Ruin Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 15 hours ago, mahantango#1 said: It almost seems were going through that now, "wait a week or two." yeah it really urks me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 6 hours ago, Jns2183 said: 2017-2018 38" 2018-2019 41" 2019-2020 5.1" 2020-2021 36" 2021-2022 16.4" 2022-2023 5.9" Mean 23.73" Snowfall climo 1970-2000 Mean 32.8" Median 27.8 75th percentile 42.7" 25th percentile 19.6" 1980-2010 Mean 30.6" Median 24.9" 75th percentile 41.2" 25th percentile 16.75" 1990-2020 mean 29.3" median 22.9" 75th percentile 40" 25th percentile 14.75" From 1990-2020 # of years with snowfall within bin 70" 2 60" 0 50" 2 40" 3 30" 4 20" 9 10" 9 So basically in last 6 years we have had 1 year at 75th percentile, 2 years in the 60th percentile, 1 year at 25th percentile, and 2 years at basically the 1st percentile. Anyways, it's not the worst 6 year period on record anyways. Some similar periods 1928/29 to 1933/34 mean snowfall was 21.4" 1986/87 to 1991/92 mean was 24.3" And who can forget the worst 6 years ever, 1996/97 to 2002/3 with mean of 19.3". Those 6 years had a max of 28", and 4 winters in 20" range, 2 winters at 10". That period was bookended by the greatest winter ever , 1996 with 77.6, and the 2002/3 winter with 57.7". The last 6 years have been bad, but we've had similar in the late 80s to early 90s and worse, both in the distant past (late 1920's to early 1930's) as well as late 90's till 2002. The massive difference between mean and median highlights our feast and famine past and present. From 1990 to 2020 only 35% of years were "above average" for snowfall. So we can expect 6-7 winters per decade to be below average while 3-4 to be above. Now look at last 6 years. 3 years above average, 3 years below. It's just been our below years were pure famine Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Post of the year! Great, great post that should lead off every page on here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 4 hours ago, canderson said: Get outta here with data, nerd. Lol, that’s right… because you have never ever shoveled snow in downtown Harrisburg! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 The 0z Canadian says the the storm late next week still might not be resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 The 0z GFS shows what the upcoming pattern change could deliver to start off the New Year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 5 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z GFS shows what the upcoming pattern change could deliver to start off the New Year. The 0z Euro Control also has a good looking storm for January 2nd that takes a very favorable track. Yes, I know…long range Control run, but nice to see storms like this starting to show up in the upcoming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 A wintery 18 this Am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 20, 2023 Author Share Posted December 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A wintery 18 this Am. Wow!!! Only down to 26 in Tamaqua. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 10 minutes ago, Voyager said: Wow!!! Only down to 26 in Tamaqua. A lot of teens in York and Adams county as well. Rgem nailed it for colder spots west of the susky. Rgem has you near 15 Fri AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 6:34 AM Nooner: It's cold. 23°F and dark. Ground is probably proper froze after the snow has had a day to solidify. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A wintery 18 this Am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 1 minute ago, Yardstickgozinya said: It is a bit nipply out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 18 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: 6:34 AM Nooner: It's cold. 23°F and dark. Ground is probably proper froze after the snow has had a day to solidify. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Nanny said Marry Christmas sweet tits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 26 in Marysville 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 24 when I left the house. Beautiful view from the train this morning, with a salmon sky hovering over a swollen Susquehanna. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 Despite the colder weather this week so far, MDT stands at a healthy 3.2AN departure for the months as to temps. 14 of the 19 days have been above normal with the 17th and 18th being double digits AN. Not much chance of paring down that departure to anywhere near normal over the last 11 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 20 cold ,and calm winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 25 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 Good Morning, 24 just south of Hanover. Low of 22.5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 Are we looking at another significant rain event next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 Lows this morning were still a couple degrees above normal with widespread mid to upper 20's across the county. We should see continued dry weather with near normal temperatures today a little below normal tomorrow before a nice warming trend through Christmas. Temps by Christmas Day should be in the upper 40's - normal high is about 39 degrees. Next rain chances look to be Christmas Night. Records for today: High 62 (1895) / Low +1 (1942) / Rain 2.29"(1957) / Snow 8.8" (1966) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 It is still 19 at THV. LOL. Meanwhile MDT never got below 29. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 National high of only 79 near Glamis, CA. National low in West Virginia of all places (-3 at Canaan Valley, WV). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 19 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Are we looking at another significant rain event next week? GFS. It has been jumping all over the place though...a lot of vorts and it keeps changing which one to focus on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 29 and Sunny. Weather will be headed in the right direction after Santa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 Low of 26 this morning in Maytown. MU's call of a 3-5 AN December is looking pretty good... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Low of 26 this morning in Maytown. MU's call of a 3-5 AN December is looking pretty good... Several 50's on the GFS for post-Christmas week into New Year Day so if that is close, it will probably rise indeed...from the current 3.2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 26 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Several 50's on the GFS for post-Christmas week into New Year Day so if that is close, it will probably rise indeed...from the current 3.2. Reviewing 6z? Makes sense...we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 Good morning all... Managed to get down to 21.9 around 7:45am, and have sky-rocketed up 10 degrees since then with a current temp of 32.0 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, paweather said: Reviewing 6z? Makes sense...we shall see. Yea, on the 6Z. Eastern side of the country is evacuated of BN temps on the 27th. Not a torch either, just mild. Colder air works in after Jan 1 but only for a few days as it looks transient. Highs in the mid 40's Jan 4th. Just a LR PBP on an Op model, not a forecast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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