April 2024

[psv88]

56 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Brutal 

 

 

It’s 64 now with dim sun

[psv88]

64 here and 46 in Boston. Yikes. 

[Brian5671]

Just now, psv88 said:

64 here and 46 in Boston. Yikes. 

51 here

[psv88]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

51 here

Wild. Check out Wunderground. Crazy gradient between the island and CT

[Allsnow]

4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

64 here and 46 in Boston. Yikes. 

59 here 

[JerseyWx]

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Our cool downs are still above normal 

Yeah but that's because of the warmer lows.  Our daytime highs haven't been anything crazy.

[TJW014]

Balmy 68 here. Dew point up to 63. Getting breezy.

[Stormlover74]

Euro a deluge now

[snowman19]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Euro a deluge now

Nice! 1-2 more inches of rain between now and Sunday. Just what we need….

[psv88]

48 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Yeah but that's because of the warmer lows.  Our daytime highs haven't been anything crazy.

Not sure why it matters that the warming may be largely from lows. Warmer is warmer. High lows means fewer mornings with frosts and freezes that kill bugs. One could argue that higher lows has more of an impact on that environment than higher highs

[snowman19]

30 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Not sure why it matters that the warming may be largely from lows. Warmer is warmer. High lows means fewer mornings with frosts and freezes that kill bugs. One could argue that higher lows has more of an impact on that environment than higher highs

The peepers have been out at night since mid-March. This was the earliest I can ever remember that

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

The peepers have been out at night since mid-March. This was the earliest I can ever remember that

yeah noticed that too-they were loud Tuesday night with the warmth.

[snowman19]

@Bluewave

Growing support for east-west tracks and not recurving hurricanes/tropical storms. Haven’t seen that in awhile

[Brian5671]

14 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

@Bluewave

Growing support for east-west tracks and not recurving hurricanes/tropical storms. Haven’t seen that in awhile
 

An Insurance nightmare waiting to happen...

[psv88]

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

An Insurance nightmare waiting to happen...

May be a lot of people moving back north from Florida…

[Allsnow]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Euro a deluge now

Radar supports this IMO 

[uofmiami]

12 minutes ago, psv88 said:

May be a lot of people moving back north from Florida…

They already are, there's been articles in the NYT & WSJ about it.  Many are moving to GA & NC it seems.  Some are moving back to the NYC area as well.

[FPizz]

3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

 

Happy the freak snow band in that one event got me to pretty much normal at 28.75" for the season and like 22 days of snowcover for the year.  Snow normal, temps even close.  

[Brian5671]

19 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

They already are, there's been articles in the NYT & WSJ about it.  Many are moving to GA & NC it seems.  Some are moving back to the NYC area as well.

It's still booming-my folks are in Naples in the winter and the construction there is crazy

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Not sure why it matters that the warming may be largely from lows. Warmer is warmer. High lows means fewer mornings with frosts and freezes that kill bugs. One could argue that higher lows has more of an impact on that environment than higher highs

Because "hot days" are defined by the number of times it hits 90 degrees.  How hot a summer is, is tangibly defined that way.  I'm done with the humidity driven overnight lows.  Higher lows come from humidity, while actual heat determines how many times we hit 90 degrees.

[uofmiami]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

It's still booming-my folks are in Naples in the winter and the construction there is crazy

I don't doubt that one bit.  The inflow of new residents is still outpacing those moving out, but some are moving out after having settled in FL for a year or so.

[LibertyBell]

59 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

@Bluewave

Growing support for east-west tracks and not recurving hurricanes/tropical storms. Haven’t seen that in awhile
 

This means a hotter summer too, and probably strong westerly flow at our latitude

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, uofmiami said:

I don't doubt that one bit.  The inflow of new residents is still outpacing those moving out, but some are moving out after having settled in FL for a year or so.

Yeah I read that article too.  Summers there would be brutal honestly.    Even when I've been in mid April the sun beating down is tough.

[HailMan06]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

An Insurance nightmare waiting to happen...

Yup one more Andrew but shifted 25-40 miles north and it’s lights out for Florida’s economy.

[the_other_guy]

9 minutes ago, HailMan06 said:

Yup one more Andrew but shifted 25-40 miles north and it’s lights out for Florida’s economy.

Andrew was small. The storms today are wider with more damage potential. Frankly, same threat in NYC.

Florida is a little overheated right now and it cant continue like that. What was once cheap isnt as cheap anymore because of demand. Hence GA and the Carolinas.

The SE will continue to grow at the expense of places like NY as they have the right combo of low taxes, low cost of living, newer housing stock, and better weather plus a ton of business opportunities.

If you can afford to live in Westchester or on the north shore of Long Island and you work from home, you could have a nice suburban life here for an exorbitant cost. If you live in Queens like I used to, you are giving half your pay check to a landlord to live in an apartment that your grandparents grew up in and everything around you is old, broken, small and/ or dirty. Everything from food shopping to the Post Office to the gym is subpar to every other part of America. 

That is why SE wins and few if any move back

 

[donsutherland1]

Periods of rain and some thunderstorms are likely tonight into tomorrow. Much of the region will pick up 0.50"-1.50" of rain with some locally higher amounts. The wind could gust past 40 mph tonight into tomorrow.

In the wake of the storm, a dry weekend will follow. It will turn briefly cooler on Saturday, but warmer air will quickly return starting on Sunday. Temperatures could again reach the 70s early next week.Even warmer temperatures are possible.

Given the near-term warmth and extended guidance, New York City's Central Park is all but certain to finish the 2023-2024 snow season with less than 10" of seasonal snowfall for a record second consecutive season. Records go back to 1869.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.2°C for the week centered around April 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring.

The SOI was -15.14 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.117 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 79% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.1° (2.5° above normal).

 

[donsutherland1]

53 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Andrew was small. The storms today are wider with more damage potential. Frankly, same threat in NYC.

Florida is a little overheated right now and it cant continue like that. What was once cheap isnt as cheap anymore because of demand. Hence GA and the Carolinas.

The SE will continue to grow at the expense of places like NY as they have the right combo of low taxes, low cost of living, newer housing stock, and better weather plus a ton of business opportunities.

If you can afford to live in Westchester or on the north shore of Long Island and you work from home, you could have a nice suburban life here for an exorbitant cost. If you live in Queens like I used to, you are giving half your pay check to a landlord to live in an apartment that your grandparents grew up in and everything around you is old, broken, small and/ or dirty. Everything from food shopping to the Post Office to the gym is subpar to every other part of America. 

That is why SE wins and few if any move back

 

A 1926-type hit on Miami would be far more damaging today.

[JerseyWx]

3 hours ago, psv88 said:

Not sure why it matters that the warming may be largely from lows. Warmer is warmer. High lows means fewer mornings with frosts and freezes that kill bugs. One could argue that higher lows has more of an impact on that environment than higher highs

I'm not arguing at all against the fact it's warming.  Just stating that the lows have been contributing to our AN departures recently.

[Stormlover74]

Radar is back up. Very muggy out now

[LibertyBell]

8 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

I'm not arguing at all against the fact it's warming.  Just stating that the lows have been contributing to our AN departures recently.

it's why our summers don't have the length of heatwaves they used to.  Look at the length of heatwaves from the 50s to the 90s vs what passes for heatwave now-- the differences are eyeopening.