month of October? So a +10 monthly anomaly for highs huh? And you're basing this on what exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonymm Posted 18 minutes ago Share Posted 18 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, Sundog said: Dude you need to chill, do you realize what you're typing? Mid 70s for the whole month of October? So a +10 monthly anomaly for highs huh? And you're basing this on what exactly? Uh .. this can happen nowadays. Look at Jan 2023, it was a +10 anomaly the whole month. Plus it's not even that unprecedented. 1947 had an average high of 72.5, which means we can easily beat that now. Also to get an average high temp of 75 you don't need mid 70s every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago 1 minute ago, anthonymm said: Uh .. this can happen nowadays. Look at Jan 2023, it was a +10 anomaly the whole month. Plus it's not even that unprecedented. 1947 had an average high of 72.5, which means we can easily beat that now. Also to get an average high temp of 75 you don't need mid 70s every day. You can't compare extremes that occur in winter to Fall. There's a reason there's no +10 month in summer for example. Going another +2.5 over the warmest October monthly average maximum is a big deal. October 1947 btw finished +5.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 minutes ago Share Posted 3 minutes ago 71 / 65 clearig out after 0.19 in the bucker mostly overnight. Low - mid 80s today, Upper 70s / low 80s tomorrow and Tuesday - clouds could keep it lower Tue. Humberto and Imelda tango exit stage with most of the rain chances for the next week. 2 days of a cooler ENE/NE flow 10/2-10/3 - ridge anchoreed intot he northeast and its overall warm beyond there. 9/28 - 10/1: Warm - to much warmer than normal 10/2 - 10/3 : Cooler onshore ENE/NE flow 10/4 - beyond ; Warmer / much warmer than normal (more 80s 10/6-10/7) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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