Dark Star Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 After all that, less than 0.25" in Garwood NJ??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: Epic bust here models had 3-4 inches...we got about .30 Can't make it up.... RGEM pulled the plug on the 18z run but others still had the big totals Successful would’ve been something that could dent our drought, and for 90% of us east of the city we didn’t come close to that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 13 minutes ago, jm1220 said: 90-95% of the island had under an inch. I still consider this overall a fail. Models generally had widespread much higher amounts. 12z HRRR from yesterday. It did pick up on the lower amounts on western LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Successful would’ve been something that could dent our drought, and for 90% of us east of the city we didn’t come close to that. only saving grace here was a big 3-4 inch rainfall 7/3-4 otherwise it's been bone dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 7 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Picked up only 0.16" of rain for the day yesterday. A bit of a disappintment but there will be other opporunities. Current temp 71/DP 69/RH 97% And you gave some of us weenies early yesterday when we pointed out that our area might not get heavy rain since the models had our area near the sharp cutoff. Hopefully at some point you will learn your lesson and stop giving these silly weenies to realistic posts, lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 20 minutes ago, Tatamy said: 12z HRRR from yesterday. It did pick up on the lower amounts on western LI And the 7-8 runs after that blasted us. Up to 21z I believe it was still giving 3-5” of rain almost island wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 If any model did well RGEM probably won but I chalk that to a broken clock being right once. It was clearly a nowcast setup and what we needed didn’t happen for 90% of us. Cheers to those who did get deluged on the east end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 I lucked out with 0.97”, total would’ve been less than half of that without one of those tiny pop up showers yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 16 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If any model did well RGEM probably won but I chalk that to a broken clock being right once. It was clearly a nowcast setup and what we needed didn’t happen for 90% of us. Cheers to those who did get deluged on the east end. 12k NAM I thought actually did a pretty good job. Here was yesterdays 6z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 HRRR did pretty good my way. Had 4.4 at MMU; according to @MANDA we did 4.22” in Chester. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 I received 7” of rain. Just incredible. That’s on top of last weekends incredible rains. . 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 2.45" here. I'm not too far from Manda, but I think my total is good per the cocoras maps, as amounts got less as you went up through Lake Mohawk and into central Sussex County. I'm located a little north of the north end of Lake Mohawk. For the record, I'm happy with less. I'd take another inch week from now if nature delivers. But she'll do what she's going to do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 1 hour ago, wishcast_hater said: I received 7” of rain. Just incredible. That’s on top of last weekends incredible rains. . That's a lot of rain especially with what has fallen in the past month. Dutchess county east of the taconic had some big amounts. Had 3.15 here in Hyde Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 3 hours ago, jm1220 said: And the 7-8 runs after that blasted us. Up to 21z I believe it was still giving 3-5” of rain almost island wide. 18z HRRR did still have the hole over Nassau. It was not 3-5” island wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 10, 2023 Author Share Posted July 10, 2023 here's the reason for the bust. drier air just offshore. credit to hm for seeing it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 10, 2023 Author Share Posted July 10, 2023 had this happened later in the summer we all would have gotten hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 55 minutes ago, forkyfork said: here's the reason for the bust. drier air just offshore. credit to hm for seeing it There was no bust, was well modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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