Chicago Storm Posted June 20 Share Posted June 20 i thought that this thread existed already, but apparently it does not. so, here we go... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted June 20 Share Posted June 20 Well, looks like after Monday the ridge will move east and then stall, setting up a ring of fire pattern for potentially the rest of the week next week. There are some differences as to where the exact stationary front sets up, however whatever areas that do end up underneath the ring could experience repeated rounds of heavy rain and potential flooding. These setups where there is a large ridge stalled on the E coast and a wide open GOM have caused major flood events in the past, such as a year ago when MN/IA/WI flooded while Detroit and points E experienced several days in the 90s. Definitely something to keep an eye on as we move into next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 The past few runs of the Euro show <1" or rainfall for the QCA through mid-July. Looks the drought monitor will be upping from abnormally dry to moderate drought by mid-month if trends continue. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 11 hours ago, cyclone77 said: The past few runs of the Euro show <1" or rainfall for the QCA through mid-July. Looks the drought monitor will be upping from abnormally dry to moderate drought by mid-month if trends continue. 0z wasn't the worst in the world but definitely could use a nice wide spread MCS to soak the area instead of the spotty pop up stuff it looks we'll be getting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 12 hours ago, cyclone77 said: The past few runs of the Euro show <1" or rainfall for the QCA through mid-July. Looks the drought monitor will be upping from abnormally dry to moderate drought by mid-month if trends continue. https://x.com/WxRiskGrains/status/1939524075975581933 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 15 hours ago, cyclone77 said: The past few runs of the Euro show <1" or rainfall for the QCA through mid-July. Looks the drought monitor will be upping from abnormally dry to moderate drought by mid-month if trends continue. Yeah, definitely need something widespread, getting awfully crunchy around here and just waiting to get bumped to "severe" imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 8 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Yeah, definitely need something widespread, getting awfully crunchy around here and just waiting to get bumped to "severe" imby. The numerous days above 90 with full sun definitely have sped things along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Medium-range models had been drying out through mid July, generally showing below average rain around here. However, we got the 2" event a few days ago and now the EPS is creeping back up again with precip across the region. With ridging in the nw and ne US, the upper midwest should be in a decent spot for moderate temps and regular rain chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 17 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Medium-range models had been drying out through mid July, generally showing below average rain around here. However, we got the 2" event a few days ago and now the EPS is creeping back up again with precip across the region. With ridging in the nw and ne US, the upper midwest should be in a decent spot for moderate temps and regular rain chances. What about the Great Lakes? A mean trough is usually no good around here if it’s just progressive cold fronts scouring moisture out. Need a fully stalled cut-off to plant itself over Minnesota or Wisconsin and pump the 70 degree dewpoints into here. Last time that happened was June 2021. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Imagine if storms develop in Minnesota on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 9 hours ago, MNstorms said: Imagine if storms develop in Minnesota on Tuesday. Wow, that is insane! Is that an 83F dewpoint? Wtf? That is a wet bulb of 85F or 86F, not this WBGT meme, but bona fide wet bulb. A wet bulb of 95F (35C) is deadly if you are out in it for any extended period of time (even inactive and in the shade), maybe even somewhat cooler than that. Definitely take proper precautions in those conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Wow, that is insane! Is that an 83F dewpoint? Wtf? That is a wet bulb of 85F or 86F, not this WBGT meme, but bona fide wet bulb. A wet bulb of 95F (35C) is deadly if you are out in it for any extended period of time (even inactive and in the shade), maybe even somewhat cooler than that. Definitely take proper precautions in those conditions. Dew points in recent years peak 80F+ in July in Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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