Voyager Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Elliott (MU) has been dead on almost all winter with his less than enthused snow forecasts. He's gung ho for tonight and tomorrow: We never get bullseye'd here in Tamaqua, but we sure do fringe jobs right. A coating to an inch? I'd rather get nothing than get another salt truck mess maker... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 5 hours ago, Atomixwx said: Where is this? I was just in Clearfield on Thursday and it looked wide open there. The bogs in Philipsburg never fully froze this winter and I drove down to Huntingdon county all winter and the Frankstown Branch Juniata nor the Juniata from Huntingdon to Mount Union were frozen, which to me was incredibly odd. Williamsport.... Actually the picture Linden, Pa. Just up river from Williamsport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 At the three o’clock hour it was 23 in Erie and 60 in Philly. This front means business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 I am so confused....posters tell me it is spring yet the sign at Cowans Gap (today) said no swimming??? And I fear if I dive in, it may be cold! I am out a few feet on the ice here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Did anyone notice the 18z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: Did anyone notice the 18z NAM? I bet Ralph Wiggum did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Went for a long walk today - the river freed itself of ice around thr city remarkable quick. I wonder if there is a huge amount of ice near historic maytown now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I bet Ralph Wiggum did. Here’s a different view of the 18z NAM. The precip orientation is a little sporadic, but I really like seeing the “blues” as far west as Mifflin county. This is a great sign for western areas of the LSV to possibly get into the 2 to 3 inch snow zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 The most recent SREF models juiced up a bit as well. These I only have in 10-1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 I’ll take my 2” snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 38 minutes ago, paweather said: I’ll take my 2” snowstorm. Palmyra snow emergency? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 Decent location....will need some slightly colder air for many. for 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Overcast and 52. (South Philly) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 32 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Overcast and 52. (South Philly) Must be Harden to deal with those temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 43.2 in southern York county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 On 2/11/2022 at 1:19 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Any snow left out your way? (other than piles) Nah not really, the warm day yesterday relegated it to being pretty patchy. The only area nearby that likely has any solid pack left is the higher elevations in the Laurels. Despite holding on to a half decent pack for about a month or so, our snow averages back here aren’t much better than the LSV percentage wise. I consider a winter in the 45-55” range to be average in this specific location.. I’m just under 20” at the moment. In the Laurel’s, Blue Knob Ski Resort has noted a season to date total of about 44”, while Seven Springs has 54”. Laurel Summit’s (near the 7 Springs Resort) average is over 150” and Blue Knob is in the same ballpark with it’s seasonal average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 32 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Must be Harden to deal with those temps! Maybe he shows up by March? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 0Z HRRR joins the Nam camp in hammering SE PA. Still 1-2 for much of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 3K is going to be plowable for parts of the LSV (plowable is over 4" in my book). 4-5" from SE Franklin, through western Adams into Southern Cumberland. Some elevation there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 The latest SREFs are still looking good for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 3K is going to be plowable for parts of the LSV (plowable is over 4" in my book). 4-5" from SE Franklin, through western Adams into Southern Cumberland. Some elevation there. The 3k NAM looks right for our region… It shows the typical jackpot for Rouzerville & @Cashtown_Coop Let’s do this! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Still some pretty big differences with the 3k vs 12k NAM, given upstream radar trends at PIT,RLX (Charleston), and JKL (Jackson, KY) I’d say the more filled in presentation of the 3k is more on track. I wonder if the GFS is going to ever see this event before it starts in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 The Rap is putting a hurting on the LSV as well. Prolly time to include Cumberland and Franklin in the WWA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 38 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Still some pretty big differences with the 3k vs 12k NAM, given upstream radar trends at PIT,RLX (Charleston), and JKL (Jackson, KY) I’d say the more filled in presentation of the 3k is more on track. I wonder if the GFS is going to ever see this event before it starts in the LSV. Great point about the precip orientation so far this evening. The LSV is more than due for an over performing event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Light snow here currently, which is already more than I was expecting to see from this. 29ºF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 42 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The Rap is putting a hurting on the LSV as well. Prolly time to include Cumberland and Franklin in the WWA. Again, Rouzerville & Cashtown jackpot, so it must be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Snow began here about 15 minutes ago. Temp has responded by starting to drop from 36, now down to 34.5. Not much more to go before accumulating begins on mulch/grass/snowboards (lol). Dew point is 30 and wet bulb, which was 32.4 has risen to 32.9. The snow intensity is going to have to bring the temp down an extra degree or two to make it to 31 or 30. I'll be surprised if it ever drops below 30 before ending. But, with darkness, we only need 32 to accumulate. >>As I'm about to post this the temp is now down to 33.8...nice drop so far. Intensity picking up a bit now as well. I'll probably give another update before going to bed around 1:00. >>now down to 33.6...nope, now 33.4. It's going down faster than I was expecting but likely will slow down, hopefully not until it reaches 32.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 First flakes in Tamaqua, 12:35 am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Only 10 minutes since my last post but I'm down another whole degree to 32.4. Wet bulb has dropped to 31.6, so further downside seems probable. Snow coming down solidly. I don't think it's moderate yet but getting close. Mulch has caved. Grass is caving. Sidewalks just beginning to show signs of caving while driveway and street are just wet. And to think, just a week ago we were convinced that there were no chances to see snow for the next 7-10 days. Things can sure change in a hurry, like this event. >>There, I knew if I typed long enough I'd get the temp to go down further...now 32.2, so virtually there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Seems like Ralph Wiggum's (from the Philly thread) 60 degree rule is a real thing. He claims that within 2-3 days of a high temperature during winter of 60 or higher results in snow a couple days later. Tonight seems to be proving his theory to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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