CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 From a met standpoint, this is incredible...I can't believe what just happened in the last 24 hrs. Stunning. Absolutely Stunning. I'm still wary of a further nw track and ptype issues, but man this is spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks like 06z models held serve from 00z, Winter storm watches are already posted here, Lets see if 12z can deliver the goods........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas everyone!! This could be one of the best bust ever!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 From a met standpoint, this is incredible...I can't believe what just happened in the last 24 hrs. Stunning. Absolutely Stunning. I'm still wary of a further nw track and ptype issues, but man this is spectacular. Well, I know it would suck if that happened for some down your way, But it would help up here........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 From a met standpoint, this is incredible...I can't believe what just happened in the last 24 hrs. Stunning. Absolutely Stunning. I'm still wary of a further nw track and ptype issues, but man this is spectacular. I'm not sure the NW trend is done. Hoping to cash in here, we've done quite well with similar looking systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Well, I know it would suck if that happened for some down your way, But it would help up here........ I'm not sure the NW trend is done. Hoping to cash in here, we've done quite well with similar looking systems. Yeah, I know what you guys want....lol. Actually, dryslot...you might not want this any further, because I could see a dryslot (haha) approaching cstl Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yeah, I know what you guys want....lol. Actually, dryslot...you might not want this any further, because I could see a dryslot (haha) approaching cstl Maine. 00z and 06z on both runs sort of leveled off the westward trend. Still nudged a bit but pretty stationary. And the NAM/SREFs have developed a decently little camp a bit east of the GFS. If the Euro holds firm or nudges east a tad will probably be a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
millpondwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 LOL, my son's doing flips because santa brough him a Wii. I'm doing flips after looking at the models. This has to be one of the most dramatic 5 days of lead-in to a storm. But I guess when you have up to 3 shortwaves phasing together you'll have to expect wild swings. Now its all about short term forecasting, placement of the heavy precip. coastal front, mixing etc.. Merry Christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Good morning. After last night's fiasco of a Christmas eve - yes we had men b**ch slapping men, with threats of beat down's and offers to "take it out side", all while opening gifts around the Christmas Tree - It's nice to wake up with an almost sure winter weather event in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Man reading that thread from last night as the models and esp the Euro coming out was classic. Weenies just being chucked thru the air striking people across the face... Awesome stuff It was La Epic! Merry Christmas and sit back and enjoy the day today. 06z GFS and NAM are pure porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm seeing evidence of some insane mesoscale things going on..even on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 . . . Any good "legal", updated models that can be posted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yeah, I know what you guys want....lol. Actually, dryslot...you might not want this any further, because I could see a dryslot (haha) approaching cstl Maine. Yeah Scott, But typically thats usually to my east, I would get some serious banding on the nw side if it does..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas everyone! Stayed up too late watching the Euro returns with 1500 other weenies but it had the excitement of a playoff game! GFS looks even better for W. Ma this morning - hopefully at nobody else expense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yeah Scott, But typically thats usually to my east, I would get some serious banding on the nw side if it does..... If it stays near the ME coast or goes a little further nw..you would probably have sick banding. The dryslot can enhance snow immediately on the nw side. It actually destabilizes the air in that band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas everyone! Stayed up too late watching the Euro returns with 1500 other weenies but it had the excitement of a playoff game! GFS looks even better for W. Ma this morning - hopefully at nobody else expense. There will be winners and losers, There always is with these type of storms........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm seeing evidence of some insane mesoscale things going on..even on the gfs. Where would those be setting up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If it stays near the ME coast or goes a little further nw..you would probably have sick banding. The dryslot can enhance snow immediately on the nw side. It actually destabilizes the air in that band. At times i am just NW of the coastal front which as we know can be good or can be bad depending on how much of a push we get, I thought 06 nam if i remeber i have looked at so many runs this am looked like a pretty solid track for here....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 It was La Epic! Merry Christmas and sit back and enjoy the day today. 06z GFS and NAM are pure porn. Slim chances huh.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Where would those be setting up? Well it looks like the cstl front will be nasty and potentially have a sick band to the nw. That may setup close to BOS on a ssw-nne line. Too early to figure out, but with such strong onshore flow...you have to think just along and west of the front...there would be one hell of a band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randylee Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas everyone. It looks like the NAM is showing heavy banding over the Worc. Country hills as the low crosses benchmark. It would be unusual for a intense storm like this not to pound the interior hills to the eastern slopes of the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Happy Christmas Morning everyone My family will not like this news... Muahahahaha!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Slim chances huh.lol Reverse psychology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm seeing evidence of some insane mesoscale things going on..even on the gfs. Thundersnow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas everyone. It looks like the NAM is showing heavy banding over the Worc. Country hills as the low crosses benchmark. It would be unusual for a intense storm like this not to pound the interior hills to the eastern slopes of the Berks. Tip, Will, JBAsh, and I love you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 One interesting point is that there is still considerable disagreement between the GFS and NAM. A lot of ironing to do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Reverse psychology. Merry Christmas Bob, perfect Christmas morning here with a few mood flakes in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Reverse psychology. Every thread will be started by you from now on. Merry Christmas Bob! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 From a met standpoint, this is incredible...I can't believe what just happened in the last 24 hrs. Stunning. Absolutely Stunning. I'm still wary of a further nw track and ptype issues, but man this is spectacular. What was the deal on the EC and EC Ensembles? Track/precip/type? Merry Christmas! Interlude for playing with dolls...the kids wise guys... 12z ua looks pretty much like the models. GFS better handling of the structure in LA, NAM maybe a smidge better elsewhere but they look fine for 6-12 hour forecasts. With the Monday storm and it may bear no basis in fact this time: 1. Gfs was worst between the EC/NAM/GFS. Nam was probably best. As we got into the trough I'd say the EC domintated in close once it figured it out. 2. Every other model was terrible including the nogaps. I probably still think a track about on the BM is most likely, but there are wild cards. Drying taking place in Bill Clinton country, she's starting to pop! Expect some wild changes at 12z, I'm kind of thinking that we will see the continunity/burp muted out on this run and with the featues all in play on our own soil and with the last days fiasco error checking to the supreme FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Every thread will be started by you from now on. Merry Christmas Bob! Thats for sure, We know who won't be allowed to start one ............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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