SolidIcewx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Saving grace is most should melt off before winds kick in. Glad we don’t have a brutal cold snap to follow the ice storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 21 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Tough to get those amts without being near an ocean or without LES. I'm not sure what you do as a forecaster right now. Day after day prior to the storm we have excellent model agreement across the board showing a major, perhaps historic, storm. Even if you slow play the hell out of the messaging, eventually you have to alert the public to the potential. The modeling has been somehow horrendous but in lockstep. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Looks like a 14.5” report was just filed a mile south of me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 I'm not sure what you do as a forecaster right now. Day after day prior to the storm we have excellent model agreement across the board showing a major, perhaps historic, storm. Even if you slow play the hell out of the messaging, eventually you have to alert the public to the potential. The modeling has been somehow horrendous but in lockstep. I think MPX was conservative as long as possible. Unfortunately the models were still showing a historic storm by the time messaging needed to go out. What really sucks is the general public will never understand that. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Ended up with close to 4” of rain on the ‘warm’ side of the storm. Had some minor flooding issues in town. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 My power finally went out at 11:30 last night. Picked my son up this morning and noticed several large diameter branches down. Power lines covering the road in a few spots with caution tape. Couple branches have fallen on cars and destroyed them on my block. Lots of branches that have also managed to go through the roof and into peoples living rooms. Nasty storm. Also, lost a Paw Paw firefighter last night, he came in contact with a down powerline, and it was still live. Pretty sad. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 The models are broken IMO. I don’t know how to fix them but they have all been quite bad for a long time. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, CIllinoisSnow said: Ended up with close to 4” of rain on the ‘warm’ side of the storm. Had some minor flooding issues in town. Gibson City? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIllinoisSnow Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Gibson City? Yup, just had a pretty big flood back in Aug 2021 so this was definitely a scare for some of us here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said: The models are broken IMO. I don’t know how to fix them but they have all been quite bad for a long time. . It goes to show we have a lot of advancements still needed that’s what I love about science. DTX being late to the ball game too. It is sad that most of the public won’t understand but I have nothing but mad respect for the meteorologists in those offices. Couldn’t imagine the pressure sometimes 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Airport was at 10.1” at 6am, NWS office 12.5”. I can say with confidence we’ve added at least 1.5” since then and it’s still snowing at a decent clip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 It seems Ice Accumulation around the Detroit area was generally in the 0.25" to 0.35" range. DET is amongst the higher reports so far, with a total of 0.36". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, Powerball said: It seems Ice Accumulation around the Detroit area was generally in the 0.25" to 0.35" range. Judging by the dte outage map, areas to the sw got it worse? Maybe the heavier rates actually helped in the metro? I think had it been a night-time event, would've been alot worse. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 8 minutes ago, Powerball said: It seems Ice Accumulation around the Detroit area was generally in the 0.25" to 0.35" range. If it was a tad colder and roads were cold it would have been catastrophic. Working for the power company here I can say there are many distribution lines would not handle a .75 event even the subtransmission lines would have major problems. Speaking from what I seen so far. A lot of the lines and poles down here are 40+ years in age and then account for maintenance that has not been done on lines in 4 years or so.Lots of rain glad it did not all accrete 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Just now, Stevo6899 said: Judging by the dte outage map, areas to the sw got it worse? Maybe the heavier rates actually helped in the metro? I think had it been a night-time event, would've been alot worse. Yeah, it looks that way. Out towards Jackson, Hillsdale and Lansing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Thankfully only about 0.2" or so of ice here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Wind starting to pick up here, luckily all the ice is gone but there may be damaged branches that will find their way down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Now a 16” report in the SW suburb of Savage along with 15.5” in the southern suburb of Lakeville. Record February storm at MSP is 13.1” so that might be reachable depending on the noon obs. My ski area decided to leave all blues and blacks ungroomed overnight. Heading there for the noon open. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 There are some 16-19” reports starting to pop up in the central and south metro. I’m not sure I completely buy it but I guess the larger bands did favor the south metro more than the north. Maybe not a complete bust for everyone. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 The extremely chilly night and morning I went through is not something I want to repeat in a hurry. Hillsdale County got what sounds like .5 to .75 on elevated surfaces causing extreme power line damage all over 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 44 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said: There are some 16-19” reports starting to pop up in the central and south metro. I’m not sure I completely buy it but I guess the larger bands did favor the south metro more than the north. Maybe not a complete bust for everyone. . Was about to post this. I don’t buy that 19” report but the 15-17” seems plausible given that area saw good banding from both waves. It’s still snowing fat dendrites here and I bet we have 13-14” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Maybe it’s legit 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Was about to post this. I don’t buy that 19” report but the 15-17” seems plausible given that area saw good banding from both waves. It’s still snowing fat dendrites here and I bet we have 13-14”It’s impossible to get an accurate measurement with the blowing and drifting. I measured over 20” in one spot and then 6” right behind it. I’m gonna split the difference and go with 13-14” for me, maybe more. Still snowing decently up here as well. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 Couple inches here in town so far. Areas around Superior/Ashland/Bayfield WI reporting 6-12" with isolated reports of 15-26" in the hill country early this morning. LES kicked in hard for them. Still snowing, so looking to see increased totals at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mollydog Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 If it was a tad colder and roads were cold it would have been catastrophic. Working for the power company here I can say there are many distribution lines would not handle a .75 event even the subtransmission lines would have major problems. Speaking from what I seen so far. A lot of the lines and poles down here are 40+ years in age and then account for maintenance that has not been done on lines in 4 years or so.Lots of rain glad it did not all accrete In Auburn Hills we had a quarter inch. Didn’t really accrete until around 4pm then it just froze up on everything. No power and they are saying Sunday before restoration. Thankful for the generator! We always lose power so…. Plenty of gas was purchased before the event!. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 That clipper on Monday brought 12" of snow up the shore in Silver Bay, so they got in a good hit with the lakes help. 5" for me on that one plus this one will leave me with 7-8" for the week. Not bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 My place just got up to 50 degrees with sunshine after narrowly missing the SE Michigan ice storm of last night. Really, it was 33 degrees with an accumulation of about 2" of rain here. It's strange how warm it is You would typically think it would be below freezing after a cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2” of sleet. Very small amount of ice from drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 13.1” at MSP still ripping. 0.7” away from monthly single storm record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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