June 2025 Obs/Disco

[dendrite]

18z gfs…good starting point, but we can always go higher. 

[DavisStraight]

Just yanked a tick off my head, number 2 bite for the year.

[Chrisrotary12]

14 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

We’ll have devastating damage for a lot of people in September hopefully. 

Gypsy moths?

[dendrite]

5 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Just yanked a tick off my head, number 2 bite for the year.

Only 2? I had 2 just yesterday.  I must be up to 15+ on the year now. Haven’t had one really dig in yet though.

[dendrite]

26 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Gypsy moths?

I’m still cheering on the cicadas

 

[kdxken]

Looks like the last of the cool sleeping nights. Oh well , I guess I'll have to install later this week. Summer had to come at some point.

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Looks like the last of the cool sleeping nights. Oh well , I guess I'll have to install later this week. Summer had to come at some point.

Tonight looks fairly cool, but yeah…it’s comin. Maybe a mild down toward next weekend…then the ridge tries to really build back in. There is a bit of a BD threat to start the following week…may have to watch that over the next few days.

[CoastalWx]

AN as fast as the eye can see starting mid week. Summer is here.

[Damage In Tolland]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AN as fast as the eye can see starting mid week. Summer is here.

ACATT will try and poke and post holes in that today. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT will try and poke and post holes in that today. 

Yeah good luck. They’ll try to say COC because it dropped to 87 as beads of sweat slowly ooze down from balls to bum crack. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Slow climb to the inferno this week. 90 for some places on Thursday.  The real stuff kicks in after the weekend

[Damage In Tolland]

39 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Good Sunday morning,  Heat is obviously coming now and interiors slated for an above normal number of 90+ days in June.  

Thursday may be a heat advisory afternoon for interior NJ (EWR etc).  Also mixed layer Cape over 1500J with Bulk Shear >30 kits suggests potential for SVR. Timing timing timing. 

Then the heat wave, first of the year probably for most of us except water influenced coastal spots (Sunday-approximately around Wednesday of next week), possibly longer with widespread heat advisory conditions early next week, possibly a heat Warning coming for some spots.  Interestsingly enough while ML CAPE is high early next week, Bulk Shear is low so any SVR Thunder may be more isolated, local convergence initiated. 

 

Recent abo e normal rainfall and another event coming before the heat... that will help with higher dews and possibly lower max temp potential a deg or two. Nevertheless, HOT looks to be on the way. 

We Walt 

[kdxken]

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT will try and poke and post holes in that today. 

Flakes by the end of the month? 

 

[CoastalWx]

Not sure why anybody looks at the gfs anymore. 

[Torch Tiger]

Acatt loves the gfs

[jbenedet]

We San Francisco.

[ineedsnow]

49 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT will try and poke and post holes in that today. 

Euro lost the 100s

[ineedsnow]

39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We Walt 

We NYC thread?