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Another big Sept rain event between roughly midnight Friday morning and midnight Sunday morning (bulk 9/29-30/2023)


wdrag
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30 minutes ago, wdrag said:

I'll add my 2c at 5P...  suggest mowing completed today. You may not like your soggy ground even on a rain free Sunday I84 corridor southward NJ-seNYS-SNE-LI. My guess is that NWS is waiting on any FFA because the GEFS/SREF/NAEFS are much more conservative than the GEPS-EPS 2-4" event and as you've all posted the iso 7" on highly resolved mesoscale guidance.  Also, NWS may be holding off due to no ensemble guidance showing minor flooding which is because these river forecasts use the ensemble output which seems to me wayyy too low. 

 

More at 5P after mowing.

 

Did my mowing last night - was pretty long after nearly 2 weeks. Last weekend's rain put me behind. Now need the Fall fertilizer.

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21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

HRRR looks like it’s going a little east from 6z but that kind of rain would rival Aug 2011 and 2014 here. Hoping that’s way overdone. 

Edit-HRRR nails the city later on in the run. Would be an Ida type rain event except a little further east. Hoping it’s wrong. 

1696071600-xbEfww4cCiM.png

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