Hoosier Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Looks respectable enough with good ratios. Road impacts will be exacerbated for anyone who is out on the roads due to the preceding cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 It’s going to be a good one 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 I'll be in Mount Prospect for this one. Gotta bring my Chicagoland peeps some luck. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2022 Author Share Posted December 23, 2022 Enjoy because it's curtains after this for a while for most/all of the sub. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Cousin to the Manitoba Mauler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 This is more of a poor attempt at a Pacific hybrid, than a clipper. The wave/storm system originates from a large trough coming into the west coast of Canada and the Pac NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2022 Author Share Posted December 23, 2022 I just really wanted to say Saskatchewan screamer. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 47 minutes ago, mimillman said: It’s going to be a good one Ready 2b buried Would like to model qpf beef n of ull some tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Ready 2b buried Would like to model qpf beef n of ull some tho It will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 H5 appearance says you're probably right at least a lil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2022 Author Share Posted December 23, 2022 One thing to watch is how quickly this starts to weaken as it heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Continues to dive south and then pivots east . Would like to see the pivot point further north a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Check out 18z GFS today vs yesterday. Similar trend in shifting axis of precipitation further north on the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Looks like it could stack nicely overnight. These systems on the backend of cold snaps usually overperform. Final call of 3.2” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 Actually starting to get interested in this. Not sure if it's a hybrid or what, but if we get a little bit of pac moisture involved, + a bit of lake enhancement if the track is right. Could surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 Severe PTSD after the current system, I figure a starting point of 1" makes it difficult to disappoint. (though at least 2" seems believable even on drier guidance) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 0z guidance all still looks pretty spot on except nam being nam which went from 3-5in on 12z and 18z runs and barely 1-2in for 0z run. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 NAM is wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 24, 2022 Author Share Posted December 24, 2022 1 hour ago, mimillman said: NAM is wrong How quickly you turned on it after riding it to the death with the blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 2 hours ago, StormChaser4Life said: 0z guidance all still looks pretty spot on except nam being nam which went from 3-5in on 12z and 18z runs and barely 1-2in for 0z run. Lol 0.03" QPF in Chicago from the 0z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 51 minutes ago, Hoosier said: How quickly you turned on it after riding it to the death with the blizzard. That’s neither here nor there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 IZZI itchin to throw up the watch: COMING OUT OF THE BRUTAL COLD SPELL MEANS THAT PAVEMENT TEMPS WILL BE WELL BELOW FREEZING AND AIR TEMPS DURING THE SNOW SHOULD BE IN THE TEENS, SO SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE IMMEDIATELY ON PAVEMENT AND LIKELY RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SOME OF THE HIGHEST TRAVEL IMPACT EVENTS EACH WINTER ARE SUB-ADVISORY AND OFTEN LESS THAN 1 INCH SNOWFALLS WITH VERY COLD TEMPS AND THIS SYSTEM DEFINITELY HAS THAT LOOK TO IT. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 We're great at <=1" totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 Overnight runs look to weaken the system a bit sooner, color me shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 Look, I get the NWS focus on public safety…but it’s a bit much to obsess over an inch of snow with temps in the teens. It’s winter - these things are supposed to happen. It’s really not a big deal. Of course, if one wants to argue the opposite viewpoint, you’re basically saying that Chicago doesn’t have winter…and that any snow event is extraordinary. I actually happen to agree that Chicago doesn’t really have winter (we have wintry periods, but not winter). But pick one viewpoint or the other; you can’t have it both ways. Another component is the stupidity of the average Joe. If it’s slippery, drive slowly and keep your distance. The NWS shouldn’t need to watch over you. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 1 hour ago, beavis1729 said: Look, I get the NWS focus on public safety…but it’s a bit much to obsess over an inch of snow with temps in the teens. It’s winter - these things are supposed to happen. It’s really not a big deal. Of course, if one wants to argue the opposite viewpoint, you’re basically saying that Chicago doesn’t have winter…and that any snow event is extraordinary. I actually happen to agree that Chicago doesn’t really have winter (we have wintry periods, but not winter). But pick one viewpoint or the other; you can’t have it both ways. Another component is the stupidity of the average Joe. If it’s slippery, drive slowly and keep your distance. The NWS shouldn’t need to watch over you. Overall I think a mix of impact based/amounts make sense. If this wasn't right off the heels of the last disaster we wouldn't think much of their reasonings for this event. Christmas night/Monday morning, icy/snowy roads will happen at 1 inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 #trash lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 No faith 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 This little screamer looks to deposit an inch or two for a good chunk of the dvn cwa. I agree with mimi that there's a good chance this thing is weakening too quickly on the models, so an overachiever is def on the table. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 dampening duster.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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