August 2024

[Allsnow]

25 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Probably  have to rely on convection for rains next few weeks as the tropics look quieter after Ernesto. We’ll see if one of the waves can enhance the rainfall or maybe try to develop as we get closer to September.
 

 

Has it been a bit slower in The Atlantic than anticipated this year? 

[uofmiami]

28 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Has it been a bit slower in The Atlantic than anticipated this year? 

What do you think? 

[SACRUS]

 

75 / 64 sunny with smokey haze.   Warmest day of the next 7 and clouds already into WPA.  Upper 80s and low 90s in the warm spots.  Clouds and showers Sat and more storms and rain Sun / Mon.  Cooler Tue  - Thu next week.  Warmer by next weekend and chance for a hotter period the last week as heights raise along the east coast with western heat expanding east.

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

Has it been a bit slower in The Atlantic than anticipated this year? 

Yeah, seasonal forecasts like the Euro just rely on SST and La Niña. They don’t forecast dust very well which is an inhibiting factor. But the dust usually relaxes in a September which could allow things to ramp up in September with the record SSTs and La Niña as we approach the peak of the hurricane season.
 

 

[Allsnow]

17 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

What do you think? 

It doesn’t matter what I think….

[bluewave]

Looks like the thickest smoke of the season so far.

 

 

[Stormlover74]

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Euro is very wet for this weekend into Monday 

Nam coming in wet now too

 

[forkyfork]

48 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nam coming in wet now too

 

looking like a pivoting band somewhere near the metro 

[Allsnow]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nam coming in wet now too

 

Icon 

[uofmiami]

6 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Icon 

Rain this weekend?

[winterwx21]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nam coming in wet now too

 

We're going to need the rain this weekend too, because it looks like a VERY long dry stretch after Monday. 

[forkyfork]

ripping out my zucchini and cukes and starting fall stuff today 

[Allsnow]

44 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

Rain this weekend?

What do you think?

[uofmiami]

21 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

What do you think?

Sure looks it on the maps.  Or perhaps, "it doesn't matter what I think"  For someone that can post and look at maps yourself, you sure post odd questions. 

[Sharknado123]

1 hour ago, uofmiami said:

Sure looks it on the maps.  Or perhaps, "it doesn't matter what I think"  For someone that can post and look at maps yourself, you sure post odd questions. 

Haha. If you can't handle sass don't sass someone else over a similarly equivalent situation. Wake up!

[SACRUS]

88 / 61

[bluewave]

It will be interesting to see the HREF once this gets into its range. The Euro has a weak secondary low that stalls the convection Sunday night. These have produced heavy rainfall events in the past especially in August. So it will be interesting to see the exact track in later runs. 
 

[cleetussnow]

6 hours ago, forkyfork said:

ripping out my zucchini and cukes and starting fall stuff today 

Ok sounds like fun no pics please

[rclab]

5 hours ago, forkyfork said:

ripping out my zucchini and cukes and starting fall stuff today 

 

1 hour ago, cleetussnow said:

Ok sounds like no pics please

forky’s transitioning to fall. As always ……

[SACRUS]

Ernesto approaching Hamilton, Bermuda - last vis before nightfall IR

 

[Dark Star]

5 hours ago, forkyfork said:

ripping out my zucchini and cukes and starting fall stuff today 

ripping out my crabgrass, but it grows back in 2 days...

[Allsnow]

 

[psv88]

86 today. 
 

Is it going to get cooler as we head toward winter?

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

TEB: 93
EWR: 89
ACY: 88
New Brnswck: 88
PHL: 88
NYC: 87
TTN: 87
JFK: 86
BLM: 85
LGA: 85
ISP: 84

[SACRUS]

8th 89 degree high at EWR this season.

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 99 (1944)
NYC: 96 (1944)
LGA: 96 (1997)
JFK: 93 (1997)

Lows:

EWR: 57 (1945) what a difference a year
NYC: 55 (1880)
LGA: 58 (1979)
JFK: 55 (1972)

Historical:

1777 - The Battle of Bennington, delayed a day by rain, was fought. The rain delayed British reinforcements, and allowed the Vermont Militia to arrive in time, enabling the Americans to win a victory by defeating two enemy forces, one at a time. (David Ludlum)

1909 - A dry spell began in San Bernardino County of southern California that lasted until the 6th of May in 1912, a stretch of 994 days! Another dry spell, lasting 767 days, then began in October of 1912. (The Weather Channel)

1916 - Altapass, NC, was deluged with 22.22 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather from Oklahoma to Wisconsin and Lower Michigan. Thunderstorms in central Illinois produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Springfield which toppled two large beer tents at the state fair injuring 58 persons. Thunderstorms also drenched Chicago IL with 2.90 inches of rain, making August 1987 their wettest month of record. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a slow moving cold front produced severe weather from North Dakota to Lower Michigan during the day. Nine tornadoes were sighted in North Dakota, and thunderstorms also produced hail three inches in diameter at Lakota ND, and wind gusts to 83 mph at Marais MI. Thirty-seven cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Rockford IL with a reading of 104 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms in the Central High Plains Region produced golf ball size hail at La Junta CO, Intercanyon CO, and Custer SD. Afternoon thunderstorms over South Texas drenched Brownsville with 2.60 inches of rain. Fair skies allowed viewing of the late evening full lunar eclipse from the Great Lakes Region to the Northern and Central Plains Region, and across much of the western third of the country. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992 - One of the most destructive United States hurricanes of record started modestly as a tropical wave that emerged from the west coast of Africa on August 14. The wave spawned a tropical depression on August 16, which became Tropical Storm Andrew the next day.

[Stormlover74]

New York City Parks officials are closing beaches across Brooklyn and Queens to swimmers this weekend in anticipation of life-threatening rip currents and other hazards expected from Hurricane Ernesto.

The beaches, including at Jacob Riis Park, will be closed Saturday, Aug 17 and Sunday Aug. 18.

The National Weather Service is forecasting local ocean swells of up to 6 feet in height and predicting wind gusts up to 12 miles per hour.

[psv88]

13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

New York City Parks officials are closing beaches across Brooklyn and Queens to swimmers this weekend in anticipation of life-threatening rip currents and other hazards expected from Hurricane Ernesto.

The beaches, including at Jacob Riis Park, will be closed Saturday, Aug 17 and Sunday Aug. 18.

The National Weather Service is forecasting local ocean swells of up to 6 feet in height and predicting wind gusts up to 12 miles per hour.

Wow gusts to 12 mph. Be safe everyone!

[Stormlover74]

10 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Wow gusts to 12 mph. Be safe everyone!

An umbrella might tip over

[tdp146]

I was on the beach this evening and the Long period swell is already hitting the beaches. It’s not terribly big (yet) but it is powerful. You can feel the difference even in ankle deep water between an ‘everyday’ wave and something generated by a hurricane.