Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    23Yankee
    Newest Member
    23Yankee
    Joined

Feb 16-17th Winter Storm


Chicago Storm
 Share

Recommended Posts

Heavy rain to ice to snow just doesn't happen imby, still selling the gfs until something better plays ball. I'm sure we are all waiting on the classic baby step to the euro
B lying if wasn't getting lil hype tho, those op runs look fun.
Call is in a precarious spot

GFS is obviously an easy toss right now. This is literally the same scenario we saw play out with GHD3, and in an overall very similar setup.

A compromise of GFS and foreign guidance continues to be the way to go, which would still have placement near where GHD3 impacted (Narrower corridor this go around).


.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

as usual, highly recommend the LOT AFD for a read by RC this morning. Just a tid bit:

" TO A HIGH TO   
VERY HIGH IMPACT HEAVY SNOW AND WIND EPISODE FOR MUCH MORE OF THE  
AREA ON THURSDAY (IE. 00Z OPERATIONAL GFS WITH STRONG GEFS   
SUPPORT, AND NOTEWORTHY ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBER SUPPORT WITH THESE  
MEMBERS NORTHWEST OF THE MEAN AND OPERATIONAL).  "

beyond the pure weather porn aspect of the discussion the detail and analysis of potential outcomes is tremendous.

And yes, I cherry picked the part of the discussion that I would like to see verify.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:


GFS is obviously an easy toss right now. This is literally the same scenario we saw play out with GHD3, and in an overall very similar setup.

A compromise of GFS and foreign guidance continues to be the way to go, which would still have placement near where GHD3 impacted (Narrower corridor this go around).


.

every dog has his day.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:


GFS is obviously an easy toss right now. This is literally the same scenario we saw play out with GHD3, and in an overall very similar setup.

A compromise of GFS and foreign guidance continues to be the way to go, which would still have placement near where GHD3 impacted (Narrower corridor this go around).


.

So in other words, miss SE again for those of us who got shafted by the last one.

If I were a snow lover, this winter for southern WI wouldn't even merit an F-. It would get kicked out of school for academic dishonesty.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Even if it’s a lower amount of snow because it ejects off to the NE faster we still can have some wicked winds that could cause issues closer to the closed low

A weaker/southeast solution (foreign guidance) will not have the same wind potential as an amped/northwest solution (GFS), not even remotely close.


.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said:


A weaker/southeast solution (foreign guidance) will not have the same wind potential as an amped/northwest solution (GFS), not even remotely close.


.

That is true you are right on that. I look forward to taking some nice weather pics when the time comes. Yesterdays snow squall here was something not to be reckoned with. I appreciate yours and everyone’s knowledge 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, madwx said:

we'll be right on the edge between a solid hit and just a half inch of slop after the transition from rain,  gut says this will miss south, brain says wait a day to make a call, heart says bring on the warmth next week after this system

you need to call a cardiologist, i'm concerned about your heart

  • Haha 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 said:

Figures the one time I don't want any snow that the GFS has it pinned on top of my house for 3 days straight :D

 

Any other storm this would of drifted south or north by now

GHD III did a south shift in the final day before. But hopefully y’all get some of the wealth

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...