February 2025

[Stormlover74]

Monmouth-nyc jackpot on east but everyone gets crushed

[nycsnow]

31 inches nyc lol

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[Heisy]

This reeks of an nyc-sne special. I’d be excited if I were you guys


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[MJO812]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

31 inches nyc lol

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If this happens I would be over 45 inches for the winter lol. 

[Heisy]

massive change on the GFS

Yea it finally handled the ULl like other models. Lots to resolve, but obviously we know what want to see happen here. Get that thing as far S as possible


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[weathermedic]

Looks great, however a couple of things to keep in mind. It’s the GFS. It’s a week away. Looks like it’s developing a double barrel low off the coast. Those usually don’t work out too well for us.

[Heisy]

CMC looks relatively similar to the GFS through 120 hours.


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[MJO812]

Just now, weathermedic said:

Looks great, however a couple of things to keep in mind. It’s the GFS. It’s a week away. Looks like it’s developing a double barrel low off the coast. Those usually don’t work out too well for us.

The pattern will be the best so far this season. The AO is crashing towards negative 5 and when that happens , get ready.

[winterwx21]

Of course we're gonna go back and forth for days with solutions that hit us and solutions that miss us. It'll be a long time before we know, but at least we have major potential. This will be interesting to track. 

[LVblizzard]

2 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Yea it finally handled the ULl like other models. Lots to resolve, but obviously we know what want to see happen here. Get that thing as far S as possible


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We only want it as far south as possible if it drops west of the Great Lakes. If it’s over the lakes or the northeast it suppresses our storm to the south.

[Heisy]

This looks super ominous…

Phase occurring it seems




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[nycsnow]

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[Nibor]

9 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

massive change on the GFS

[Heisy]

Wow




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[brooklynwx99]

yeah, CMC is phasing

[nycsnow]

Here it comes 

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[Heisy]

I continue to say that H5 is pretty similar to March 2001. Piece of tpv breaks off and drops down to phase with southern shortwave


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[nycsnow]

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[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

I continue to say that H5 is pretty similar to March 2001. Piece of tpv breaks off and drops down to phase with southern shortwave


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How dare you

[Franklin0529]

9 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

Good lord

 

[Metasequoia]

Models have been consistently showing a storm around this time-frame for several days now. Still six or so days away though.

[MJO812]

[Irish]

28 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It's coming up

And the GFS was the model that had it sliding out to sea.  The Euro was the model that had it running up the coast and giving us a big hit.  So, the GFS is moving toward the Euro?  

[Heisy]

This looks good off the free maps…




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[eduggs]

Great 0z cycle. GFS, CMC, and even ICON are not that far off aloft. Big time threat. I'd ignore the kuchera snow output for now as it can only lead to disappointment.

[cleetussnow]

14 minutes ago, Heisy said:

I continue to say that H5 is pretty similar to March 2001. Piece of tpv breaks off and drops down to phase with southern shortwave


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Lol and it rains then dryslots NYC.  Pass.

[Monty]

25 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

massive change on the GFS

Yes but is that change correct or noise. Here's the last six runs and we can see some buckling of the northern stream jet but it really takes tonight's 00z run to bring home the bacon. I want it. 

[Heisy]

Lol and it rains then dryslots NYC.  Pass.

I’m just talking about the overall H5 progression with the tpv dropping south into a separate wave…not the actual results.







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[nycsnow]

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[nycsnow]

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