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7 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Wasn’t the blue angles, they were half way through the show (they are at the end) and they had cancel the show. A ridiculously thick fog bank rolled in off the ocean. It’s still so foggy here at jones beach we have the water closed as we can’t see the water from the life guard stand. And speaking of the water it’s incredibly warm for this early in the season. A couple sunny warm days and light winds and it’s in the mid 60s

Nah they were up in the air over the mainland for a bit.  But my parents, who went to Jones Beach, did not get to see them since, like you said, they were called off.  Was a very nice day here until the marine layer rolled in.

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71/ 69 mainly cloudy 0.16 in between 5-7AM.  Shower storms later / evening.  Trough into the NE this week, overall near to slightly below normal through the 31st.   Flow flattens by this coming weekend, so perhaps a dry weekend.   No 90 heat in sight through the 8th. 

 

Could see evolution of Plains/GL ridge by the 8th,perhaps ridging pushes east beyond there.

 

GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

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Where does it look like the heaviest rain will be today? I need to get some lime and fert on the grass but don’t want it to washout if it’s going to be heavy rain. 

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9 minutes ago, NCPOW said:

Where does it look like the heaviest rain will be today? I need to get some lime and fert on the grass but don’t want it to washout if it’s going to be heavy rain. 

Pretty much area wide but I'm sure a few places will miss out

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   Mesoscale Discussion 1013

   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

   1053 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

 

   Areas affected...northern VA into parts of MD...DE...central/western PA...NJ...and NY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

 Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...One or more watches will likely be needed in the next 1-2 hours. Damaging gusts, large hail and a couple of tornadoes are possible with bands of thunderstorms through early evening.

 

 DISCUSSION...Modest destabilization is occurring from south to north ahead of an eastward-advancing front at midday. Stronger instability will generally remain across the PA/NJ vicinity southward, where dewpoints are in the upper 60s F, and decrease with northward extent into central NY. Nevertheless, favorable vertical shear supporting organized bands of convection is already in place across the region.

   A mixed mode of supercells and bows is expected as convection increases in coverage after 18z. While deep-layer flow will largely remain unidirectional, some curvature of low-level hodographs and backed low-level winds is evident in a corridor from eastern VA into eastern PA/western NJ. A couple of tornadoes could occur in this  area. Otherwise, damaging gusts and hail will be the primary hazard through this afternoon/early evening. One or more watches will likely be needed in the next couple of hours as stronger destabilization occurs and stronger large-scale ascent overspreads  the region.

mcd1013.png

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