RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 WWGW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: The ground is so warm for this time of year that the snow melts from below and above.. Ground is sufficiently cold. My street had no problem with snow sticking even being above freezing for days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 35 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Some of These people are just completely out of their gord. Now we have people saying snow melts as quickly as it stops in mid February…WTF? Who the heck are these dummies? And they have the nerve to say it happens in NNE too. This place is a complete f’n dumpster fire. Lots of utter worthless and untrue BS. You ever tried riding in the river valleys in late February? It usually sucks. I've been riding in Baker River Area for years and around 20 Feb the trails are usually toast, half gravel half snow. Maybe not every year, but most. The elevations are still ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Tthe sun angle in mid-late Feb (next shot at any decent snows) does nothing to snow pack. Lol deluded irony 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ground is sufficiently cold. My street had no problem with snow sticking even being above freezing for days. ..not here....on sunday the snow did not begin to accumulate until around 7 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Wolfie you should take you own advice and log off when nothing is going on and nothing is forecast to for 14 days , there is really nothing going on for days and all you Are gonna be is frustrated and then replying to people who are complaining the winter sucks . There is literally no upside for you I plan on doing the same as there isn’t much to talk about He needs to go sledding again. When he did that a few weeks back, he was so much happier. The second consecutive ratter has him on tilt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, Torch Tiger said: Tthe sun angle in mid-late Feb (next shot at any decent snows) does nothing to snow pack. Lol deluded irony ..drive up from billerica and I will disprove your theory lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gonegalt Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Wolfie you should take you own advice and log off when nothing is going on and nothing is forecast to for 14 days , there is really nothing going on for days and all you Are gonna be is frustrated and then replying to people who are complaining the winter sucks . There is literally no upside for you I plan on doing the same as there isn’t much to talk about Lots to talk about in NE NNE! Wolfie has a larger scope of interest than most Connecticutians here. It's not just his north facing yard pack at stake. Wife asked why the photo? I told her , "To tease the weenies". She said, "That's my job." 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ..not here....on sunday the snow did not begin to accumulate until around 7 PM I had snow and sleet stick Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I had snow and sleet stick Sunday morning. ..not here...had a spotty coating on the grass but most of that melted.....no real accumulation till around 7 PM Edit: had a total of 1.9 inches....certainly lost 1-2 inches of potential accumulation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 We've now come down to hr 372 maps to try to find winter, I'm going to go find more this weekend up into NW Maine. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Could see some hefty snow squalls up north Thursday. Very steep lapse rates with a potent vort rotating through 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 That curious look for the cold shot this weekend with massive ridge in plains and trough in the northeast is going to continue to flatten out It looks very MJO phase 6ish. Notorious lag, i know but we've been in phase 7 and will remain so into the weekend. Sell BN. Think good chance it turns out AN both days. Likely really nice for early feb.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ground is sufficiently cold. My street had no problem with snow sticking even being above freezing for days. This is what I mean…some of the stuff is laughable. That was my point. Sure feathers are gonna melt or sublimate. But as you said a girth pack ain’t melting much at all on Feb 15th as was said..and they even went so far as to say NNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, WinterWolf said: This is what I mean…some of the stuff is laughable. That was my point. Sure feathers are gonna melt or sublimate. But as you said a girth pack ain’t melting much at all on Feb 15th as was said..and they even went so far as to say NNE too. The snow/sleet on Sunday wasn't "feathers" and yesterday in the front yard it was melting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Were approaching sun angle talk season. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, dryslot said: Were approaching sun angle talk season. Dreading it. The most overrated, overused, and misunderstood concept on the planet 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, weatherwiz said: Dreading it. The most overrated, overused, and misunderstood concept on the planet only behind severe season in SNE??? lol 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 It’s snowing lightly and coating some. The 1/30 sun angle isn't vaporizing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, weatherwiz said: Dreading it. The most overrated, overused, and misunderstood concept on the planet I think it ranks above clown maps if that's even possible, I think a record was set on this last event with them............. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 17 minutes ago, jbenedet said: That curious look for the cold shot this weekend with massive ridge in plains and trough in the northeast is going to continue to flatten out It looks very MJO phase 6ish. Notorious lag, i know but we've been in phase 7 and will remain so into the weekend. Sell BN. Think good chance it turns out AN both days. Likely really nice for early feb.. It's kind of head scratching, actually ... The MJO is [apparently] better coupled now than it has been for a long while, evidenced [partially] because of what you said [and I agree]. The models are doing quite well to correlate a late phase 5 thru early 7 - with when/if applying the typically lag. What makes that interesting is that it should not be, not in a El Nino. Perhaps more akin to a La Nina. But it's not just the ability to couple so well - wtf is/was the MJO doing so robustly on the right side of the RMM in the first place. That's the neat part - 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, dryslot said: I think it ranks above clown maps if that's even possible, I think a record was set on this last event with them............. Thank God I was still taking a mental break for that lol. I seriously think so many end up just disappointing themselves b/c they have some odd fetish with clown maps. Some of these products (snow maps, supercell composite parameter, significant tornado parameter, the wind gust maps)...get overused and are misunderstood and when they don't "verify" they blame the models for being wrong and not good...maybe its the interpretations which aren't good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: It’s snowing lightly and coating some. The 1/30 sun angle isn't vaporizing it. Don’t tell that to 1717… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 37 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Wolfie you should take you own advice and log off when nothing is going on and nothing is forecast to for 14 days , there is really nothing going on for days and all you Are gonna be is frustrated and then replying to people who are complaining the winter sucks . There is literally no upside for you I plan on doing the same as there isn’t much to talk about Yup. Good advice. I’m out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Thank God I was still taking a mental break for that lol. I seriously think so many end up just disappointing themselves b/c they have some odd fetish with clown maps. Some of these products (snow maps, supercell composite parameter, significant tornado parameter, the wind gust maps)...get overused and are misunderstood and when they don't "verify" they blame the models for being wrong and not good...maybe its the interpretations which aren't good. I laid low in that thread, But was following along and yes, Some were really trying to convince themselves it was going to be a siggy event with 2 rounds of precip, Problem is and was, Mid level temps were so borderline on the first round that 1c in any direction had big implications even with good rates unless you had some elevation and the bulk of the heavy precip was there, Nam had a warm nose and usually you have to respect it when it shows up, I had expected 2-4" and ended up just above that @4.8". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I laid low in that thread, But was following along and yes, Some were really trying to convince themselves it was going to be a siggy event with 2 rounds of precip, Problem is and was, Mid level temps were so borderline on the first round that 1c in any direction had big implications even with good rates and the bulk of the heavy precip was there, Nam had a warm nose and usually you have to respect it when it shows up, I had expected 2-4" and ended up just above that @4.8". I did a little dabbling into and my thoughts were there could be a max area of 4-8'' somewhere but yeah that warm nose was a definite flag. This was a perfect setup as to when not to use snow maps...but when they're painting out 20'' or some unrealistic number...realism becomes fantasy and its just a downhill spiral from there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Don’t tell that to 1717… well it is cloudy today... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I did a little dabbling into and my thoughts were there could be a max area of 4-8'' somewhere but yeah that warm nose was a definite flag. This was a perfect setup as to when not to use snow maps...but when they're painting out 20'' or some unrealistic number...realism becomes fantasy and its just a downhill spiral from there. Once the snow goggles are in place, They're tough to pry off..........lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: well it is cloudy today... It’s been cloudy for 2 weeks…with a few minutes of sun here and there. Losing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Looks like were going to go half way thru Feb before we get another shot at some snow besides some squalls this weekend for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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