pasnownut Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: It's been a very positive happy hour on all runs. yep...sure has. Seeing gulf interaction a bit more should help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Nothing makes us all feel better than being called grasshopper. Ha. He was talking about enjoying his green grass earlier..... seemed appropriate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Heading home. Y'all keep hold of da wheel. I want a good GFS update in an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 18Z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS: Going to be south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Going to be south It is but things are changing with these runs. I was joking about the MA weenies trying to jump on the northern and southern streams literally interacting but its not becoming as far fetched now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Is the ice on snowpack or bare ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Is the ice on snowpack or bare ground They have a snow depth map which is based on the previous days of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 My prediction for MDT: .5” snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: They have a snow depth map which is based on the previous days of course. Perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Perfect No Fore's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Opportunities 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 47 minutes ago, canderson said: My prediction for MDT: .5” snow Classic…lol This will ensure a decent event on Friday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Solid Advisory event on the way according to CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Solid Advisory event on the way according to CTP. 2-3” is fair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Euro about the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 18z Euro delivers a solid Advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 There is a chance at more upside. The Euro can’t decide where to place the low when it hits the coast. You can see the 3 tiny “circles” off of the coast of VA. If the low consolidates and ends up towards the inner circle, this storm could deliver more goods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Here is the best 18z Euro panel for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Why are all the storms so suppressed and awful then Sunday it rains lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 47 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The great storms are sniffed out early… Classic look on that panel for 1/16. Decent 24 hour precip showing as well for that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 20 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: It's hard to see but looking at the Euro 18z Mslp anomaly and (10 m winds) the original surface low makes it to SE Va vs Extreme NE NC from 12z . Definitely a delay in jumping . Which ultimately keeps us in the moisture transport a bit longer instead of collapsing best moisture se quickly. I take it lol. 850 moisture. Dark purple actually makes it into SC Pa this run before collapsing ese . You can see the remains of the original surface low here in se Va this run Great analysis! The 18z EPS also had some uptick in snow amounts for the LSV over the 12z EPS. 18z top vs. 12z bottom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 33 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The great storms are sniffed out early… Classic look on that panel for 1/16. Decent 24 hour precip showing as well for that day. Big game hunting during that period. Many of the needed elements are there. Op shows moisture as well. We have missed several similar situations over the last 4 winters I have been back so not assuming the best but watching just the same. There was a situation late last winter where a very sharp trough dug down into Florida and the n/s and s/s both offered juicy options that could have easily turned into a Jan 16 situation. Ended up sunny. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Sref mean qpf went up fwiw It did last storm too right before game time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 20 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: It did last storm too right before game time No offense to anyone but in my opinion, the sref plumes are only helpful when in the middle of a fast changing situation....fringe situations are usually false hope. But seriously, no offense...just what I have learned from experiences. Losetoa's hotdog says it all. LOL. My favorite plume is below: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 The N/S vort has slowed down, yet again, on the 0Z Nam. The HRRR has snow starting during rush hour on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I hear u . I put a weenie for a reason Different setup as well . Actually the Nams did very well up here for 1/3 within 30 hours depicting the extreme cutoff . They never showed more then flurries hitting the m/d line. Very true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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