Christmas Storm VI

[tnweathernut]

I just got back from the hospital. Had to call the ambulance for my mom, so please keep her in your thoughts. The board is obviously slow, and for good reason. Our big one could still be on. I like the nam and now the GFS as well. Haven't had a chance to look at much anything else. Hope everyone is having a good Christmas Eve, and finally I think a lot of us will see a White Christmas. Overnight tomorrow night should be fun with good rates, and 850 developing low and the inverted Savannah River Trough that should enhance snow rates in ne GA , western SC and foothills of NC, so I'm pretty excited to see a Gulf low coming from the perfect position for my area and the Upstate , North GA , its been a long time coming. I want to say what a fun ride this has been, and I know it hasn't happened yet, but something good is about to happen I'm sure. Great discussions from all of us this week. Hopefully soon we'll be looking back with good memories on the Big Christmas Snowstorm of 2010.

I'll try to update the blog, but theres a million things going on now. Don't know if I can. Merry Christmas!

http://shelbyweather.blogspot.com I'll try to cover the entire southeast but I do concentrate on Ne GA and the western Carolinas.

Will keep your mom in our prayers Robert. If you don't mind, send the end of your inverted trough up here to TRI. Thanks and I hope you get BLASTED...................with SNOW Merry Christmas

[Itunis]

I just got back from the hospital. Had to call the ambulance for my mom, so please keep her in your thoughts. The board is obviously slow, and for good reason. Our big one could still be on. I like the nam and now the GFS as well. Haven't had a chance to look at much anything else. Hope everyone is having a good Christmas Eve, and finally I think a lot of us will see a White Christmas. Overnight tomorrow night should be fun with good rates, and 850 developing low and the inverted Savannah River Trough that should enhance snow rates in ne GA , western SC and foothills of NC, so I'm pretty excited to see a Gulf low coming from the perfect position for my area and the Upstate , North GA , its been a long time coming. I want to say what a fun ride this has been, and I know it hasn't happened yet, but something good is about to happen I'm sure. Great discussions from all of us this week. Hopefully soon we'll be looking back with good memories on the Big Christmas Snowstorm of 2010.

I'll try to update the blog, but theres a million things going on now. Don't know if I can. Merry Christmas!

http://shelbyweather.blogspot.com I'll try to cover the entire southeast but I do concentrate on Ne GA and the western Carolinas.

Don't worry about updating things, family is much more important than a snowstorm. Your mom is certainly in my prayers for tonight.

Back on topic (I know the mods are super strict right now) I think a general 1-2" is a solid bet for much of north GA considering ongoing temperature issues at the surface and low levels. An advisory is certainly in order for the ATL metro at least, maybe some warnings in far NE GA. Looking good folks!

[Marion_NC_WX]

For those in Charlotte...ET did a short weather tease, no mention of the model trends. His main forecast package is about 8 minutes away...

[MotoWeatherman]

Don't worry about updating things, family is much more important than a snowstorm. Your mom is certainly in my prayers for tonight.

Back on topic (I know the mods are super strict right now) I think a general 1-2" is a solid bet for much of north GA considering ongoing temperature issues at the surface and low levels. An advisory is certainly in order for the ATL metro at least, maybe some warnings in far NE GA. Looking good folks!

Right on.

Check out ATL sounding for 7pm tomorrow....snow baby!!!!

Date: 24 hour GFS valid 0Z SUN 26 DEC 10
Station: Katl
Latitude:   33.65
Longitude: -84.42
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
    mb     m     C     C    %   C     C  deg knt   K     K     K     K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 0 1000   105                                                                 
SFC  980   270   0.8   0.4  97  0.4   0.6 328   7 275.5 276.2 274.8 286.5  4.01
 2  950   517   0.1  -1.0  92  1.1  -0.4 330  13 277.3 277.9 275.4 287.5  3.74
 3  850  1402  -3.3  -3.5  99  0.1  -3.4 306  10 282.6 283.2 277.9 292.5  3.48
 4  800  1881  -3.6  -3.8  99  0.2  -3.7 286  14 287.3 288.0 280.3 297.8  3.62
 5  750  2391  -4.8  -5.1  98  0.3  -5.0 270  21 291.4 292.0 282.0 301.5  3.48
 6  700  2931  -6.8  -7.3  97  0.4  -7.0 259  29 294.9 295.5 283.1 304.4  3.16
 7  650  3508  -9.3 -10.6  90  1.4  -9.8 249  38 298.5 298.9 284.0 306.5  2.61
 8  600  4123 -12.7 -14.4  87  1.7 -13.2 241  47 301.4 301.8 284.5 307.9  2.09
 9  550  4782 -16.6 -17.4  93  0.8 -16.8 234  58 304.4 304.8 285.4 310.1  1.78
10  500  5493 -20.6 -21.2  94  0.7 -20.7 231  66 308.0 308.2 286.2 312.5  1.40
11  450  6266 -24.7 -24.9  98  0.2 -24.8 223  70 312.2 312.4 287.4 315.9  1.12
12  400  7113 -30.4 -30.5  99  0.1 -30.4 220  71 315.5 315.6 288.1 318.1  0.76

[WidreMann]

So much for the low exiting over Houston.

Do any of the mets have an explanation for why the storm kind of "hiccups" at 36 or so hours? We have lots of precip to the south and lots developing to the north, but northern NC and southern VA kind of get shafted. The NAM was worse than the GFS about it, but is still noticeable. Is it just part of the models failing to get the storm dynamics correct, or is something else at play here?

[HKY_WX]

I just got back from the hospital. Had to call the ambulance for my mom, so please keep her in your thoughts. The board is obviously slow, and for good reason. Our big one could still be on. I like the nam and now the GFS as well. Haven't had a chance to look at much anything else. Hope everyone is having a good Christmas Eve, and finally I think a lot of us will see a White Christmas. Overnight tomorrow night should be fun with good rates, and 850 developing low and the inverted Savannah River Trough that should enhance snow rates in ne GA , western SC and foothills of NC, so I'm pretty excited to see a Gulf low coming from the perfect position for my area and the Upstate , North GA , its been a long time coming. I want to say what a fun ride this has been, and I know it hasn't happened yet, but something good is about to happen I'm sure. Great discussions from all of us this week. Hopefully soon we'll be looking back with good memories on the Big Christmas Snowstorm of 2010.

I'll try to update the blog, but theres a million things going on now. Don't know if I can. Merry Christmas!

http://shelbyweather.blogspot.com I'll try to cover the entire southeast but I do concentrate on Ne GA and the western Carolinas.

Sorry to hear about your mom man, nothing too serious i hope?

[euronamgfs suc1]

I'm expecting 1-3" for us with the potential for more. Especially if you live above 2,000 feet. What side of town do you live on?

That's about what I was thinking. I live in Achasta my elevation is roughly 1400 ft. are u above 2000 ft

[MotoWeatherman]

Gainesville GA for 1pm tomorrow....moisture solid to 200mb level and likely snow...

Date: 18 hour GFS valid 18Z SAT 25 DEC 10
Station: Kgvl
Latitude:   34.32
Longitude: -83.83
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
    mb     m     C     C    %   C     C  deg knt   K     K     K     K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 0 1000   123                                                                 
SFC  969   382   3.1  -0.9  75  4.0   1.4 274   1 278.8 279.4 276.2 289.0  3.70
 2  950   539   1.7  -2.4  74  4.1   0.0 259   2 278.9 279.5 275.7 288.3  3.36
 3  850  1427  -2.2  -3.1  94  0.9  -2.6 250  18 283.8 284.4 278.6 294.0  3.58
 4  800  1909  -2.1  -2.7  95  0.6  -2.4 253  25 288.9 289.6 281.4 300.2  3.90
 5  750  2422  -2.9  -3.2  98  0.2  -3.0 247  33 293.4 294.1 283.5 305.3  4.04
 6  700  2967  -4.8  -5.0  99  0.2  -4.9 243  42 297.2 297.8 284.7 308.4  3.76
 7  650  3547  -8.3  -8.5  98  0.2  -8.4 243  48 299.6 300.2 284.9 309.0  3.09
 8  600  4164 -11.6 -11.7  99  0.2 -11.6 245  49 302.7 303.2 285.6 310.8  2.59
 9  550  4827 -14.9 -15.0  99  0.1 -14.9 246  50 306.4 306.8 286.5 313.3  2.17
10  500  5543 -18.6 -18.7  99  0.1 -18.6 241  53 310.4 310.7 287.5 316.1  1.75
11  450  6321 -23.8 -23.8  99  0.1 -23.8 239  58 313.4 313.6 287.9 317.5  1.24
12  400  7171 -30.0 -30.0 100 -0.0 -30.0 240  64 316.0 316.1 288.3 318.7  0.79
13  300  9147 -46.9 -47.0  99  0.1 -46.9 242  82 319.3 319.3 288.7 320.0  0.19
14  250 10328 -56.2 -56.5  97  0.3 -56.2 250  96 322.5 322.5 289.6 322.8  0.07

and 7pm tomorrow for Gainesville....SNOW

Date: 24 hour GFS valid 0Z SUN 26 DEC 10
Station: Kgvl
Latitude:   34.32
Longitude: -83.83
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
    mb     m     C     C    %   C     C  deg knt   K     K     K     K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 0 1000   102                                                                 
SFC  966   381   0.4  -0.2  96  0.6   0.1 307   3 276.2 276.9 275.0 286.9  3.89
 2  950   515   0.5  -1.0  90  1.4  -0.2 308   5 277.7 278.3 275.6 288.0  3.74
 3  850  1400  -3.5  -3.8  98  0.3  -3.7 315   7 282.4 283.0 277.6 292.0  3.38
 4  800  1879  -4.5  -4.7  98  0.2  -4.6 288   8 286.4 287.0 279.6 296.1  3.38
 5  750  2387  -5.6  -5.8  98  0.3  -5.7 265  14 290.5 291.1 281.4 300.2  3.30
 6  700  2926  -7.9  -8.1  98  0.2  -8.0 256  21 293.7 294.3 282.4 302.6  2.96
 7  650  3500  -9.9 -11.6  88  1.6 -10.5 249  35 297.7 298.2 283.4 305.1  2.43
 8  600  4113 -13.8 -16.1  82  2.4 -14.5 244  43 300.2 300.5 283.7 305.8  1.81
 9  550  4768 -18.2 -19.4  91  1.1 -18.5 241  54 302.4 302.7 284.2 307.2  1.50
10  500  5475 -21.4 -21.6  98  0.3 -21.4 236  69 307.0 307.2 285.8 311.4  1.35
11  450  6247 -25.2 -25.4  98  0.2 -25.2 224  78 311.6 311.8 287.2 315.2  1.08
12  400  7092 -30.9 -31.0 100  0.0 -31.0 217  77 314.8 314.9 287.8 317.3  0.72
13  300  9066 -47.4 -47.6  98  0.2 -47.4 233  81 318.5 318.6 288.5 319.2  0.17

And 1am Sunday for Gainesville....probably still snowing

Date: 30 hour GFS valid 6Z SUN 26 DEC 10
Station: Kgvl
Latitude:   34.32
Longitude: -83.83
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
    mb     m     C     C    %   C     C  deg knt   K     K     K     K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 0 1000    74                                                                 
SFC  962   382  -1.1  -1.5  97  0.4  -1.2 328   7 275.1 275.7 273.9 284.8  3.57
 2  950   485  -0.7  -1.6  94  0.8  -1.0 336  10 276.5 277.1 274.7 286.3  3.59
 3  850  1368  -4.1  -4.9  94  0.8  -4.4  14  10 281.9 282.4 277.0 290.7  3.12
 4  800  1844  -6.1  -6.6  96  0.5  -6.2 343   7 284.7 285.2 278.2 293.1  2.92
 5  750  2348  -8.8 -10.1  90  1.3  -9.2 290   9 287.1 287.5 278.6 294.0  2.37
 6  700  2878 -12.4 -14.5  84  2.1 -12.9 264  11 288.8 289.1 278.7 294.1  1.78
 7  650  3444 -12.7 -23.6  40 10.9 -15.1 251  25 294.6 294.7 280.1 297.4  0.87
 8  600  4051 -16.1 -30.5  28 14.4 -18.6 240  31 297.5 297.6 281.0 299.2  0.50
 9  550  4700 -20.7 -35.1  26 14.3 -22.7 241  30 299.5 299.5 281.6 300.7  0.35

[Brian]

The coordination between BMX and FFC and GSP is just despicable.

[MotoWeatherman]

That's about what I was thinking. I live in Achasta my elevation is roughly 1400 ft. are u above 2000 ft

I know exactly where that is. I live just NE of town about 5 miles at 1,500 ft.

[Itunis]

The coordination between BMX and FFC and GSP is just despicable.

FFC's decision to hold off on upgrading parts of the CWA to an advisory is pretty idiotic IMO (if they'd done it when BMX did a lot more people would have been informed). Now people will wake up to a WWA and freak...

[burgertime]

I just got back from the hospital. Had to call the ambulance for my mom, so please keep her in your thoughts. The board is obviously slow, and for good reason. Our big one could still be on. I like the nam and now the GFS as well. Haven't had a chance to look at much anything else. Hope everyone is having a good Christmas Eve, and finally I think a lot of us will see a White Christmas. Overnight tomorrow night should be fun with good rates, and 850 developing low and the inverted Savannah River Trough that should enhance snow rates in ne GA , western SC and foothills of NC, so I'm pretty excited to see a Gulf low coming from the perfect position for my area and the Upstate , North GA , its been a long time coming. I want to say what a fun ride this has been, and I know it hasn't happened yet, but something good is about to happen I'm sure. Great discussions from all of us this week. Hopefully soon we'll be looking back with good memories on the Big Christmas Snowstorm of 2010.

I'll try to update the blog, but theres a million things going on now. Don't know if I can. Merry Christmas!

http://shelbyweather.blogspot.com I'll try to cover the entire southeast but I do concentrate on Ne GA and the western Carolinas.

Damn dude hope everything is ok, I'll send good vibes her way.

[WidreMann]

Where are you getting those soundings from?

Gainesville GA for 1pm tomorrow....moisture solid to 200mb level and likely snow...

Date: 18 hour GFS valid 18Z SAT 25 DEC 10
Station: Kgvl
Latitude:   34.32
Longitude: -83.83
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
	mb 	m 	C 	C    %   C 	C  deg knt   K 	K 	K 	K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 0 1000   123                                                             	
SFC  969   382   3.1  -0.9  75  4.0   1.4 274   1 278.8 279.4 276.2 289.0  3.70
 2  950   539   1.7  -2.4  74  4.1   0.0 259   2 278.9 279.5 275.7 288.3  3.36
 3  850  1427  -2.2  -3.1  94  0.9  -2.6 250  18 283.8 284.4 278.6 294.0  3.58
 4  800  1909  -2.1  -2.7  95  0.6  -2.4 253  25 288.9 289.6 281.4 300.2  3.90
 5  750  2422  -2.9  -3.2  98  0.2  -3.0 247  33 293.4 294.1 283.5 305.3  4.04
 6  700  2967  -4.8  -5.0  99  0.2  -4.9 243  42 297.2 297.8 284.7 308.4  3.76
 7  650  3547  -8.3  -8.5  98  0.2  -8.4 243  48 299.6 300.2 284.9 309.0  3.09
 8  600  4164 -11.6 -11.7  99  0.2 -11.6 245  49 302.7 303.2 285.6 310.8  2.59
 9  550  4827 -14.9 -15.0  99  0.1 -14.9 246  50 306.4 306.8 286.5 313.3  2.17
10  500  5543 -18.6 -18.7  99  0.1 -18.6 241  53 310.4 310.7 287.5 316.1  1.75
11  450  6321 -23.8 -23.8  99  0.1 -23.8 239  58 313.4 313.6 287.9 317.5  1.24
12  400  7171 -30.0 -30.0 100 -0.0 -30.0 240  64 316.0 316.1 288.3 318.7  0.79
13  300  9147 -46.9 -47.0  99  0.1 -46.9 242  82 319.3 319.3 288.7 320.0  0.19
14  250 10328 -56.2 -56.5  97  0.3 -56.2 250  96 322.5 322.5 289.6 322.8  0.07

and 7pm tomorrow for Gainesville....SNOW

Date: 24 hour GFS valid 0Z SUN 26 DEC 10
Station: Kgvl
Latitude:   34.32
Longitude: -83.83
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
	mb 	m 	C 	C    %   C 	C  deg knt   K 	K 	K 	K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 0 1000   102                                                             	
SFC  966   381   0.4  -0.2  96  0.6   0.1 307   3 276.2 276.9 275.0 286.9  3.89
 2  950   515   0.5  -1.0  90  1.4  -0.2 308   5 277.7 278.3 275.6 288.0  3.74
 3  850  1400  -3.5  -3.8  98  0.3  -3.7 315   7 282.4 283.0 277.6 292.0  3.38
 4  800  1879  -4.5  -4.7  98  0.2  -4.6 288   8 286.4 287.0 279.6 296.1  3.38
 5  750  2387  -5.6  -5.8  98  0.3  -5.7 265  14 290.5 291.1 281.4 300.2  3.30
 6  700  2926  -7.9  -8.1  98  0.2  -8.0 256  21 293.7 294.3 282.4 302.6  2.96
 7  650  3500  -9.9 -11.6  88  1.6 -10.5 249  35 297.7 298.2 283.4 305.1  2.43
 8  600  4113 -13.8 -16.1  82  2.4 -14.5 244  43 300.2 300.5 283.7 305.8  1.81
 9  550  4768 -18.2 -19.4  91  1.1 -18.5 241  54 302.4 302.7 284.2 307.2  1.50
10  500  5475 -21.4 -21.6  98  0.3 -21.4 236  69 307.0 307.2 285.8 311.4  1.35
11  450  6247 -25.2 -25.4  98  0.2 -25.2 224  78 311.6 311.8 287.2 315.2  1.08
12  400  7092 -30.9 -31.0 100  0.0 -31.0 217  77 314.8 314.9 287.8 317.3  0.72
13  300  9066 -47.4 -47.6  98  0.2 -47.4 233  81 318.5 318.6 288.5 319.2  0.17

And 1am Sunday for Gainesville....probably still snowing

Date: 30 hour GFS valid 6Z SUN 26 DEC 10
Station: Kgvl
Latitude:   34.32
Longitude: -83.83
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
	mb 	m 	C 	C    %   C 	C  deg knt   K 	K 	K 	K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 0 1000    74                                                             	
SFC  962   382  -1.1  -1.5  97  0.4  -1.2 328   7 275.1 275.7 273.9 284.8  3.57
 2  950   485  -0.7  -1.6  94  0.8  -1.0 336  10 276.5 277.1 274.7 286.3  3.59
 3  850  1368  -4.1  -4.9  94  0.8  -4.4  14  10 281.9 282.4 277.0 290.7  3.12
 4  800  1844  -6.1  -6.6  96  0.5  -6.2 343   7 284.7 285.2 278.2 293.1  2.92
 5  750  2348  -8.8 -10.1  90  1.3  -9.2 290   9 287.1 287.5 278.6 294.0  2.37
 6  700  2878 -12.4 -14.5  84  2.1 -12.9 264  11 288.8 289.1 278.7 294.1  1.78
 7  650  3444 -12.7 -23.6  40 10.9 -15.1 251  25 294.6 294.7 280.1 297.4  0.87
 8  600  4051 -16.1 -30.5  28 14.4 -18.6 240  31 297.5 297.6 281.0 299.2  0.50
 9  550  4700 -20.7 -35.1  26 14.3 -22.7 241  30 299.5 299.5 281.6 300.7  0.35

[deltadog03]

Again, another blown FFC forecast in the making. Why wait?? What is the big deal?? Pride? I don't mean to be too harsh, but that is your job to make sure you inform your CWA of weather changes!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[BullCityWx]

joel, probably plymouth.

[MotoWeatherman]

Where are you getting those soundings from?

I pull them off Wright Weather...but since soundings like this are also available for free I go ahead and post them.

[MotoWeatherman]

Just checked out the soundings for GSP and CLT and RDU and to me those places look like all snow per the GFS.

[strongwxnc]

GSP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC

956 PM EST FRI DEC 24 2010

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

-- Changed Discussion --AS OF 02 UTC...SNOW FALLING AS FAR SE AS MIDDLE KY/NORTHERN TN AHEAD

OF NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY...AND STILL EXPECT SNOW TO SPREAD INTO THE

NC MTNS BEFORE DAYBREAK AND PROBABLY RESULTING IN A LIGHT

ACCUMULATION ESPECIALLY ACRS THE NORTHERN TENN BORDER COUNTIES.

SENSIBLE WX ELSEWHERE WILL SIMPLY BE LIMITED TO AN INCREASE/

THICKENING OF HIGHER LVL CLOUDS WITHIN THE QUICKENING/DEVELOPING WSW

ALOFT. WILL PLAN ON MAKING SOME DOWNWARD TEMPERATURE TWEAKS...

ESPECIALLY ACRS THE I-77 CORRIDOR AND THE MOUNTAINS WHERE FALL HAS

BEEN QUICKER THAN EXPECTED EARLY THIS EVENING.

AXIS OF BROAD FORCING NORTH OF DEEPENING GULF COAST LOW REMAINS

PROGGED TO BLOSSOM PCPN SHIELD ACRS THE WESTERN CWFA CHRISTMAS

MORNING AND AFTERNOON...AND FCST SNDGS ACRS THIS AXIS EXPECTED TO

DYNAMICALLY COOL WHATEVER MARGINALLY WARM BLYR EXISTS AT PCPN ONSET.

THE 00 UTC OP NAM AND 21 UTC SREF CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE HEAVY PCPN

AXIS...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW...IN A SIMILAR LOCATION TO THEIR

PREVIOUS RUNS WHICH IS WETTER/FURTHER NW THAN THE 12 UTC PACKAGE

DEPICTED. BASED ON THIS HAVE EXPANDED WINTER WX ADVISORY FURTHER

NORTH UP TO THE I-40 CORRDIOR. THE MIDNIGHT SHIFT WILL BE ABLE TO

INGEST FULL 00 UTC MODEL SUITE AND MADE ACCUMULATION

TWEAKS/EXPANSION AS NECESSARY.-- End Changed Discussion --

[NEGa]

FFC's decision to hold off on upgrading parts of the CWA to an advisory is pretty idiotic IMO (if they'd done it when BMX did a lot more people would have been informed). Now people will wake up to a WWA and freak...

this is one occasion when i am not sure - as weenies we have been following this (it seems like) forever. for a lot of people (outside of our families, lol) this could be a true white christmas surprise for a lot of the se.

high clouds have started moving in here, temp is 34.7

[brettjrob]

Not sure if anyone else in the Mid South is on tonight, but the latest couple RUC runs are looking more encouraging for accumulating snow over N MS/N AL/S TN tomorrow morning into the afternoon...

[euronamgfs suc1]

I know exactly where that is. I live just NE of town about 5 miles at 1,500 ft.

Does our elevation 1400-1500 ft make much of a difference around our area? I know that last system the first day of March 2010 literally any increase in elevation made a difference in amount of accumulation. There was around 2-3 at home compared to 8 inches at ex wife home off of hwy 9 halfway between Dawsonville and Dahlonega by Cranes gas station.

[deltadog03]

WOW getting further WEST

[Marion_NC_WX]

Eric Thomas has upped the totals for the whole Charlotte TV market. He now has mountains and foothills 1-3. Then in a NE/SW oriented that stretches from GSP to Shelby to Hickory and on northeast, he now has 2-4. That does include Charlotte Metro and along I-85 and I-77. Then from Wadesboro and Albemarle and eastward, 3-5 inches.

[packbacker]

[MotoWeatherman]

Does our elevation 1400-1500 ft make much of a difference around our area? I know that last system the first day of March 2010 literally any increase in elevation made a difference in amount of accumulation. There was around 2-3 at home compared to 8 inches at ex wife home off of hwy 9 halfway between Dawsonville and Dahlonega by Cranes gas station.

Absolutely. I've seen several snows here where I get something and then just go down 300ft and it's almost nothing. Elevation is KING!

[WidreMann]

WOW getting further WEST

I don't just want west, I want SOUTH. It'd be nice to see it dig even more and have the 850 low over mid/southern SC instead of northern SC.

[wx n of atl]

I am excited. I wish everyone the best. I will certainly post pictures.

To all the pbp people... THANK YOU!

This one is certainly for the record book. I call it the longest tracking storm ever by so many!

temp 36

dew point 27

[strongwxnc]

Thanks Dan. I assume he is going light in out neck. Did he mention models or anything. I still think this has "over performance" written all over it.

!

Eric Thomas has upped the totals for the whole Charlotte TV market. He now has mountains and foothills 1-3. Then in a NE/SW oriented that stretches from GSP to Shelby to Hickory and on northeast, he now has 2-4. That does include Charlotte Metro and along I-85 and I-77. Then from Wadesboro and Albemarle and eastward, 3-5 inches.

Andy Wood's thoughts

[Solak]

Robert - good thoughts for your Mom. †

I'm always kinda leary of what Twisterdata shows, but here's the 48 hr totals from the 00z 12/25 run,

[CandymanColumbusGA]

Nothing new here... Add the fact that all news stations are expecting barely anything makes this a disaster in the making!

I didn't call for much snow down here in Columbus. I said potential for FLURRIES, but up to ATL they will see accumulating snow. I said this because I know a lot of people drive up that way... Maybe I should go work up there

I am still not 100% convinced of accumulating snow down here though... It will depend on the exact track of this system. I know it will start out as rain, and pretty sure we will see flurries... but accumulation? I'm not sure... Considering this is my first time actually forecast SNOW! It's been an interesting ride, and cannot wait to see what happens and see what I can do next time to be better