donsutherland1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Near record and record heat again covered parts of Upstate New York, northern New England, Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia. Preliminary highs as of 4 pm: Bangor: 97° Boston: 91° Buffalo: 91° Burlington: 97° (new daily record) Caribou: 94° (new daily record) Concord: 95° Gaspé, QC: 96° (new August record) Manchester: 94° Miramichi, NB: 101° (new all-time record) Montreal: 94° (new daily record) New York City-Central Park: 91° New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 91° Newark: 92° Ottawa: 95° Plattsburgh: 92° (new daily record) Portland: 90° Tomorrow and Thursday will be very warm days. Temperatures will likely reach or exceed 90° in parts of the area. Aside from some showers or thundershowers Wednesday night into Thursday morning, mainly dry conditions will likely persist through at least the next weekend. The guidance continues to step down toward a cooler period following next weekend. The weekly guidance suggests that the remainder of the months will be close to normal. As a result, of the cooling of the extended guidance, the sensitivity analysis has flipped toward a slightly cooler than normal outcome for the month overall. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was -10.80 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.492 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 53% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Sundog said: Meanwhile today I'm cooler than you at 88 that stupid sea breeze (which also makes rip currents worse and caused 2 deaths) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, donsutherland1 said: Near record and record heat again covered parts of Upstate New York, northern New England, Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia. Preliminary highs as of 4 pm: Bangor: 97° Boston: 91° Buffalo: 91° Burlington: 97° (new daily record) Caribou: 93° (tied daily record) Concord: 95° Gaspé, QC: 96° (new August record) Manchester: 94° Miramichi, NB: 101° (new all-time record) Montreal: 94° (new daily record) New York City-Central Park: 91° New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 91° Newark: 92° Ottawa: 95° Plattsburgh: 92° (new daily record) Portland: 90° Tomorrow and Thursday will be very warm days. Temperatures will likely reach or exceed 90° in parts of the area. Aside from some showers or thundershowers Wednesday night into Thursday morning, mainly dry conditions will likely persist through at least the next weekend. The guidance continues to step down toward a cooler period following next weekend. The weekly guidance suggests that the remainder of the months will be close to normal. As a result, of the cooling of the extended guidance, the sensitivity analysis has flipped toward a slightly cooler than normal outcome for the month overall. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was -10.80 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.492 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 53% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. In the end, this summer will end up only slightly warmer than normal but it will be a fairly dry one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 82/73 at my station now after a high of 87. SE wind off the water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: Near record and record heat again covered parts of Upstate New York, northern New England, Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia. Preliminary highs as of 4 pm: Bangor: 97° Boston: 91° Buffalo: 91° Burlington: 97° (new daily record) Caribou: 93° (tied daily record) Concord: 95° Gaspé, QC: 96° (new August record) Manchester: 94° Miramichi, NB: 101° (new all-time record) Montreal: 94° (new daily record) New York City-Central Park: 91° New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 91° Newark: 92° Ottawa: 95° Plattsburgh: 92° (new daily record) Portland: 90° Tomorrow and Thursday will be very warm days. Temperatures will likely reach or exceed 90° in parts of the area. Aside from some showers or thundershowers Wednesday night into Thursday morning, mainly dry conditions will likely persist through at least the next weekend. The guidance continues to step down toward a cooler period following next weekend. The weekly guidance suggests that the remainder of the months will be close to normal. As a result, of the cooling of the extended guidance, the sensitivity analysis has flipped toward a slightly cooler than normal outcome for the month overall. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was -10.80 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.492 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 53% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. what kind of wind was needed to get New Brunswick to 101 degrees but can't even hit 90 degrees here? The waters are much colder up there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, weathermedic said: 82/73 at my station now after a high of 87. SE wind off the water. They're closing all the beaches at 5 because of the deaths caused by the rip currents from what I have heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: My absolute favorite was that 95 on 10/2/2019 (with a heat index of 100). So I think 100 in September is possible here one day, but those records from 1983 are still really hard to beat, that 98 in 1983 has been in place for over 4 decades now. 1983 was incredible for June, July, August and September all being WAY above normal and 100 degrees in both July and August!!!! Chris, was 1983 the only time that we had 95+ degree high temperatures in all four months (June, July, August, and September)? Maybe 2010 matched that year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, HailMan06 said: Recurving means lower heights along the EC meaning cooler. A more southerly track means a probably hotter pattern. The weird thing is I distinctly remember in 1995 when we had a ton of recurving hurricanes (they could never get past the 70W barrier) and all it did was make it hotter here. August was historically hot and dry and we had so many wildfires that month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: I remember them being super hot in the 90s too. I forget what year it was when I was driving through NJ but I recorded 106 degrees somewhere near Clifton. Could have been either 1991 or 1993 or 1995 or 1999 lol. The 90s were our hottest decade going by summer maxima/number of 90 degree days. While we are only 6 summers into the 2020s, it’s been significantly warmer than the Philly to Newark corridor was back in the 1990s. If we continue this level of summer warmth for the next 4 summers, then it will have the highest number of 90° days on record. The previous leader for 90° days was the 2010s. Philly to Newark corridor average annual number of 90° days by decade 2020s….Philly….35…..Hightstown….39…..Newark….36 2010s…. 34….33…32 2000s….23…..21…23 1990s…..31…..20…29 1980s…..26….21….26 1970s……22….14….20 1960s……17…..20….21 1950s…..26……23…25 1940s…..26…..23….25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 89.4 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Had a high temp of 93 here today. 91 yesterday and 90 on Sunday. We'll make it a 4 day heat wave tomorrow. We'll see if we can make it a 5 day heat wave on Thursday ... it's gonna be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 53 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: what kind of wind was needed to get New Brunswick to 101 degrees but can't even hit 90 degrees here? The waters are much colder up there! Miramichi is inland. It isn’t affected by the sea breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 91/65 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 39 minutes ago Share Posted 39 minutes ago 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: Had a high temp of 93 here today. 91 yesterday and 90 on Sunday. We'll make it a 4 day heat wave tomorrow. We'll see if we can make it a 5 day heat wave on Thursday ... it's gonna be close. It very well could be a 8 day heatwave in central jersey if clouds don't hold back on Thursday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted 9 minutes ago Share Posted 9 minutes ago 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: that stupid sea breeze (which also makes rip currents worse and caused 2 deaths) With Rip current warnings during the last 10 days, why hasn't NJ declared a state of emergency? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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