Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 25 - 30 years ago it was common to literally go from blacktop in Maryland to 3-6" on the road crossing into Pa But Pennsylvania is much better nowadays lol Back then the plow drivers sat in the shed arguing about what was plowable or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Euro was nothing doesn’t look good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Rgem is tucked near the coast It would be nice for these models to stop jumping to the convection offshore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rgem is tucked near the coast It would be nice for these models to stop jumping to the convection offshore. This is the way it will be all winter can’t stand it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 0z Euro wasn’t too bad for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 This a a cold storm & it’s January, where our typical ratio is 12 to 13 to 1, so Kuchera ratio should be best for this storm instead of the 10:1 maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 6z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 6z ICON looks decent. I only have this at 10:1, so Kuchera would be slightly higher amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 @paweather The 3k NAM should cheer you up (maybe for a few minutes…!) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rgem is tucked near the coast It would be nice for these models to stop jumping to the convection offshore. 6z RGEM was nice & tucked near the coast. It this track verified, we would probably see even more upside than depicted on this snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 06Z euro is 0.2 to 0.3” qpf for lsv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 I thought universally, the bar was set at 4 inches for significant? I know @candersonconvinced his wife of this, but I thought the meteorological community did as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I thought universally, the bar was set at 4 inches for significant? I know @candersonconvinced his wife of this, but I thought the meteorological community did as well. We broke the board discussing plowable vs no last evening. The true winners were those trying out their plow techniques while us nerds were discussing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 12 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I thought universally, the bar was set at 4 inches for significant? I know @candersonconvinced his wife of this, but I thought the meteorological community did as well. i am now cleaning coffee off my keyboard, desk and paper work. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: @paweather The 3k NAM should cheer you up (maybe for a few minutes…!) Thanks Blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 22 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We broke the board discussing plowable vs no last evening. The true winners were those trying out their plow techniques while us nerds were discussing it. That was weird like Eastern I thought maybe I was banned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, paweather said: That was weird like Eastern I thought maybe I was banned It was down for longer than I was expecting. I think IT may have already gone to bed at that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 41 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i am now cleaning coffee off my keyboard, desk and paper work. Good. It'll make that paper work look older, which shows you have been diligently working this entire time. I mean, that's my assumption. I watched Ben Kingsley dump a cup of coffee on some dude's blauschein in Schindler's List to convince the SS he was of an older variety, and while that guy likely still got gassed, he didn't get gassed immediately. I think somewhere in there is the analogy that I probably saved you your job. For now. You're welcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 HRRR bumped up start time a bit more....5pmish tomorrow around the Capital Beltway. Also starts off as rain in the western LSV area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 I dropped to 23 last night. Still liking an area-wide 2-4" for this event with a couple lollipops. CTP map and HWO.... .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Light snow accumulation may result in hazardous travel conditions Thursday evening into Friday morning. An icy mix may result in hazardous travel conditions on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 CTP map seems to line up well with Mount Holly and Sterling..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 12Z Nam at 21 has the N/S Vort just above NY. Last night, at 0Z, it was slated to be east of Maine by that time (at least the lowest pressure as identified by the Nam) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 21 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR bumped up start time a bit more....5pmish tomorrow around the Capital Beltway. Also starts off as rain in the western LSV area. CTP has snow tomorrow night, mainly after 10pm. Something to watch for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: CTP has snow tomorrow night, mainly after 10pm. Something to watch for sure. GFS was well before 10PM as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z Nam at 21 has the N/S Vort just above NY. last night, at 0Z, it was slated to be east of Maine by that time. I don't think that's a good thing if correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I don't think that's a good thing if correct? At this point, I think there is a lot of confusion and multiple vorts running around up there. So not sure of the answer to that. Just an observation. Like I mentioned, people in the MA starting talking phasing yesterday. The opposite of spacing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 22 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I dropped to 23 last night. Still liking an area-wide 2-4" for this event with a couple lollipops. CTP map and HWO.... .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Light snow accumulation may result in hazardous travel conditions Thursday evening into Friday morning. An icy mix may result in hazardous travel conditions on Sunday. NBD - I could get that much from flurries and squalls, plus it’d be a lot more interesting to watch on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 S/W progress the MA about 50-100 miles further south than the 6Z Nam. Through NC then a turn NE (whether via transfer or just progression). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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