June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike

[LibertyBell]

Now that we've reached the highs for the day and temperatures are starting to drop (the high here was at 4:30 pm when it hit 92 here), here are the high temperatures for the day around the immediate region.

 

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYMALVE20

95.5

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYROCKV16

90.9

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYVALLE55

97.5

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYMALVE17

90.0

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYVALLE54

90.0

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYNEWYO2050

96.1

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYNEWYO1657

93.6

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYVALLE55

 

97.5

 

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYWOODM4

 

91.9

 

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYWOODM8

 

93.0

 

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYVALLE15

 

91.9

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYINWOO1

90.5

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYEASTR35

92.1

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYNEWYO2118

93.6

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYNEWYO1710

93.9

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNYNEWYO1274

93.4
 

[uofmiami]

 

 

[LibertyBell]

7 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

 

 

Yay JFK hit 90 and beat NYC by 3 degrees !!! I love it when this happens, it's like the Yankees beating the Mets lol.

[Sundog]

29 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

 

 

Makes sense. Islip with a seabreeze is always hotter than Central Park. 

[LibertyBell]

7 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Makes sense. Islip with a seabreeze is always hotter than Central Park. 

It's good to see JFK hotter than both, it dispels the rumors that this area is somehow *cool* in the summer.

And JFK was actually slightly cooler than SW Nassau, we were well into the 90s here.

[MJO812]

I hope it pours Saturday 

[nycwinter]

good did not hit 90 today in the park did not feel that warm today i wore a light jacket..

[LibertyBell]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I hope it pours Saturday 

you want the Mets game to be rained out?

[Stormlover74]

A few storms popping in eastern PA

[winterwx21]

Had a high temp of 92 here today. The fourth time that we've had a 90 degree high temp so far this season. We'll do it again late next week after the cool period this weekend into early week. 

[Sundog]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I hope it pours Saturday 

Let it be a deluge on Saturday, I just want Father's Day to be nice. 

[Sundog]

6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

you want the Mets game to be rained out?

I'm pretty sure he wants rain for reasons that go beyond the scope of this weather forum section lol

[LibertyBell]

2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Had a high temp of 92 here today. The fourth time that we've had a 90 degree high temp so far this season. We'll do it again late next week after the cool period this weekend into early week. 

Yep, this is a repeating pattern, the heat will return beginning next Wednesday with Thursday being peak heat again.  It might be a carbon copy of today lol.

[[email protected]]

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

Yay JFK hit 90 and beat NYC by 3 degrees !!! I love it when this happens, it's like the Yankees beating the Mets lol.

Central Park is a veg head!

 

[FPizz]

89.6, does that count as 90?

[donsutherland1]

Following today's warmth, tomorrow will be somewhat cooler. Temperatures will top out near 80°. It will turn noticeably cooler for the weekend with temperatures reaching only the upper 60s and lower 70s in New York City.

Showers and periods of rain are also likely during the weekend, especially Saturday afternoon and Sunday. Rainfall amounts will generally be light with most of the region seeing 0.25" or less rainfall.

No exceptional heat appears likely through the first three weeks of June. However, a sustained peirod of above normal temperatures could develop starting late next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around June 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

The SOI was -5.27 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.172 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.1° (1.1° above normal). 

 

[Wannabehippie]

7 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Following today's warmth, tomorrow will be somewhat cooler. Temperatures will top out near 80°. It will turn noticeably cooler for the weekend with temperatures reaching only the upper 60s and lower 70s in New York City.

Showers and periods of rain are also likely during the weekend, especially Saturday afternoon and Sunday. Rainfall amounts will generally be light with most of the region seeing 0.25" or less rainfall.

No exceptional heat appears likely through the first three weeks of June. However, a sustained peirod of above normal temperatures could develop starting late next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around June 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

The SOI was -5.27 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.172 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.1° (1.1° above normal). 

 

Any chances of a pattern change coming up, so we can get a nice weekend for a change? I am craving sitting by the community pool, getting my vitamin D from the sun.

 

[Sundog]

12 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said:

Any chances of a pattern change coming up, so we can get a nice weekend for a change? I am craving sitting by the community pool, getting my vitamin D from the sun.

 

The good news is you only need like 10 minutes of Sun to get your daily dose of Vitamin D so you only need a 20 minute sunny window all weekend lolol

[donsutherland1]

33 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said:

Any chances of a pattern change coming up, so we can get a nice weekend for a change? I am craving sitting by the community pool, getting my vitamin D from the sun.

 

Not this weekend but probably not far off. Maybe the following weekend or the last weekend in June. That assumes the pattern will evolve as I expect.

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

 

BLM: 92
EWR: 92
PHL: 92
ACY: 91
JFK: 90
LGA: 90
TEB: 90
New Brnswck: 90
ISP: 88
TTN: 88

NYC: 87

[[email protected]]

7 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Highs:

 

BLM: 92
EWR: 92
PHL: 92
ACY: 91
JFK: 90
LGA: 90
TEB: 90
New Brnswck: 90
ISP: 88
TTN: 88

NYC: 87

Central Park is a veg head.

[Sundog]

7 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Highs:

 

BLM: 92
EWR: 92
PHL: 92
ACY: 91
JFK: 90
LGA: 90
TEB: 90
New Brnswck: 90
ISP: 88
TTN: 88

NYC: 87

I love that JFK got its first 90 before Central Park on a SW wind mind you 

That's rich

[SACRUS]

2 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I love that JFK got its first 90 before Central Park on a SW wind mind you 

That's rich

 

7.61 inches of rain since May 1st in the park.  I am noticing TTN seems to be lower than surrounding sites in the last 4 years but havent looked to deep into it.  The park has been a clear outlier when abundantly wet and overgrowth.

[SACRUS]

 

Clouds moving in quick and what had looked like partly cloudy Friday from as recent as Tue, now looks mostly cloudy and clouds lingering through Tuesday cue Judy Collins Both Sides now - clouds got in the way.

[bluewave]

17 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Islip McArthur Airport is actually in Bohemia which is more akin to mid island.

I'm not sure that NYC would be hitting 30 90 degree day averages, because even before the vegetation issue in the late 90s and beyond, the early 90s heat was not as extended as our heatwaves were in the 40s and 50s.  I think our climate is becoming way too moist to sustain 95 and 100 degree heat on the level we saw back then until we warm up to the level of Jacksonville, FL.

If NYC increased the 90° count at the same rate as LGA and EWR last 30 years, then they would have around 28 days instead of only 18 days. So moving the sensor into the shade shaved off about 10 days. Yesterday was a prime example of this as some spots in NYC made it to 94° and the park was only 87°.

June 12th high temperatures

Corona, Queens…94°

Brownsville, Queens….94°

Newark….92°

Astoria, Queens…91°

LGA….90°

JFK….90°

BDR…90°

FRG….89°

HVN…89°

ISP…..88°

NYC….87°

HPN….87°

[Sundog]

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

If NYC increased the 90° count at the same rate as LGA and EWR last 30 years, then they would have around 28 days instead of only 18 days. So moving the sensor into the shade shaved off about 10 days. Yesterday was a prime example of this as some spots in NYC made it to 94° and the park was only 87°.

June 12th high temperatures

Corona, Queens…94°

Brownsville, Queens….94°

Newark….92°

Astoria, Queens…91°

LGA….90°

JFK….90°

BDR…90°

FRG….89°

HVN…89°

ISP…..88°

NYC….87°

HPN….87°

Most Ambient Weather stations topped off in the low 90s in large parts of NYC, even the parts to the east where it's closer to the water and more suburban. 

Even the ones in the totally rural northern Nassau topped off in the low 90s.

[bluewave]

18 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Most Ambient Weather stations topped off in the low 90s in large parts of NYC, even the parts to the east where it's closer to the water and more suburban. 

Even the ones in the totally rural northern Nassau topped off in the low 90s.

If the EPS is correct about that 594DM heat dome in around 10 days, then it would give us our first mid to upper 90s of the season. 

 

[Sundog]

7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

If the EPS is correct about that 594DM heat dome in around 10 days, then it would give us our first mid to upper 90s of the season. 

 

I wouldn't mind as much if highs got that high on a regular basis if:

A: the dewpoints stayed below 60

B: temps would drop at sundown to the low 80s at least if not lower

C: we have a nice breeze

[bluewave]

5 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I wouldn't mind as much if highs got that high on a regular basis if:

A: the dewpoints stayed below 60

B: temps would drop at sundown to the low 80s at least if not lower

C: we have a nice breeze

Yeah, this is why I like living near the shoreline. I used to get a great sea breeze back on the South Shore of LI. Now I get the local sea breezes off the Long Island Sound. 

[jm1220]

7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, this is why I like living near the shoreline. I used to get a great sea breeze back on the South Shore of LI. Now I get the local sea breezes off the Long Island Sound. 

Where I live now it seems like the worst of both worlds-we get the high humidity being somewhat close to the shore but it’s able to heat up a lot before the seabreeze eventually gets here by 4-5pm sometimes. Springs can be brutal in Long Beach but it’s nice to have low 80s there while the city, N Shore and inland are well into the 90s and sweltering. I was in TX a couple weeks ago and felt that kind of heat again-not a fan whatsoever of being soaked in sweat within 5 minutes being outside.