2025-2026 ENSO

[GaWx]

11 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Thanks. This is what I was looking at directly from ECMWF rather than from WxBell and also this is strictly for Dec 1-21: still no prevailing +PNA

Dec 1-7: coldest MW to Rockies vs mainly NN NE/SE

Dec 8-14: coldest MW to N Rockies; slightly cold NE; NN SE

 

Dec 15-21: slightly cold NE, NN SE

[FPizz]

23 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Thanks. This is what I was looking at directly from ECMWF rather than from WxBell and also this is strictly for Dec 1-21: still no prevailing +PNA

Dec 1-7: coldest MW to Rockies vs mainly NN NE/SE

Dec 8-14: coldest MW to N Rockies; slightly cold NE; NN SE

 

Dec 15-21: slightly cold NE, NN SE

Thanks for these.  I'll take anything that has normal and slightly below normal at this point in the winter season.  Anything else, especially early in the season, in my head in my location still means more of a chance of rain over wintry precip with the average highs still being well over freezing.  

[mitchnick]

37 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Thanks. This is what I was looking at directly from ECMWF rather than from WxBell and also this is strictly for Dec 1-21: still no prevailing +PNA

Dec 1-7: coldest MW to Rockies vs mainly NN NE/SE

Dec 8-14: coldest MW to N Rockies; slightly cold NE; NN SE

 

Dec 15-21: slightly cold NE, NN SE

Coast to coast cold. Hmmmm

[GaWx]

28 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Coast to coast cold. Hmmmm

Indeed, there’s a much greater % of the conus with BN vs AN in weeks 1-2 of Dec.

[stadiumwave]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

Thanks. This is what I was looking at directly from ECMWF rather than from WxBell and also this is strictly for Dec 1-21: still no prevailing +PNA

Dec 1-7: coldest MW to Rockies vs mainly NN NE/SE

Dec 8-14: coldest MW to N Rockies; slightly cold NE; NN SE

 

Dec 15-21: slightly cold NE, NN SE

 

What's crazy is just like last fall, we have been mostly +PNA since mid-Oct, and really since mid-Sept mostly +PNA. If that holds most of winter it would be unusual.