2025 ENSO/Winter Speculation

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Yeah...we did get a great pattern late February and March and established prime troughing for us

2020-2021 didn't have below average heights per se, but there were certainly some lower heights and colder air knifing into the country.

[weatherwiz]

37 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2020-2021 didn't have below average heights per se, but there were certainly some lower heights and colder air knifing into the country.

yeah January 2021 certainly did and was aided by the extreme blocking across Greenland. 

[MJO812]

[MJO812]

Expect some chilly weather with the NAO and AO going negative 

[bristolri_wx]

CANSIPS and CFS Monthly runs continue to look like a favorable pattern for DJFM.  Ridges in the west, below normal cold in Canada, etc.  That's all you can ask for at this time range.

[Prismshine Productions]

CANSIPS and CFS Monthly runs continue to look like a favorable pattern for DJFM.  Ridges in the west, below normal cold in Canada, etc.  That's all you can ask for at this time range.

Keep in mind CFS is notorious for showing torch, so if it is showing BN it is saying something

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[Torch Tiger]

to be fair, cansips and cfs are also somewhat dry. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

On 10/1/2025 at 6:55 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

DJF hardly below normal from around the N shore of Boston points NE into Maine screams late-blooming Miller B, to me.

 

 

On 10/1/2025 at 6:56 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Even more pronounced for JFM:

 

46 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

to be fair, cansips and cfs are also somewhat dry. 

 

[Torch Tiger]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

 

 

Yeah I wouldn't worry about it. lol