July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat

[Torch Tiger]

Yeah trough moved/moving through, game over.  next.   gl everyone 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 hours ago, kdxken said:

84° / 72°. Perfect weather for morons.

Are you kidding…I’ve see so many essential workers and construction folks on rooftops just high fiving themselves today, excited as sweat pours out…

[weatherwiz]

may already have a low topped supercell entering Berkshire County 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

may already have a low topped supercell entering Berkshire County 

Stop watching the radar from that cold room of yours…go out and enjoy this. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Stop watching the radar from that cold room of yours…go out and enjoy this. 

I would be working outside today if not for the risk for storms too early in the afternoon. Outside with a laptop and electrical wires if a storm quickly popped up...not good. 

[WxWatcher007]

Heat index of 106 here at home

[OceanStWx]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

may already have a low topped supercell entering Berkshire County 

Looks like it even split.

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Looks like it even split.

Thought we could see that potential today given forecast hodos yesterday. 

[forkyfork]

4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I dunno.   The EPS synoptic evolution over the mid latitude continent is subtly cooler than the GEFs ... Heat's really sensitive to minor perturbations. Just the nature of atmospheric physics. Could go either way. 

the 0z run chipped away at the cool down

[Damage In Tolland]

90.5/78 here. Will it storm is the question . Out here doing yard work eating this stuff up 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

90.5/78 here. Will it storm is the question . Out here doing yard work eating this stuff up 

Riiiight…

[OceanStWx]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Thought we could see that potential today given forecast hodos yesterday. 

That Berks storm actually is throwing liquid water up to over 20,000 ft. Some good downburst potential there.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

That Berks storm actually is throwing liquid water up to over 20,000 ft. Some good downburst potential there.

It's not far off probably from producing severe wind gusts by the time it gets to Tyringham. Probably needs a warning in a few scans 

[HoarfrostHubb]

88 here. HI is 94

pretty hot

[weatherwiz]

there's the warning...right on que 

[OceanStWx]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

there's the warning...right on que 

That 1717z scan there's a big KDP core (liquid water) above the freezing level, but at the same time ZDR is pretty low, near zero. That tells me that you've got some water coated hailstones up there. So evaporational cooling and cooling from melting. I think that was the right call pulling the trigger early on that before reflectivity responded.

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Riiiight…

Honestly am. Pruning shrubs and weed whacker. Not sure if I’ll get mow in looking at radar . Gotta take advantage of this weather man 

[bristolri_wx]

Could get interesting around here in a few hours.

 

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

That 1717z scan there's a big KDP core (liquid water) above the freezing level, but at the same time ZDR is pretty low, near zero. That tells me that you've got some water coated hailstones up there. So evaporational cooling and cooling from melting. I think that was the right call pulling the trigger early on that before reflectivity responded.

Great insight...I was looking at KDP and noticed the core but didn't have the in-depth knowledge of what was ongoing. If this thing is able to get more vertical growth it could become quite nasty. It's also starting to bow out a bit. Not a ton of lightning yet (per Radarscope) so kind of watching to see if we get any increase. 

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Great insight...I was looking at KDP and noticed the core but didn't have the in-depth knowledge of what was ongoing. If this thing is able to get more vertical growth it could become quite nasty. It's also starting to bow out a bit. Not a ton of lightning yet (per Radarscope) so kind of watching to see if we get any increase. 

Grab me some fries.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, kdxken said:

Grab me some fries.

Stuff too early today so no BDL for me  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Honestly am. Pruning shrubs and weed whacker. Not sure if I’ll get mow in looking at radar . Gotta take advantage of this weather man 

Pics?

[OceanStWx]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Honestly am. Pruning shrubs and weed whacker. Not sure if I’ll get mow in looking at radar . Gotta take advantage of this weather man 

[kdxken]

[weatherwiz]

This stuff could take off in CT (particularly south and east of Hartford) but the sfc winds are turning westerly quickly. But those dews in southern CT are pretty wild. Also have to watch between BDL/Enfield. Looks like we're starting to see an increase in vertical growth finally 

[radiator]

Enjoying the modest T-storm in mid-Litchfield County.

Nothing spectacular, but "ready to rumble".

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Big dark CU popping over head 

[HoarfrostHubb]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Honestly am. Pruning shrubs and weed whacker. Not sure if I’ll get mow in looking at radar . Gotta take advantage of this weather man 

My strategy was doing it yesterday morning when it was cooler and drier.  To each their own I guess 

[weatherwiz]

Another splitting supercell in southeastern Litchfield County

[Typhoon Tip]

35 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the 0z run chipped away at the cool down

yeah, I expect this too - the models have over amped cold in just about every mid and ext range since about 2010