stormtracker Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, Solution Man said: Get your sleep FOLKS If this was like 100 hours instead of 192, I'd be way more excited. I fucking hate the GFS 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 2 minutes ago, snowdude said: CMC has a 984mb low pressure pulling away off the Jersey coast after burying us with 10-20 inches of snow! it's a bit more than 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: If this was like 100 hours instead of 192, I'd be way more excited. I fucking hate the GFS That damn model is clearly a POS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: If this was like 100 hours instead of 192, I'd be way more excited. I fucking hate the GFS Give it 4 more days and it will be 96 hours. We’re good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 4 minutes ago, Amped said: Historic... heavy snow from Texas to Atlanta to Maine. Zr down to Florida. Atlanta smashes their snowfall record of 8.4” on this run by about 150. South would be paralyzed. God, would be fun even just to track if we somehow got skunked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: it's a bit more than 10 Weatherbell isn’t as generous as the other Kuchera maps…. Shows 10-12” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, T. August said: Weatherbell isn’t as generous as the other Kuchera maps…. Shows 10-12” Ah. Ok. Don't have the pretty WB stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 1 minute ago, T. August said: Weatherbell isn’t as generous as the other Kuchera maps…. Shows 10-12” Precip map. Draw your own conclusions on ratios with CCB and 15 degree temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If this was like 100 hours instead of 192, I'd be way more excited. I fucking hate the GFS The fact that it has nothing on Sunday just means to disregard the whole run. It's carp I tell you, carp! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Precip map. Draw your own conclusions on ratios with CCB and 15 degree temps. 86 inches for DC 2 3 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 DC area down to -11F morning after. This might be the most beautiful model run I've ever seen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: The fact that it has nothing on Sunday just means to disregard the whole run. It's carp I tell you, carp! Don’t worry, the Euro is about to rock our world like Jenna Jameson. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Ukie Sunday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Gonna need that 24" to stay ahead of Birmingham. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 The GEM (which is a REAL FUCKING GEM right now) might be onto something. Didn't we sniff out all the big storms (2010s, Jan 2016, etc.) a week or so in advance? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie Sunday Ukie also looks very euro like for the second storm out west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, LP08 said: Ukie also looks very euro like for the second storm out west. Just getting ready to look. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 The GEM is legit to weenies like I for a few reasons: 1. Models have trended better 2. lots of snow 3. la nina pattern (Jan 96) and anniversary of Jan 22-23, 2016 blizzard is for sure a sign from God. 4. lots of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Ukie at 168hrs. Not so sure it brings it up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 19 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Give it 4 more days and it will be 96 hours. We’re good. I figure 12 hours should do. Very in character. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Ukie at 168hrs. Not so sure it brings it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Okay. This shit is seriously crazy. Is something historic on the table? Yes. I am NOT saying we get a blizzard. I am saying, however, that somebody will be VERY happy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Can we play connect the dots there and say that it would bring indeed bring it up in the next panels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 11 hours ago, Ji said: acceptable solution 30 minutes ago, mitchnick said: @Jiis this "satisfactory"???? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Can we play connect the dots there and say that it would bring indeed bring it up in the next panels? I think it would bring some precip up. Whether it would bring the full load, idk. Depends if the southern lobe of the 5H vort was continuing to rotate enough counterclockwise. Imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 I mean.... wow. At H5 the GFS, GEM, & ICON really aren't that far apart and they have had the energy being held back further out west. The only reason the GFS is not translating into a storm for someone (or a larger storm) is because of the baja bowling ball. It shears the Western shortwave and flatens the flow. Get rid of or mute it some, and I think everyone would have a smile on their face in some capacity. Ya'll wanted to go big dog hunting? This could be it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 Dr. No is rolling, this should be a fun one to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: The 2 feet it dumps on Augusta GA give me great confidence in the accuracy of this run Especially when it's only 100 or less away from literally nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 5 minutes ago, Alfoman said: I mean.... wow. At H5 the GFS, GEM, & ICON really aren't that far apart and they have had the energy being held back further out west. The only reason the GFS is not translating into a storm for someone (or a larger storm) is because of the baja bowling ball. It shears the Western shortwave and flatens the flow. Get rid of or mute it some, and I think everyone would have a smile on their face in some capacity. Ya'll wanted to go big dog hunting? This could be it. Didn't most models sniff out the big blizzards (2010s, 2016 Jan) one week out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 15, 2025 Share Posted January 15, 2025 2 minutes ago, Alfoman said: Dr. No is rolling, this should be a fun one to watch! BUT, Doctor NO sometimes play Doctor YES. This is what we need to be looking for, and STILL keep that popcorn ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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