Hoosier Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, hlcater said: UK and Canadian still south of the GFS. Pretty large spread between those aforementioned models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Pretty large spread between those aforementioned models.Hopefully see more amped members on 00z GEPS. Wish there was access to the UKMET ens. I'm aware of only 1 pay site that offers those, which I believe is True Weather. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Euro not budging. Continues to keep heavy snow swath around I70 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Euro not budging. Continues to keep heavy snow swath around I70 corridor Curious how the op run will fit in compared to the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Curious how the op run will fit in compared to the EPS. I'm guessing they will be north. GEFS was north of OP GFS. Just a hunch from the trends lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Heavy rain to ice to snow just doesn't happen imby, still selling the gfs until something better plays ball. I'm sure we are all waiting on the classic baby step to the euro B lying if wasn't getting lil hype tho, those op runs look fun. Call is in a precarious spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 Heavy rain to ice to snow just doesn't happen imby, still selling the gfs until something better plays ball. I'm sure we are all waiting on the classic baby step to the euro B lying if wasn't getting lil hype tho, those op runs look fun. Call is in a precarious spotGFS is obviously an easy toss right now. This is literally the same scenario we saw play out with GHD3, and in an overall very similar setup. A compromise of GFS and foreign guidance continues to be the way to go, which would still have placement near where GHD3 impacted (Narrower corridor this go around).. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 a real testament to the power of the gfs that this thread isn't 20 pages long already 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 as usual, highly recommend the LOT AFD for a read by RC this morning. Just a tid bit: " TO A HIGH TO VERY HIGH IMPACT HEAVY SNOW AND WIND EPISODE FOR MUCH MORE OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY (IE. 00Z OPERATIONAL GFS WITH STRONG GEFS SUPPORT, AND NOTEWORTHY ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBER SUPPORT WITH THESE MEMBERS NORTHWEST OF THE MEAN AND OPERATIONAL). " beyond the pure weather porn aspect of the discussion the detail and analysis of potential outcomes is tremendous. And yes, I cherry picked the part of the discussion that I would like to see verify. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: GFS is obviously an easy toss right now. This is literally the same scenario we saw play out with GHD3, and in an overall very similar setup. A compromise of GFS and foreign guidance continues to be the way to go, which would still have placement near where GHD3 impacted (Narrower corridor this go around). . every dog has his day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 45 minutes ago, Baum said: every dog has his day. Sun shines on a dogs ass once in awhile 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 I’m hoping there is not a wicked band of heavy ice accumulation. I worry for those in the following days if they lose power. Brutal cold behind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 8 hours ago, mimillman said: Flight to Mexico at 6pm on Thursday. Damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 ENS means say it all.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: GFS is obviously an easy toss right now. This is literally the same scenario we saw play out with GHD3, and in an overall very similar setup. A compromise of GFS and foreign guidance continues to be the way to go, which would still have placement near where GHD3 impacted (Narrower corridor this go around). . So in other words, miss SE again for those of us who got shafted by the last one. If I were a snow lover, this winter for southern WI wouldn't even merit an F-. It would get kicked out of school for academic dishonesty. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: ENS means say it all. . consensus bust on the Alek call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Even if it’s a lower amount of snow because it ejects off to the NE faster we still can have some wicked winds that could cause issues closer to the closed low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 Even if it’s a lower amount of snow because it ejects off to the NE faster we still can have some wicked winds that could cause issues closer to the closed lowA weaker/southeast solution (foreign guidance) will not have the same wind potential as an amped/northwest solution (GFS), not even remotely close.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: A weaker/southeast solution (foreign guidance) will not have the same wind potential as an amped/northwest solution (GFS), not even remotely close. . That is true you are right on that. I look forward to taking some nice weather pics when the time comes. Yesterdays snow squall here was something not to be reckoned with. I appreciate yours and everyone’s knowledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 NAM works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, Baum said: NAM works for me. yep it the American models vs ALEK and the foreign models . Who blinks first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 we'll be right on the edge between a solid hit and just a half inch of slop after the transition from rain, gut says this will miss south, brain says wait a day to make a call, heart says bring on the warmth next week after this system 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 10 hours ago, Sciascia said: Would love this to verify, but some of that has got to be non-snow precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, madwx said: we'll be right on the edge between a solid hit and just a half inch of slop after the transition from rain, gut says this will miss south, brain says wait a day to make a call, heart says bring on the warmth next week after this system you need to call a cardiologist, i'm concerned about your heart 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Figures the one time I don't want any snow, the GFS has it pinned on top of my house for 3 days straight Any other storm this would of drifted south or north by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 said: Figures the one time I don't want any snow that the GFS has it pinned on top of my house for 3 days straight Any other storm this would of drifted south or north by now GHD III did a south shift in the final day before. But hopefully y’all get some of the wealth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANNOTDIVIDEBY0 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, SolidIcewx said: GHD III did a south shift in the final day before. But hopefully y’all get some of the wealth The worst part is, I'm traveling south on Friday lmao . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 hours ago, Baum said: consensus bust on the Alek call. turrible 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 12z GFS actually bumped NW.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 GFS keeping on with the amped solution. Pretty classic low track for a heavy hitter for Chicagoland. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now