Bluescat1 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/fp0_006.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 5h low closed off in Lower Ohio Valley at 12 -- N KY/S IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 it came west, big hit I-95 and SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NAM is a huge improvement down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 this nam run a bit wetter for dc area through 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Well what did you guys expect? it could only come west with the feedback errors..Its now more in line with GFS and EURO, we have a consensus ladies and gents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 man, this has such a nice turn to the clouds in response to the 5H low http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/DATA/RT/na-wv-loop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 @30 hours still snowing down into SC. Now just moisten this baby up some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
voodoosnowgoddess Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 is there a nowcasting thread for this storm or is that just being done through the model threads? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 As I posted during the last storm. NAM still sucks!!! Let's all remember that during the next threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 E PA/NJ/NYC/SNE gets absolutely crushed/destroyed/paralyzed/annihilated this run. Also glad to see the NAM throwing back more precip for DC/BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 is there a nowcasting thread for this storm or is that just being done through the model threads? Please look at the main forum page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 is there a nowcasting thread for this storm or is that just being done through the model threads? Check the regional forums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 E PA/NJ/NYC/SNE gets absolutely crushed/destroyed/paralyzed/annihilated this run. Also glad to see the NAM throwing back more precip for DC/BWI. with this track we'll likely see more than depicted by nam.... also, just crawling from 30-42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
voodoosnowgoddess Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Please look at the main forum page. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 It's continuous improvement, I expect it to continue to shift west take a look at the 19z RUC h5. Looks very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 man, this has such a nice turn to the clouds in response to the 5H low http://www.ssd.noaa....na-wv-loop.html That is just gorgeous..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SNE is likely going to deal with either a nasty dryslot or a changeover to rain, according to the NAM/GFS... the 18z NAM seems to support that idea with the 700 low very close to Boston. Should still get a decent front-end thump, though... NYC/PHL are clearly the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxnut Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 E PA/NJ/NYC/SNE gets absolutely crushed/destroyed/paralyzed/annihilated this run. Also glad to see the NAM throwing back more precip for DC/BWI. So what moniker will this baby get? "Snowmageddon" is so last winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 So what moniker will this baby get? "Snowmageddon" is so last winter! Christmas Miracle Storm of 2010 Dubbed it last night in Mid-Atlantic board. XD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LehighValleyDad Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Anyone have the 42 hr sim radar please? Am new to all the links for all these various items. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 HR 30 at 850...just wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 15z SREF MUCH WETTER THAN 18Z NAM http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SREF21PCNTOTNE_15z/f87.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 15z SREF MUCH WETTER THAN 18Z NAM http://www.meteo.psu...TNE_15z/f87.gif I think the nam may still be having problems it's precip west of the low because of the convection that fomrs that initally elongates the low so it takes longer to get the cold conveyor belt going. I suspect its qpf will edge west over the dca/bwi area on the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cp63 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 15z SREF MUCH WETTER THAN 18Z NAM http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SREF21PCNTOTNE_15z/f87.gif wow.....14 out of 21 are big ticket amounts.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I think the nam may still be having problems it's precip west of the low because of the convection that fomrs that initally elongates the low so it takes longer to get the cold conveyor belt going. I suspect its qpf will edge west over the dca/bwi area on the next run. Hey Wes, I think we might do better than most here give us credit for. I really like the SREFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hey Wes, I think we might do better than most here give us credit for. I really like the SREFS the h5 low is pretty good for your area. granted it strengthens more as it passes over VA into the open waters, but the track is really good for u.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hey Wes, I think we might do better than most here give us credit for. I really like the SREFS Regardless, it will be pretty and for us a decent snow with no mixing issues and if we get some banding. There certainly is still some wiggle room on amounts as the nam still looks funny. The water vapor imagery looks pretty good. It will be interesting to see what the 18Z gfs goes with. Right now I'd go between the euro and the sref ensemble mean. From Dc east I think 5-8 is probably a better call than 3-6 now that I've seen the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 the h5 low is pretty good for your area. granted it strengthens more as it passes over VA into the open waters, but the track is really good for u.... Agree. Track is really good for VA/MD. A little stronger than modeled and we get good precip all the way to the apps. DC would get into the heavier stuff too. Pressure is already 4+/- mbs lower than what was modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Regardless, it will be pretty and for us a decent snow with no mixing issues and if we get some banding. There certainly is still some wiggle room on amounts as the nam still looks funny. The water vapor imagery looks pretty good. It will be interesting to see what the 18Z gfs goes with. Right now I'd go between the euro and the sref ensemble mean. From Dc east I think 5-8 is probably a better call than 3-6 now that I've seen the nam. LWX going for 6 to 10 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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