Lava Rock Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 It’s an impressive period. Noteworthy. I don’t know what changed between the fall and winter seasons. Something in the global pattern switched to lead to incredible departures compared to the climo baseline. El Niño, Pacific flow. Local departures at MVL ASOS: November... -0.2 December... +7.8 January... +8.1 February... +8.4 That is wild. First five days of March are averaging +12 to +13F at BTV, MPV, MVL, 1V4 (the main climo sites) too. Anyone know what switch was flipped? Chem trails, balloons and other fun govt experiments Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Both EPS and GEFS have a mega EPO negative signal. That's a cold shot combined with a rising PNA . So after the 15th looks BN 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 At least today we're going to have a little variation. I think my thermostat was stuck on 41. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 41 and lots of bird song this A.M. Also realized the grass in our back yard is starting to grow in certain areas... as well as chives that are 5 inches tall. SO many chives in the lawn for some reason haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Torch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Delusions! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Both EPS and GEFS have a mega EPO negative signal. That's a cold shot combined with a rising PNA . So after the 15th looks BN 2 weeks away Surely it’ll verify this time 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Clouds cleared off early this morning and this cold pit of a valley managed to radiate down to 30.2°. Shuffled out on the deck still half asleep to empty the Stratus and nearly went ass-over-teakettle after slipping on ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Both EPS and GEFS have a mega EPO negative signal. That's a cold shot combined with a rising PNA . So after the 15th looks BN We have seen that modeled a few times this season and its never been completely successful....it was a complete failure in December and February. I am going to go ahead and call BS on that once again considering that the MJO is going to be traversing the MC at a decent amplitude. Sure, maybe just an ass-like period and not an all out torch, but remember....we can end up with a solidly above average month via just mild daily mins, too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Pretty blues at 500. Take the over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 I’m sure a few days will be -1 but with no snowpack those nice blues at 500 can be DSD 50-55 days easily. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 I believe it I'm praying for a damp spring 1 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 The only thing it could provide is an interesting late season event should everything come together right, but again talk to me inside 5 days. Just like these next two events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The only thing it could provide is an interesting mate season event should everything come together right, but again talk to me inside 5 days. Just like these next two events. Yea, you defintely want things to come together right during that season- 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, you defintely want things to come together right during that season- we edit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Just now, CoastalWx said: we edit. We maritally project? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The only thing it could provide is an interesting late season event should everything come together right, but again talk to me inside 5 days. Just like these next two events. Totally agree. Its such a wet pattern that I can totally see a relative absence of "nice" weather, yet a string of days with relatively stagnant temps so that the high daily mins drive up the monthly departure, like January 2021. There are alot of those sneaky warm stretches during the CC era. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 31 minutes ago, dendrite said: 2 weeks away Surely it’ll verify this time Buckle up chicken man. You about to go back to winter. 10 days away here's a 5 day composite oh and Congrats Dendy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m sure a few days will be -1 but with no snowpack those nice blues at 500 can be DSD 50-55 days easily. We furnace 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty blues at 500. Take the over. Those blues go all the way to the surface. Denial is a river in Africa 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: We furnace I highly doubt anyone will describe 45 to 50 as furnace. Your March 12 went down the drain. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We have seen that modeled a few times this season and its never been completely successful....it was a complete failure in December and February. I am going to go ahead and call BS on that once again considering that the MJO is going to be traversing the MC at a decent amplitude. Sure, maybe just an ass-like period and not an all out torch, but remember....we can end up with a solidly above average month via just mild daily mins, too. All in myself. Teleconnections this time in sync. My forecast. Solid BN for a week with a snow event tossed in . 15th thru 22nd . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We have seen that modeled a few times this season and its never been completely successful....it was a complete failure in December and February. I am going to go ahead and call BS on that once again considering that the MJO is going to be traversing the MC at a decent amplitude. Sure, maybe just an ass-like period and not an all out torch, but remember....we can end up with a solidly above average month via just mild daily mins, too. I don't remember epo forecasted in the negative 5/6 range but I will take your word for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Those blues go all the way to the surface. Denial is a river in Africa I'm still shoveling from the blues since December. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: All in myself. Teleconnections this time in sync. My forecast. Solid BN for a week with a snow event tossed in . 15th thru 22nd . Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 The EPS is not even below normal for surface temps. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 I'm not going to be surprised if we get some late season annoying event. Too little too late. But this rain sucks 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Totally agree. Its such a wet pattern that I can totally see a relative absence of "nice" weather, yet a string of days with relatively stagnant temps so that the high daily mins drive up the monthly departure, like January 2021. There are alot of those sneaky warm stretches during the CC era. Yea that’s how it looks. Very Far from a march 2012 torch and just far enough from a SoP snow potential. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I'm not going to be surprised if we get some late season annoying event. Too little too late. But this rain sucks Dude ... after the 40 or 50 years of our lives [probably] suffering the vicissitudes of New England climate betwixt March 10 and May 10 ... this doesn't suck. It just is... normal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Buckle up chicken man. You about to go back to winter. 10 days away here's a 5 day composite oh and Congrats Dendy One thing I will agree with, is there happens to be a strong low during that time, you could bring some of that cold down to the surface. That’s where your snow potential exists. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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