AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 if i had to guess how this goes i'm guessing from 00z onwards we get bad trends that set us back miles before incrementally shifting south giving us false hope but ultimately we get screwed over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 There is no margin of error. There is going to be a narrow band of heavy snow. This is a thread the needle event. It will be Wed. Before we know what will happen. Enjoy the tracking. We have had nothing to track in 2 months inside 6 days.Once the euro loses it we won’t get it back and that could happen well before Wednesday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: if i had to guess how this goes i'm guessing from 00z onwards we get bad trends that set us back miles before incrementally shifting south giving us false hope but ultimately we get screwed over Game over at 0z. It’s really a thing the least snowiest model wins. Can’t think of a time the snowiest model prevailed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 if it's any consolation eps got way warmer from 06z compared to 0z before being colder again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Really, at 5 plus days out it is over at 0Z tonight….come on folks…. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: if it's any consolation eps got way warmer from 06z compared to 0z before being colder again GEFS did the same thing and it’s had two colder runs in a row 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Really, at 5 plus days out it is over at 0Z tonight….come on folks….If the gfs dosent budge and euro moves towards it…it’s over…tonight…at 0z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 If you’re all sure it’s going to fail, why bother look? 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 If you’re all sure it’s going to fail, why bother look?It’s what we do in this unrelenting hobby of disappointment . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: If you’re all sure it’s going to fail, why bother look? Kinda like watching your favorite team that's been struggling all year...you're watching in case something different happens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 if all ensembles go warmer at 00z, then i'd be a little bit worried. 00z is gonna be fun tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS and EPS low positions. If you think this spread is resolved based on a run at 7 pm tonight so be it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I think 0z will be rockin. Something's gotta give. I just hope that if it's gonna fail, let's just start it now and get it out of the way. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Kinda like watching your favorite team that's been struggling all year...you're watching in case something different happens Oh, you’re a Browns fan too? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I think 0z will be rockin. Something's gotta give. I just hope that if it's gonna fail, let's just start it now and get it out of the way. exactly what i'm thinking, i think gfs or euro is gonna cave and i'm gonna go with euro but i'm hoping not my bets are: gfs doesn't budge cmc becomes the new euro and slams us euro goes NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: exactly what i'm thinking, i think gfs or euro is gonna cave and i'm gonna go with euro but i'm hoping not my bets are: gfs doesn't budge cmc becomes the new euro and slams us euro goes NW I agree with all of this. One tweak I think the GFS comes SE a tick. Still a no but makes you think maybe…like when a hot girl looks at you at a bar…then you realize she was looking at the guy near you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 It’s been the same crap all winter. Idk why anyone would expect anything different this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It’s been the same crap all winter. Idk why anyone would expect anything different this far out. it was one bad eps run tbf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: it was one bad eps run tbf Yeah but you know how this winter has gone though...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but you know how this winter has gone though...lol yeah true but what fun is there in tracking if u have a pessimistic mindset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 39 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: exactly what i'm thinking, i think gfs or euro is gonna cave and i'm gonna go with euro but i'm hoping not my bets are: gfs doesn't budge cmc becomes the new euro and slams us euro goes NW Gfs adjusts S and E CMC ticks N and W Euro holds ICON comes N 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 18 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It’s been the same crap all winter. Idk why anyone would expect anything different this far out. I dont disagree but this one feels a little different. How many threats I mean legit threats have we gotten inside of 6.5 days? We are entering unchartered territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Gfs adjusts S and E CMC ticks N and W Euro holds ICON comes N this would be a weenie's dream, going into 00z hoping this happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: yeah true but what fun is there in tracking if u have a pessimistic mindset Hey, nothing wrong with being an optimist! The line between optimism and realism is a bit blurry. So the optimist side can say perhaps this time can be different...realist side becomes pessimistic knowing what we wentthrough! But hey, in only takes one time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I dont disagree but this one feels a little different. How many threats I mean legit threats have we gotten inside of 6.5 days? We are entering unchartered territory. I can't remember the exact day...but wasn't there another weekend "threat" that made it all the way to Tuesday? (I feel like it was late Jan or earlier this month) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Hey, nothing wrong with being an optimist! The line between optimism and realism is a bit blurry. So the optimist side can say perhaps this time can be different...realist side becomes pessimistic knowing what we wentthrough! But hey, in only takes one time I think whether or not this one actually happens we get teased up until 2 days before the event. This will be one that we are tracking longer than any other threat this season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 perhaps ICON goes even more S? we'll see, at hour 84 rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 @stormtracker, LFG 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 23 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Gfs adjusts S and E CMC ticks N and W Euro holds ICON comes N GFS holds CMC Holds EURO Folds partway to GFS ICON who cares it’s the icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 icon's gonna be NW compared to 0z, idk if i like it moving NW so early but whatever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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