Summer 2025 Banter Thread

[Jackstraw]

1 hour ago, IWXwx said:

From radar, it looks like you just got hit again. Meanwhile, 40 miles to your northeast, I've had a total of 0.73" in July, with 0.54" on one day. 

Yip, between early this morning (literally one cell out of nowhere just like yesterday morning) and this afternoon we picked up another half inch or so. I was in New Castle and Chesterfield yesterday afternoon, cumulus back building from OH but no rain and when I got home around 8pm there were puddles everywhere. Between the one yesterday morning and early evening nearly a half inch. It's been like this everyday. I've lived around sea breezes and such, all that crap. When I look at Sat pics of central Indiana theres more often than not a thin stripe of clouds building in this area lately. Like I said, almost as if a latent outflow boundary has nestled in here.

There were some studies back in the 90's concerning this type of phenomena and hurricane tracks but that was more centered on where the seasonal steering ridges were setting up as they can fluctuate a great deal. They were looking at correlations of early season moisture transport from Gulf and Atlantic, where heavier rains were occurring, that could show subtle areas of where say the Bermuda high was setting up that could give them clues as to where landfalling storms may be more prevalent for the coming Summer/Fall. I remember Bob Sheets discussing "follow the moisture" when referring to this. Had it bookmarked eons ago cant find it.

Probably barking up the wrong tree. I mean we have had a meandering boundary through  here for about a month with nothing major shoving it about. Was just wondering if such a thing may or not exist even theoretically. Like a little atmospheric wrinkle thats just floating around awaiting a 50 degree dew dry line to sweep in (or is that me lol) Plus I'm bored, freakin' sauna outside now 

[frostfern]

38 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Yip, between early this morning (literally one cell out of nowhere just like yesterday morning) and this afternoon we picked up another half inch or so. I was in New Castle and Chesterfield yesterday afternoon, cumulus back building from OH but no rain and when I got home around 8pm there were puddles everywhere. Between the one yesterday morning and early evening nearly a half inch. It's been like this everyday. I've lived around sea breezes and such, all that crap. When I look at Sat pics of central Indiana theres more often than not a thin stripe of clouds building in this area lately. Like I said, almost as if a latent outflow boundary has nestled in here.

There were some studies back in the 90's concerning this type of phenomena and hurricane tracks but that was more centered on where the seasonal steering ridges were setting up as they can fluctuate a great deal. They were looking at correlations of early season moisture transport from Gulf and Atlantic, where heavier rains were occurring, that could show subtle areas of where say the Bermuda high was setting up that could give them clues as to where landfalling storms may be more prevalent for the coming Summer/Fall. I remember Bob Sheets discussing "follow the moisture" when referring to this. Had it bookmarked eons ago cant find it.

Probably barking up the wrong tree. I mean we have had a meandering boundary through  here for about a month with nothing major shoving it about. Was just wondering if such a thing may or not exist even theoretically. Like a little atmospheric wrinkle thats just floating around awaiting a 50 degree dew dry line to sweep in (or is that me lol) Plus I'm bored, freakin' sauna outside now 

At least it isn’t a Herculean feat to even get a thunderstorm where you live.  It’s like nighttime complexes no longer exist here in West Michigan when they used to be like 80% of our summer precip.

This year in particular the main EW frontal zone is either over the Upper Peninsula, or it’s down in Illinois/ Indiana.  The transition is a single day, and of course storms fail to fire over Lake Michigan and only get going once the front has passed to the southeast.  

We also never get those 40 kt low level jets aimed at Michigan these days.  They pump moisture at Minnesota, Northern Wisconsin, and even the UP for days, but fizzle to nothing whenever the boundary sinks south into my area.

[Jackstraw]

1 hour ago, frostfern said:

At least it isn’t a Herculean feat to even get a thunderstorm where you live.  It’s like nighttime complexes no longer exist here in West Michigan when they used to be like 80% of our summer precip.

This year in particular the main EW frontal zone is either over the Upper Peninsula, or it’s down in Illinois/ Indiana.  The transition is a single day, and of course storms fail to fire over Lake Michigan and only get going once the front has passed to the southeast.  

We also never get those 40 kt low level jets aimed at Michigan these days.  They pump moisture at Minnesota, Northern Wisconsin, and even the UP for days, but fizzle to nothing whenever the boundary sinks south into my area.

Its getting Stephen Kingish around here. There's another little train that started about 2 hours ago. Its snaking 5 miles north and south and just dumping. I've gotten another .25 inches out of it and its still going. You can see it on radar. There's a boundary there but its been there like forever lol. 

[IWXwx]

20 hours ago, Jackstraw said:

Yip, between early this morning (literally one cell out of nowhere just like yesterday morning) and this afternoon we picked up another half inch or so. I was in New Castle and Chesterfield yesterday afternoon, cumulus back building from OH but no rain and when I got home around 8pm there were puddles everywhere. Between the one yesterday morning and early evening nearly a half inch. It's been like this everyday. I've lived around sea breezes and such, all that crap. When I look at Sat pics of central Indiana theres more often than not a thin stripe of clouds building in this area lately. Like I said, almost as if a latent outflow boundary has nestled in here.

There were some studies back in the 90's concerning this type of phenomena and hurricane tracks but that was more centered on where the seasonal steering ridges were setting up as they can fluctuate a great deal. They were looking at correlations of early season moisture transport from Gulf and Atlantic, where heavier rains were occurring, that could show subtle areas of where say the Bermuda high was setting up that could give them clues as to where landfalling storms may be more prevalent for the coming Summer/Fall. I remember Bob Sheets discussing "follow the moisture" when referring to this. Had it bookmarked eons ago cant find it.

Probably barking up the wrong tree. I mean we have had a meandering boundary through  here for about a month with nothing major shoving it about. Was just wondering if such a thing may or not exist even theoretically. Like a little atmospheric wrinkle thats just floating around awaiting a 50 degree dew dry line to sweep in (or is that me lol) Plus I'm bored, freakin' sauna outside now 

So after I posted our July differences in rainfall yesterday, I got hammered twice last evening, totaling 1.17" of much needed rain. Still a sauna here too.