NorthShoreWx Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Thundering here. We're right on the south edge of a storm that popped up on the maritime boundary right ove Smithtown bay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Tue Jul 25 2023 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST STATES...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...Mid Atlantic into southern New England... A remnant MCV is currently over eastern PA. This feature is embedded within a larger-scale shortwave trough and associated 40 knot mid-level jet moving into the northeast states. Forcing ahead of these features is leading to scattered thunderstorm development. Strong heating across the region, coupled with dewpoints in the 70s will lead to moderate CAPE values over 2000 J/kg. Sufficient winds aloft and steep low-level lapse rates will promote locally damaging wind gusts in the stronger cells through early evening. Storms will eventually build southward into eastern VA/MD as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Gonna go boom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Heard the thunder from the sea breeze storms. They’ve been popping a bit further north than usual this summer. We often get them mid island, but this year most have been on extreme north shore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 86/73/94. Nasty outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Some real nasty lightning with these storms out here in the Lehigh Valley. Lots of CTC and CTG lightning with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 Northern third of NJ going to get slammed first and hopefully everyone later 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Northern third of NJ going to get slammed first and hopefully everyone later Radar looking nasty over NEPA and soon to be crossing the Delaware into NNJ. Going to rock and roll for some locations. You can tell the atmosphere is beyond ripe just by the way the radar as blossomed over last 60-90 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Incoming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 High for the day so far is 90 here. Current temp 89/DP 73/RH 61% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, FPizz said: Incoming You always win Frank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Taking the current radar as gospel the metro and LI could get squawked but chances are with the instability we have this will consolidate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 33 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Northern third of NJ going to get slammed first and hopefully everyone later I wasn't sure if it was gonna hit us or miss just to the north, but the storm on Hunterdon County has extended far enough south now that I think it's gonna hit us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I wasn't sure if it was gonna hit us or miss just to the north, but the storm on Hunterdon County has extended far enough south now that I think it's gonna hit us. Also stuff forming south of Quakertown that should hit us as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 11 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Taking the current radar as gospel the metro and LI could get squawked but chances are with the instability we have this will consolidate. What is squawked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Also stuff forming south of Quakertown that should hit us as well Yep it's looking good. I'm glad we're gonna get a lot of moisture into the soil before the big heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I wasn't sure if it was gonna hit us or miss just to the north, but the storm on Hunterdon County has extended far enough south now that I think it's gonna hit us. Mt holly says that storm is moving due east rather than ne so it would hit us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 If it doesn't weaken of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 I think the metro is about to get its best widespread storm in a long time. Absolutely perfect timing for max instability 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 What is making these storms always blow up the way they do over eastern PA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 ALL of eastern Hunterdon County getting creamed and about to move into Somerset and they are severe warned on that pseudo bow echo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, steve392 said: What is making these storms always blow up the way they do over eastern PA? Favorable atmospheric conditions and terrain factors. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, MANDA said: ALL of eastern Hunterdon County getting creamed and about to move into Somerset and they are severe warned on that pseudo bow echo. Yeah the warning should be extended further east momentarily Edit extended for parts of Middlesex Morris and all of somerset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 30 minutes ago, Allsnow said: You always win Frank Ask @Poker2015, it usually breaks up around here. This is insane right now. Torrential rain, huge lightning bolts, and some of the loudest thunder I've heard in years. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Nasty cloud deck..looks tornadic by me..what do i know 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah the warning should be extended further east momentarily Edit extended for parts of Middlesex Morris and all of somerset The most exciting looking radar for our area in a long time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: The most exciting looking radar for our area in a long time. Nothing from Upton yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 Not even a special weather statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Sheets of rain and wind but looks like the worst of that storm will pass to my northwest Still that was quite a cloud i saw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 33 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Not even a special weather statement They always overhype events modelled a week in advance and blow the ones that were barely in the forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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