LibertyBell Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Just now, MANDA said: Two day total here was .60". Not great but better than nothing. Windy again with gusts into the mid 30's. But it was on target with predictions which were between 0.5 to 1 inch. We'll get another one of these storms next Friday. 1 inch plus rainfall events are not that common (or aren't supposed to be). Getting 2 storms like this every week is enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 3 hours ago, bluewave said: It’s more pronounced to our SW as they are down more than 10 inches since last summer. Yes, southern NJ and Eastern PA have severe drought in some spots, but NYC and Western Long Island only have dry conditions and once you get to Suffolk County it's not even dry. Reservoirs are up around 95% which is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 7 minutes ago, steve392 said: Anyone have the rainfall totals for the area? I can never get the links when searching The rainfall totals I saw were NYC 0.80 Islip 0.50 and Lower Hudson Valley up to 1.50 inches. The predictions I saw were from 0.50 to 1 inch, so the forecasts were right on target. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: The rainfall totals I saw were NYC 0.80 Islip 0.50 and Lower Hudson Valley up to 1.50 inches. The predictions I saw were from 0.50 to 1 inch, so the forecasts were right on target. Was just curious, the line that i hit leaving work was pretty intense. Im usually ok driving in heavy rains in my truck but i got to the point of nearly pulling over, wipers on high did nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Anyone know how to search dates/times on weather underground for the weather station data? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: Meant to say less than 70% so down 30. I looked recently and Q1 was down about 4", so not met winter but close. You also got quite a bit more frozen precip than I did. So along the lines of what this map is showing as shared earlier: https://www.drought.gov/topics/soil-moisture 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 41 minutes ago, steve392 said: Anyone have the rainfall totals for the area? I can never get the links when searching Two day event totals. Click to enlarge Here is link: https://www.cocorahs.org/ 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 another 50 mph day with no advisory 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 At least Upton acknowledges guidance has been running too weak The mixing, cold advection, and subsidence behind the departing upper low/trough will support sustained winds and gusts just below advisory levels. NBM deterministic guidance has been running too weak with winds for the last several months, especially in cold advection and NW flow regimes. This appears to be no exception today and have raised sustained winds and wind gusts a bit above the NBM 90th percentile. Sustained NW winds 20-25 mph are likely with gusts 30-40 mph 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 56 minutes ago, MANDA said: Two day event totals. Click to enlarge Here is link: https://www.cocorahs.org/ from 0.3 to 1.5 inches, pretty much right on target with forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: So along the lines of what this map is showing as shared earlier: https://www.drought.gov/topics/soil-moisture so about 10-20 percent for the majority of our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 with the wind howling it felt like a winter day this morning...lucky for me i was dressed for winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 19 minutes ago, nycwinter said: with the wind howling it felt like a winter day this morning...lucky for me i was dressed for winter... aren't you always though? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted Sunday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:05 PM I would think the first chance for any heat and I'm far from guaranteeing it then would be after about May 16th. Up until then it looks like the trough over southeast Canada, northern NE and the nw west Atlantic keeps backing up. The Euro went from developing the upper low to our west to developing it over the ne or western Atlantic. This pretty much cancels any heat chances until further notice. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Sunday at 06:25 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:25 PM 19 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I would think the first chance for any heat and I'm far from guaranteeing it then would be after about May 16th. Up until then it looks like the trough over southeast Canada, northern NE and the nw west Atlantic keeps backing up. The Euro went from developing the upper low to our west to developing it over the ne or western Atlantic. This pretty much cancels any heat chances until further notice. WX/PT Our first heat typically shows up near Memorial Day weekend so this would be right on time. Looking like wet and somewhat cool first half of May? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Sunday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:00 PM 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: from 0.3 to 1.5 inches, pretty much right on target with forecasts I was one of the unlucky spots -- only 0.15" here. Not enough to give things a good watering. Thursday night into Friday looks like the only decent chance of rain. Other than that the next week and a half looks dry. I'll be needing to water the vegetable garden a lot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Sunday at 07:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:18 PM 17 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I was one of the unlucky spots -- only 0.15" here. Not enough to give things a good watering. Thursday night into Friday looks like the only decent chance of rain. Other than that the next week and a half looks dry. I'll be needing to water the vegetable garden a lot. Same. Barely looks like it rained 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Sunday at 07:20 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:20 PM 1 hour ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I would think the first chance for any heat and I'm far from guaranteeing it then would be after about May 16th. Up until then it looks like the trough over southeast Canada, northern NE and the nw west Atlantic keeps backing up. The Euro went from developing the upper low to our west to developing it over the ne or western Atlantic. This pretty much cancels any heat chances until further notice. WX/PT And if correct will also keep things on the drier side of normal on a NW flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM I just got a series of violent gusts out of nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted Sunday at 08:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:52 PM 40 minutes ago, Sundog said: I just got a serious of violent gusts out of nowhere. Same here. My anemometer isn't working properly, but they were probably the worst of the day so far. Unbelievable the wind here these past few months. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Sunday at 09:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:42 PM Temperatures will rebound into the 70s tomorrow. Tuesday could be the warmest day of the week with the mercury reaching the upper 70s to perhaps 80°. April will end on a warmer than normal note. A cooler air mass will likely move into the region after midweek. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around April 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least early summer. Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal). The SOI was -11.47 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.464 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.2° (1.5° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Sunday at 10:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:00 PM 2 hours ago, MANDA said: And if correct will also keep things on the drier side of normal on a NW flow. Thats going to be wonderful in the summer to keep the humidity low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM Man that wind sucks today. My veggies keep getting torn up. Almost regretting planting based on temps and disccounting winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Monday at 12:24 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:24 AM Gorgeous week coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted Monday at 03:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:04 AM 5 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Thats going to be wonderful in the summer to keep the humidity low. I doubt this pattern lasts throughout the summer. I'd be quite surprised if it did. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted Monday at 03:17 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:17 AM 12Z euro actually had two quite warm days warm days May 7th, 8th....outside chance at a stray 90 or two. I do not believe it will happen but we'll see. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Monday at 10:36 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:36 AM 10 hours ago, ag3 said: Gorgeous week coming up. Yeah, warmer and drier than normal until further notice. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted Monday at 10:47 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:47 AM 19 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: So along the lines of what this map is showing as shared earlier: https://www.drought.gov/topics/soil-moisture Seeing it laid out like that is interesting. I move around a lot and some areas seem to handle low soil moisture better than others. N and W are so much more heavily forested that it makes more of a difference. 17 hours ago, LibertyBell said: so about 10-20 percent for the majority of our area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Monday at 11:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:09 AM 24 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Seeing it laid out like that is interesting. I move around a lot and some areas seem to handle low soil moisture better than others. N and W are so much more heavily forested that it makes more of a difference. The very low soil moisture has been pretty persistent as the strong winds quickly dry things out behind the parade of storms through the Great Lakes that have been generally underperforming on moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Monday at 12:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:33 PM 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: Seeing it laid out like that is interesting. I move around a lot and some areas seem to handle low soil moisture better than others. N and W are so much more heavily forested that it makes more of a difference. I believe that there are a number of factors that affect soil moisture. Soil type would be a key factor, as would depth to bedrock I would think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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