Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The N/S vort has slowed down, yet again, on the 0Z Nam. Timing looks similar to me. Digging slightly more. I’ve got phone and laptop comparing the old run to this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Hr 45 precip not as expansive on nw side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Hr 45 precip not as expansive on nw side Low much further north. Already in nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Timing looks similar to me. Digging slightly more. I’ve got phone and laptop comparing the old run to this one At hour 45 of 18Z, its off the map....now at 0Z 39 its about 50 to 100 miles back to the west and visible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Nam has lower heights out in front through 45 Doing same thing as before. Popping new lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Doing same thing as before. Popping new lows. On that point, one thing I just noticed. One of the "lows" in the Atlantic is actual a weakness that comes off the Florida Peninsula at hour 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: On that point, one thing I just noticed. The primary low in the Atlantic is actual a weakness that comes off the Florida Peninsula at hour 30. I’ll scale back my pbp lol. Only obvious changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 51 is mod snow very sim to 18z at same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I’ll scale back my pbp lol. Only obvious changes LOL. I found it interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: On that point, one thing I just noticed. The primary low in the Atlantic is actual a weakness that comes off the Florida Peninsula at hour 30. I brought that up earlier (shared pic) and noone said boo. The low in the atlantic is tail edge out in front of our storm. I think it also may be having neg interaction as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, pasnownut said: I brought that up earlier (shared pic) and noone said boo. The low in the atlantic is tail edge out in front of our storm. I think it also may be having neg interaction as well. Boo. I missed your post so not trying to take your steam. But yes, I think it is important as it's officially not a reformation per se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Boo. I missed your post so not trying to take your steam. But yes, I think it is important as it's officially not a reformation per se. not looking for steam....just saying it was there earlier, and I saw it looking like it was popping on southern edge of frontal boundary out ahead....and it rides up to rob some dig out of "our" dealeo. Someone broke the NAM again. stuck at 36 so were seeing through you rich folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Basically qpf cut back 0.1 to 0.2 still a 2-4” snow for lsv 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: not looking for steam....just saying it was there earlier, and I saw it looking like it was popping on southern edge of frontal boundary out ahead....and it rides up to rob some dig out of "our" dealeo. Someone broke the NAM again. stuck at 36 so were seeing through you rich folks. The nam is free on pivotal if interested. And that weakness becomes the Nam's focus for one panel at hour 54 on pivotal and 63 on TT, so I agree it is dirtying the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 They found parts....NAM back up and runnin 3k at 41 holding SLP back a bit as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The nam is free on pivotal if interested. And that weakness becomes the Nam's focus for one panel at hour 54 so I agree it is dirtying the water. looking at 500/700's to see if there is legit interaction and having trouble seeing much, but yeah I think even if only spacial issues, its not helping. 0z showed a more pronounced blob of southern GA coast and it just needs to go away IMO. That too may be having an effect on northern shield as NAM is still a bit confused. We've seen this before. Once that sorts out, things should clear up....but not necessarily what we want. Unfortunately it might just be another way to rob us a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 The 0z NAM is a LSV special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z NAM is a LSV special. I’ll take it Blizz analysis is analysis but hope this is true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Takeaways from NAM's (and they arent done yet for me....but I've seen enough). They still have some figuring out to do wrt SLP placement, and where to focus energy. Not saying discount, but weigh accordingly. Thats all. Regardless there still is an event becoming more likely for a bunch of us. Hopefully the rest of the 0z's bring some better consensus that we can use to extrapolate at will.....like snow weenies do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 0.9 ….wowie zowie!!! Lol. This winter that’s actually a decent event! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The nam is free on pivotal if interested. And that weakness becomes the Nam's focus for one panel at hour 54 on pivotal and 63 on TT, so I agree it is dirtying the water. thx. I bounce back n forth for Euro panels....Just thing TT is easier navigating...and I'm sorta lazy right now... Pivotal is starting to grow on me a bit tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: 0.9 ….wowie zowie!!! Lol. This winter that’s actually a decent event! Pipe down....you had snow OTG a month ago. I saw it coming home from deer camp. just bustin....glad you are back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: thx. I bounce back n forth for Euro panels....Just thing TT is easier navigating...and I'm sorta lazy right now... Pivotal is starting to grow on me a bit tho. We one hundred percent agree on TT being easier to navigate. Ironically I saw that Florida wave just now because I was on TT vs pivotal. Things pop out better on TT maps. Snow maps stink as we know. Some of the more complicated panels look better on pivotal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Where are we with the 18z Nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Pivotal graphics are excellent imo. Especially vorticity maps yeah i'll keep playin around "over there"....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Where are we with the 18z Nam? 6 hours in the future. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Where are we with the 18z Nam? Double Happy Hour? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Where are we with the 18z Nam? step away from the bottle.... Oz's just got done. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Double Happy Hour? He must have gone for the Applebees 241 brewtus special this evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: step away from the bottle.... Oz's just got done. Still got a chance with GFS 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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