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Upstate/Eastern New York-Springtime?


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A secondary trough and upper level low will track across the
Ohio Valley tonight and over the area by Friday morning. This wil
cause the potential for showers to increase through the night
tonight. With temperatures cooling through the night, precip/showers
will start out as rain showers, and mixing with and changing to all
snow through the night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
This period starts off somewhat wintry behind the departed cold
front. Deep upper trough axis will make its way across the region
through the day Friday. Ongoing cold air advection will send 850 mb
temperatures down to around -8C by the end of the day. This will
maintain a good coverage of lake enhanced and upslope precipitation
to the east of the lakes. Thermal profiles suggesting precipitation
will be mainly in the form of snow or snow pellets/graupel. There
could be some mix with rain as temperatures try to push into the
lower 40s across portions of the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes.
Snowfall accumulation, if any, will be restricted to the higher
terrain with an inch or so east of Lake Erie and one to two inches
on the Tug Hill. With some of the heavier showers there could be
brief coatings of snow at lower elevations, but it should also melt
in between showers with the strong early April sun and marginal
temperatures.

There will be a brief window Friday night for some northwest flow
lake effect snow showers, but these should gradually end with the
approach of an upper level ridge axis. Clearing will be slow though
with the northwest flow, with cloudy skies slowly eroding from
northwest to southeast.
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1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

Up to 49° here with some on and off light rain..The real sizzle sizzle will be here this afternoon, especially in the sizzlecuse..If tombo land wants the summer warmth he knows where to go lol

sfct.us_ne - 2022-03-31T105840.256.png

The lake Erie impact on temps is really amazing.

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Briefly hit 60° with a little sunshine but since have clouded back up with temps in the mid-upper 50s..SWS issued..

 

..Strong Thunderstorms Possible This Afternoon...

Heavy showers and possible thunderstorms over portions of the
western Southern Tier at midday will move northeast across the
Finger Lakes region to the Eastern Lake Ontario region by mid
afternoon. The heavier showers and developing thunderstorms will
have the potential to produce wind gusts of 50 mph or greater...
along with up to a half inch of rain in less than 30 minutes.

Stay tuned for additional special weather statements and or
possible warnings as this scenario unfolds. The most significant
weather should move out of our region by 3 PM.

Screenshot_20220331-132330.png

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51 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

12Z model runs kill me. Snow all across Western and Central NY, especially southern tier, white nothing here in the awful lake plain/mohawk valley.

If you hate winter weather and stay in Upstate NY, seriously live here.

Has been snowing all day here, not really sticking besides grass. Cold and windy, just a brutal April 1st. 

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1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said:

12Z model runs kill me. Snow all across Western and Central NY, especially southern tier, white nothing here in the awful lake plain/mohawk valley.

If you hate winter weather and stay in Upstate NY, seriously live here.

Only 5 more months before Fall arrives!!!  I love it when we have short summer and long cold winter. Best thing about living in the north! 

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34 minutes ago, brentrich said:

Only 5 more months before Fall arrives!!!  I love it when we have short summer and long cold winter. Best thing about living in the north! 

I'm already counting down the days til Fall. lol

I would be ok with 6 months of Fall-like weather with highs in the 60s/lows in the 40s and then FULL ON snow-filled winter for 6 months. The UP of Michigan is calling me...

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1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Has been snowing all day here, not really sticking besides grass. Cold and windy, just a brutal April 1st. 

Snowflakes finally started mixing in around 2 and now we've had some legit bursts of snow in the past half hour.

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