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Hurricane Idalia


hlcater
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21 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

Wind interacts differently inland for a TC versus over the water or right at the coast. You get gusting bursts due to friction and turbulence. 100+ mph gusts are definitely possible if that is where the core traverses.

Speed is what might make the difference. I know when Hurricane Charley zipped across FL, Orlando had its highest gust ever at 108 amd that was pretty far from landfall. What surprised me is FL building codes are only to 130ish where this may landfall. I would think Valdosta older buildings/roofs could see high damage if hurricane force winds are sustained. 

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3 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

Dry air may be affecting the east side of the storm a bit, more squally than focused CDO atm. Also may have contributed to eyewall possibly opening up.

2ecc99b6c43af11a7ffe4425cd1145e3.png

Eyewall is closed, no dry air entrainment whatsoever into the core. All is good, what you are seeing is land interaction, friction induced.

IMG_3190.png

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6 minutes ago, CoralRed said:

So is what we see in the graphic on the left going to happen? I saw this at dailymail.com but the article didn't discuss it. If the two storms interacted in the Atlantic, what would happen? 

download.jpeg

Franklin about to jet ENE.  The storms will be a few thousand miles apart by Friday.  

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-0Z CMC as expected in correction mode shifted vs the 12Z to the right significantly (~50 miles) to far NW Taylor County

-0Z ICON vs 18Z shifted very slightly left (~5 miles) to SE Taylor County

-0Z GFS vs 18Z shifted left 15 miles into far NW Taylor County

-0Z UKMET about same as 18Z in south central Taylor County

-0Z Euro vs 12Z shifted 20 miles right to C Taylor County

*Edited to add Euro

 

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2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Radar shows a slug of dry air has been pulled into the east side of the core.  That part of the core has dried out somewhat.  Any outer core bands have been broken up and the eastern eyewall does not appear as thick or robust as the west side.

I noticed that on radar but on water vapor there really isn't any signs of dry air so kind of odd that's happening. Maybe a significant moat forming? 

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2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Radar shows a slug of dry air has been pulled into the east side of the core.  That part of the core has dried out somewhat.  Any outer core bands have been broken up and the eastern eyewall does not appear as thick or robust as the west side.

Not certain that’s what is happening. Beam height of the radars is my main question. Also appears the left side (east side) is undergoing frictional interference. So far not seeing any indications of what you mentioned in the recon data.

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